2012 Week 15 (8 Dec) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  76 Navy                      over  144 Army                       35.0 to 21.0

70-80% chance of victory:

 187 Jackson State             over  208 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      31.5 to 24.5
  45 North Dakota State        over   73 Wofford                    28.0 to 14.0

60-70% chance of victory:

 110 Eastern Washington        over  113 Illinois State             35.0 to 28.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  97 Montana State             over   88 Sam Houston State          24.5 to 24.5
  77 Old Dominion              over   72 Georgia Southern           38.5 to 35.0

2012 Preliminary Bowl Game Forecast

for College Football Division IA & IAA
                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  15 Boise State               over   57 Washington                 31.5 to 17.5
  30 Virginia Tech             over   56 Rutgers                    21.0 to 14.0
  25 Arizona State             over   76 Navy                       35.0 to 21.0
  11 Oklahoma State            over   66 Purdue                     45.5 to 24.5
   7 Florida                   over   52 Louisville                 31.5 to 14.0
   1 Alabama                   over    9 Notre Dame                 24.5 to 14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  59 Central Florida           over   98 Ball State                 35.0 to 24.5
  54 Fresno State              over   86 Southern Methodist         31.5 to 24.5
  32 Cincinnati                over   99 Duke                       42.0 to 24.5
  49 Texas Tech                over   90 Minnesota                  38.5 to 28.0
  19 West Virginia             over   55 Syracuse                   42.0 to 28.0
  17 Texas Christian           over   28 Michigan State             24.5 to 17.5
   3 Louisiana State           over   20 Clemson                    35.0 to 24.5
  16 Southern California       over   37 Georgia Tech               35.0 to 24.5
  34 Vanderbilt                over   44 North Carolina State       28.0 to 21.0
  13 Florida State             over   41 Northern Illinois          35.0 to 24.5
   8 Georgia                   over   42 Nebraska                   38.5 to 24.5
  12 South Carolina            over   21 Michigan                   28.0 to 21.0
   2 Oregon                    over   18 Kansas State               45.5 to 31.5
  29 Pittsburgh                over   61 Mississippi                31.5 to 24.5
  60 Arkansas State            over   89 Kent State                 31.5 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  36 Arizona                   over   65 Nevada - Reno              38.5 to 31.5
  87 San Jose State            over  108 Bowling Green              24.5 to 21.0
  22 Baylor                    over   43 California - Los Angeles   42.0 to 31.5
  95 Air Force                 over  124 Rice                       31.5 to 28.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  64 Utah State                over   69 Toledo                     35.0 to 31.5
  35 Brigham Young             over   62 San Diego State            28.0 to 24.5
 101 East Carolina             over  107 Louisiana - Lafayette      38.5 to 35.0
 132 Central Michigan          over  138 Western Kentucky           31.5 to 28.0
 104 Ohio                      over  116 Northeast Louisiana        28.0 to 28.0
  23 Texas                     over   24 Oregon State               28.0 to 28.0
  51 Tulsa                     over   53 Iowa State                 28.0 to 24.5
  38 Mississippi State         over   47 Northwestern               28.0 to 28.0
   6 Wisconsin                 over    4 Stanford                   31.5 to 31.5
   5 Oklahoma                  over   10 Texas A&M                  38.5 to 35.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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