Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 2 7.09 14.0-0.0 6.9-7.1 IA ACC Florida State 2 1 6.45 13.0-1.0 6.5-7.5 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 3 2 6.04 12.0-2.0 6.0-8.0 IA SEC Auburn 4 4 5.96 12.0-2.0 6.0-8.0 IA SEC Missouri 5 4 5.75 11.0-2.0 5.2-7.8 IA SEC South Carolina 6 5 5.67 11.0-2.0 5.3-7.7 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 7 5 5.26 12.0-1.0 6.7-6.3 IA Amer_Athl Central Florida 8 5 5.24 11.0-2.0 5.8-7.2 IA ACC Clemson 9 6 5.19 12.0-2.0 6.8-7.2 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 10 6 5.14 11.0-2.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_12 Baylor 11 6 5.14 11.0-2.0 5.9-7.1 IA SEC Alabama 12 6 5.02 11.0-3.0 6.0-8.0 IA PAC_12 Stanford 13 3 4.78 12.0-1.0 7.2-5.8 IA Amer_Athl Louisville 14 6 4.47 10.0-3.0 5.5-7.5 IA SEC Louisiana State 15 7 4.44 11.0-2.0 6.6-6.4 IA PAC_12 Oregon 16 5 4.42 10.0-3.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 17 8 4.13 10.0-3.0 5.9-7.1 IA PAC_12 California - Los Angeles 18 5 3.98 10.0-4.0 6.0-8.0 IA PAC_12 Arizona State 19 6 3.76 11.0-2.0 7.2-5.8 IA MWC Fresno State 20 6 3.54 12.0-2.0 8.5-5.5 IA MAC Northern Illinois 21 6 3.52 10.0-4.0 6.5-7.5 IA PAC_12 Southern California 22 6 3.36 9.0-4.0 5.6-7.4 IA Indep Notre Dame 23 5 3.27 9.0-4.0 5.7-7.3 IA SEC Texas A&M 24 7 3.17 10.0-4.0 6.8-7.2 IA ACC Duke 25 5 2.85 9.0-4.0 6.2-6.8 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 26 9 2.85 9.0-4.0 6.2-6.8 IA PAC_12 Washington 27 11 2.80 9.0-4.0 6.2-6.8 IA Big_Ten Nebraska 28 6 2.80 8.0-5.0 5.2-7.8 IA SEC Georgia 29 6 2.68 8.0-5.0 5.3-7.7 IA Big_12 Texas 30 6 2.61 9.0-4.0 6.4-6.6 IA ACC Miami - Florida 31 9 2.55 9.0-4.0 6.4-6.6 IA SEC Vanderbilt 32 12 2.50 8.0-5.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_12 Kansas State 33 13 2.41 8.0-5.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 34 7 2.26 8.0-5.0 5.7-7.3 IA Big_Ten Iowa 35 17 2.22 8.0-5.0 5.8-7.2 IA SEC Mississippi 36 10 2.15 10.0-3.0 7.9-5.1 IA CUSA East Carolina 37 9 1.97 8.0-5.0 6.0-7.0 IA Indep Brigham Young 38 9 1.96 8.0-5.0 6.0-7.0 IA ACC Virginia Tech 39 13 1.85 9.0-4.0 7.2-5.8 IA Indep Navy 40 10 1.82 9.0-4.0 7.2-5.8 IA Amer_Athl Cincinnati 41 14 1.79 10.0-3.0 8.2-4.8 IA MAC Ball State 42 11 1.70 10.0-4.0 8.3-5.7 IA CUSA Rice 43 14 1.56 8.0-5.0 6.4-6.6 IA PAC_12 Arizona 44 17 1.50 9.0-5.0 7.5-6.5 IA MWC Utah State 45 14 1.48 8.0-5.0 6.5-6.5 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 46 14 1.47 10.0-4.0 8.5-5.5 IA MAC Bowling Green 47 13 1.40 7.0-6.0 5.6-7.4 IA SEC Mississippi State 48 18 1.27 7.0-6.0 5.7-7.3 IA ACC Pittsburgh 49 11 1.22 7.0-5.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_Ten Penn State 50 29 1.18 7.0-6.0 5.8-7.2 IA PAC_12 Oregon State 51 14 1.15 8.0-5.0 6.8-6.2 IA Amer_Athl Houston 52 13 1.12 8.0-5.0 6.9-6.1 IA MWC Boise State 53 13 1.08 7.0-6.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_Ten Michigan 54 15 1.04 10.0-4.0 9.0-5.0 IA CUSA Marshall 55 14 1.03 7.0-6.0 6.0-7.0 IA ACC Boston College 56 23 1.01 7.0-6.0 6.0-7.0 IA ACC North Carolina 57 17 0.99 8.0-4.0 7.0-5.0 IA Indep Old Dominion 58 14 0.98 8.0-5.0 7.0-6.0 IA MWC San Diego State 59 16 0.94 7.0-6.0 6.1-6.9 IA ACC Georgia Tech 60 20 0.83 7.0-6.0 6.2-6.8 IA ACC Syracuse 61 19 0.82 9.0-4.0 8.2-4.8 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 62 17 0.73 9.0-4.0 8.3-4.7 IA CUSA North Texas 63 21 0.59 8.0-5.0 7.4-5.6 IA MAC Buffalo 64 16 0.55 8.0-4.0 7.4-4.6 IA Sun_Belt Western Kentucky 65 23 0.52 7.0-6.0 6.5-6.5 IA ACC Maryland 66 13 0.47 7.0-5.0 6.5-5.5 IA MAC Toledo 67 14 0.46 9.0-6.0 8.5-6.5 IA MWC Colorado State 68 14 0.21 8.0-5.0 7.8-5.2 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 69 22 0.14 6.0-7.0 5.9-7.1 IA PAC_12 Washington State 70 10 0.11 7.0-5.0 6.9-5.1 IA CUSA Texas - San Antonio 71 10 -0.02 8.0-5.0 8.0-5.0 IA CUSA Middle Tennessee State 72 13 -0.16 5.0-7.0 5.2-6.8 IA SEC Tennessee 73 12 -0.19 5.0-7.0 5.2-6.8 IA PAC_12 Utah 74 12 -0.33 5.0-7.0 5.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 75 16 -0.34 7.0-6.0 7.3-5.7 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 76 13 -0.40 6.0-6.0 6.4-5.6 IA MWC San Jose State 77 13 -0.41 5.0-7.0 5.4-6.6 IA Big_Ten Indiana 78 13 -0.54 5.0-7.0 5.5-6.5 IA Amer_Athl Southern Methodist 79 12 -0.55 4.0-8.0 4.6-7.4 IA SEC Florida 80 15 -0.62 6.0-7.0 6.6-6.4 IA Amer_Athl Rutgers 81 13 -0.71 4.0-8.0 4.7-7.3 IA Big_12 Texas Christian 82 13 -0.88 6.0-6.0 6.9-5.1 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 83 12 -0.90 4.0-8.0 4.9-7.1 IA Big_12 West Virginia 84 16 -0.96 7.0-6.0 8.0-5.0 IA CUSA Tulane 85 11 -1.01 6.0-6.0 7.0-5.0 IA MAC Central Michigan 86 15 -1.12 6.0-6.0 7.1-4.9 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 87 13 -1.20 7.0-6.0 8.2-4.8 IA MAC Ohio 88 13 -1.32 6.0-6.0 7.3-4.7 IA Sun_Belt South Alabama 89 13 -1.33 4.0-8.0 5.3-6.7 IA PAC_12 Colorado 90 10 -1.38 6.0-6.0 7.4-4.6 IA CUSA Florida Atlantic 91 11 -1.42 5.0-7.0 6.4-5.6 IA MAC Akron 92 11 -1.46 4.0-8.0 5.5-6.5 IA Big_Ten Illinois 93 12 -1.53 6.0-6.0 7.5-4.5 IA Sun_Belt Texas State - San Marcos 94 11 -1.58 3.0-9.0 4.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Iowa State 95 8 -1.76 5.0-7.0 6.8-5.2 IA MWC Wyoming 96 8 -1.80 3.0-9.0 4.8-7.2 IA SEC Arkansas 97 8 -1.88 4.0-8.0 5.9-6.1 IA MWC Nevada - Reno 98 8 -1.90 4.0-8.0 5.9-6.1 IA ACC Wake Forest 99 9 -2.06 3.0-9.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Kansas 100 9 -2.55 4.0-8.0 6.6-5.4 IA MAC Kent State 101 7 -2.65 3.0-9.0 5.7-6.3 IA ACC North Carolina State 102 7 -2.81 3.0-9.0 5.8-6.2 IA Amer_Athl Connecticut 103 6 -3.06 2.0-*** 5.1-6.9 IA SEC Kentucky 104 6 -3.20 3.0-9.0 6.2-5.8 IA Amer_Athl Memphis 105 6 -3.23 2.0-*** 5.2-6.8 IA ACC Virginia 106 6 -3.70 3.0-9.0 6.7-5.3 IA CUSA Tulsa 107 6 -3.70 2.0-*** 5.7-6.3 IA Amer_Athl South Florida 108 8 -3.84 3.0-9.0 6.8-5.2 IA MWC New Mexico 109 9 -3.88 4.0-8.0 7.9-4.1 IA CUSA Louisiana Tech 110 8 -3.97 1.0-*** 5.0-7.0 IA PAC_12 California 111 8 -3.97 1.0-*** 5.0-7.0 IA Big_Ten Purdue 112 7 -4.10 3.0-9.0 7.1-4.9 IA Indep Army 113 7 -4.13 2.0-*** 6.1-5.9 IA Amer_Athl Temple 114 8 -4.46 2.0-*** 6.5-5.5 IA MWC Air Force 115 7 -4.65 2.0-*** 6.6-5.4 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 116 10 -4.88 2.0-*** 6.9-5.1 IA Indep New Mexico State 117 8 -4.89 2.0-*** 6.9-5.1 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 118 7 -5.18 1.0-*** 6.2-5.8 IA Indep Idaho 119 5 -5.27 1.0-*** 6.3-5.7 IA MWC Hawaii 120 5 -5.35 1.0-*** 6.3-5.7 IA MAC Massachusetts 121 6 -5.50 2.0-*** 7.5-4.5 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 122 4 -5.70 1.0-*** 6.7-5.3 IA CUSA Florida International 123 4 -5.72 1.0-*** 6.7-5.3 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 124 4 -5.74 1.0-*** 6.7-5.3 IA MAC Western Michigan 125 3 -6.45 0.0-*** 6.4-5.6 IA Sun_Belt Georgia State 126 2 -6.91 0.0-*** 6.9-5.1 IA MAC Miami - Ohio
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 2 6.88 14.0-0.0 7.1-6.9 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota State 2 5 5.31 13.0-3.0 7.7-8.3 IAA Colonial Towson 3 4 4.09 12.0-2.0 7.9-6.1 IAA Patriot Fordham 4 6 3.91 12.0-2.0 8.1-5.9 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 5 8 3.67 11.5-2.5 7.8-6.2 IAA Southland Southeast Louisiana 6 7 3.56 11.0-3.0 7.4-6.6 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 7 5 3.53 9.0-1.0 5.5-4.5 IAA Ivy Harvard 8 7 3.47 12.0-3.0 8.5-6.5 IAA Big_South Coastal Carolina 9 5 3.31 10.0-3.0 6.7-6.3 IAA Colonial Maine 10 6 2.60 8.0-2.0 5.4-4.6 IAA Ivy Princeton 11 9 2.44 9.5-5.5 7.1-7.9 IAA Colonial New Hampshire 12 11 2.19 9.0-3.0 6.8-5.2 IAA Big_Sky Montana 13 11 2.11 9.0-3.0 6.9-5.1 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 14 13 1.94 9.0-3.0 7.1-4.9 IAA Southland McNeese State 15 10 1.81 8.0-3.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Patriot Lehigh 16 11 1.81 8.0-3.0 6.2-4.8 IAA NE Sacred Heart 17 14 1.75 9.0-5.0 7.2-6.8 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota State 18 13 1.74 8.0-4.0 6.3-5.7 IAA Missouri_V Youngstown State 19 14 1.61 10.0-4.0 8.4-5.6 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 20 13 1.60 9.0-3.0 7.4-4.6 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 21 22 1.27 7.0-3.0 5.7-4.3 IAA Pioneer San Diego 22 16 1.25 9.0-4.0 7.8-5.2 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 23 14 1.17 7.0-5.0 5.8-6.2 IAA Colonial William & Mary 24 25 1.16 8.0-3.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Pioneer Marist 25 15 1.04 8.0-4.0 7.0-5.0 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 26 22 0.92 8.0-3.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 27 21 0.89 6.0-2.0 5.1-2.9 IAA Pioneer Mercer 28 18 0.84 6.0-5.0 5.2-5.8 IAA Colonial Villanova 29 19 0.82 7.0-5.0 6.2-5.8 IAA Colonial Delaware 30 25 0.74 9.0-5.0 8.3-5.7 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 31 20 0.70 7.0-5.0 6.3-5.7 IAA Missouri_V Northern Iowa 32 17 0.68 8.0-5.0 7.3-5.7 IAA Southern Samford 33 17 0.65 6.0-4.0 5.4-4.6 IAA NE Duquesne 34 18 0.58 8.0-4.0 7.4-4.6 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 35 22 0.57 7.0-4.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Pioneer Butler 36 12 0.56 6.0-4.0 5.4-4.6 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 37 15 0.51 7.0-3.0 6.5-3.5 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 38 13 0.50 7.0-4.0 6.5-4.5 IAA Southern Georgia Southern 39 15 0.47 8.0-6.0 7.5-6.5 IAA Southern Furman 40 21 0.45 7.0-4.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Pioneer Dayton 41 13 0.33 6.0-5.0 5.7-5.3 IAA Missouri_V Southern Illinois 42 10 0.29 6.0-4.0 5.7-4.3 IAA Ivy Brown 43 14 0.18 8.0-4.0 7.8-4.2 IAA SWAC Southern 44 14 0.02 7.0-5.0 7.0-5.0 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 45 16 -0.12 6.0-6.0 6.1-5.9 IAA Colonial James Madison 46 12 -0.13 5.0-5.0 5.1-4.9 IAA Ivy Yale 47 15 -0.21 7.0-5.0 7.2-4.8 IAA Big_Sky Southern Utah 48 12 -0.21 6.0-5.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Patriot Bucknell 49 14 -0.26 6.0-4.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Big_South Liberty 50 15 -0.29 7.0-4.0 7.3-3.7 IAA SWAC Jackson State 51 14 -0.31 7.0-4.0 7.3-3.7 IAA SWAC Alabama State 52 14 -0.33 6.0-6.0 6.3-5.7 IAA Colonial Richmond 53 15 -0.40 6.0-5.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 54 19 -0.42 5.0-4.0 5.4-3.6 IAA Pioneer Drake 55 14 -0.46 5.0-6.0 5.5-5.5 IAA Colonial Stony Brook 56 16 -0.58 6.0-6.0 6.6-5.4 IAA Indep Monmouth 57 18 -0.60 7.0-4.0 7.6-3.4 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 58 20 -0.62 6.0-5.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Southland Central Arkansas 59 18 -0.71 5.0-6.0 5.7-5.3 IAA Missouri_V Illinois State 60 14 -0.74 6.0-6.0 6.7-5.3 IAA Big_Sky California Poly 61 10 -0.82 5.0-7.0 5.8-6.2 IAA Patriot Lafayette 62 9 -0.97 4.0-6.0 5.0-5.0 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 63 22 -0.97 3.0-3.0 4.0-2.0 IAA Indep Abilene Christian 64 17 -0.98 5.0-5.0 6.0-4.0 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 65 15 -1.10 6.0-6.0 7.1-4.9 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 66 20 -1.20 2.0-4.0 3.2-2.8 IAA Indep Incarnate Word 67 14 -1.23 4.0-6.0 5.2-4.8 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 68 14 -1.25 4.0-4.0 5.3-2.7 IAA Indep North Carolina - Charlot 69 13 -1.27 5.0-6.0 6.3-4.7 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 70 13 -1.35 5.0-6.0 6.3-4.7 IAA Southern Wofford 71 14 -1.36 5.0-6.0 6.4-4.6 IAA MEAC Delaware State 72 16 -1.38 5.0-6.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Southland Northwestern State 73 15 -1.40 5.0-7.0 6.4-5.6 IAA Missouri_V Missouri State 74 13 -1.50 5.0-6.0 6.5-4.5 IAA NE Robert Morris 75 12 -1.70 5.0-7.0 6.7-5.3 IAA Southern The Citadel 76 9 -1.84 4.0-7.0 5.8-5.2 IAA NE Bryant 77 17 -2.01 4.0-6.0 6.0-4.0 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 78 13 -2.03 6.0-6.0 8.0-4.0 IAA SWAC Prairie View 79 11 -2.06 4.0-6.0 6.1-3.9 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 80 13 -2.11 0.0-4.0 2.1-1.9 IAA Indep Houston Baptist 81 12 -2.21 5.0-7.0 7.2-4.8 IAA Big_Sky California - Davis 82 9 -2.22 3.0-7.0 5.2-4.8 IAA Ivy Cornell 83 12 -2.26 4.0-8.0 6.3-5.7 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota 84 12 -2.28 4.0-7.0 6.3-4.7 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 85 10 -2.37 3.0-7.0 5.4-4.6 IAA NE Wagner 86 11 -2.37 5.0-6.0 7.4-3.6 IAA MEAC Howard 87 11 -2.43 5.0-7.0 7.4-4.6 IAA MEAC Morgan State 88 10 -2.45 4.0-7.0 6.5-4.5 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 89 11 -2.46 4.0-8.0 6.5-5.5 IAA Southern Appalachian State 90 10 -2.47 3.0-9.0 5.5-6.5 IAA Colonial Rhode Island 91 8 -2.50 4.0-8.0 6.5-5.5 IAA Patriot Colgate 92 11 -2.61 3.0-7.0 5.6-4.4 IAA Southland Lamar 93 13 -2.73 4.0-7.0 6.7-4.3 IAA MEAC North Carolina Central 94 7 -2.92 3.0-8.0 5.9-5.1 IAA NE Central Connecticut 95 7 -3.00 4.0-7.0 7.0-4.0 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 96 6 -3.12 3.0-8.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Missouri_V Western Illinois 97 6 -3.18 3.0-9.0 6.2-5.8 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 98 8 -3.24 4.0-8.0 7.2-4.8 IAA MEAC Hampton 99 8 -3.26 2.0-8.0 5.3-4.7 IAA Southland Nicholls State 100 11 -3.50 3.0-8.0 6.5-4.5 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 101 8 -3.64 3.0-8.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Big_Sky North Dakota 102 11 -3.72 1.0-7.0 4.7-3.3 IAA Pioneer Stetson 103 7 -4.09 2.0-9.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Patriot Georgetown 104 11 -4.12 2.0-9.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 105 8 -4.18 2.0-9.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 106 13 -4.21 1.0-8.0 5.2-3.8 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 107 10 -4.26 2.0-*** 6.3-5.7 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 108 10 -4.30 3.0-9.0 7.3-4.7 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 109 11 -4.47 3.0-9.0 7.5-4.5 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 110 11 -4.50 1.0-8.0 5.5-3.5 IAA Big_South Presbyterian 111 8 -4.54 1.0-*** 5.5-5.5 IAA Southern Western Carolina 112 8 -4.64 1.0-*** 5.6-6.4 IAA Colonial Albany 113 9 -4.71 1.0-9.0 5.7-4.3 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 114 8 -4.75 1.0-*** 5.8-5.2 IAA Southern Elon 115 8 -4.81 0.0-*** 4.8-5.2 IAA Ivy Columbia 116 8 -4.88 2.0-8.0 6.9-3.1 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 117 8 -4.94 1.0-9.0 5.9-4.1 IAA Big_South Virginia Military 118 13 -5.04 2.0-9.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Pioneer Campbell 119 9 -5.08 2.0-9.0 7.1-3.9 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 120 9 -5.09 2.0-9.0 7.1-3.9 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 121 9 -5.42 0.0-9.0 5.4-3.6 IAA Pioneer Davidson 122 5 -5.69 1.0-9.0 6.7-3.3 IAA SWAC Grambling 123 4 -5.71 0.0-*** 5.7-5.3 IAA Missouri_V Indiana State 124 3 -6.31 0.0-*** 6.3-4.7 IAA MEAC Savannah State 125 3 -6.51 0.0-*** 6.5-4.5 IAA Big_Sky Northern Colorado 126 4 -6.60 0.0-*** 6.6-5.4 IAA Ohio_V Austin Peay
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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