2012 Week 15 (8 Dec) + preliminary bowl games Results for College Football Division IA & IAA

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 80%  76 Navy                    17 34.9,   144 Army                    13 22.3
 76%  45 North Dakota State      14 26.5,    73 Wofford                  7 14.1
 64% 110 Eastern Washington      51 33.5,   113 Illinois State          35 28.5

 42%  88 Sam Houston State       34 23.9,    97 Montana State           16 26.1
 42%  72 Georgia Southern        49 34.2,    77 Old Dominion            35 38.3
 30% 208 Arkansas - Pine Bluff   24 24.0,   187 Jackson State           21 30.0

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                2 0.00   1 1.56   2 0.68   1 1.24   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):   6   3   4.1 0.74

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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