ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
35 Georgia Southern over 252 Savannah State 56.0 to 10.5
4 Ohio State over 212 Buffalo 49.0 to 10.5
1 Oregon over 232 Nicholls State 63.0 to 10.5
20 Richmond over 247 Virginia Military 52.5 to 7.0
17 Texas over 242 New Mexico State 56.0 to 10.5
19 Wisconsin over 223 Massachusetts 45.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
70 Central Florida over 217 Akron 42.0 to 17.5
53 Miami - Florida over 210 Florida Atlantic 42.0 to 14.0
76 Auburn over 220 Washington State 42.0 to 14.0
9 Florida over 153 Toledo 45.5 to 14.0
25 Nebraska over 186 Wyoming 38.5 to 14.0
6 Oklahoma over 182 Northeast Louisiana 49.0 to 14.0
67 Tennessee over 246 Austin Peay 49.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
62 Illinois State over 156 Ball State 38.5 to 28.0
36 Tulsa over 183 Bowling Green 38.5 to 24.5
48 Central Arkansas over 237 Incarnate Word 31.5 to 21.0
123 Connecticut over 109 Towson 28.0 to 21.0
54 Delaware over 88 Jacksonville 31.5 to 24.5
119 Fordham over 233 Rhode Island 42.0 to 17.5
57 Fresno State over 118 Rutgers 28.0 to 21.0
26 Southern California over 151 Hawaii 38.5 to 24.5
84 Liberty over 160 Kent State 31.5 to 24.5
165 Middle Tennessee State over 221 Western Carolina 35.0 to 21.0
121 Minnesota over 225 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 17.5
170 Missouri State over 200 Northwestern State 31.5 to 24.5
60 Montana State over 91 Monmouth 31.5 to 28.0
188 North Dakota over 251 Valparaiso 42.0 to 21.0
142 San Jose State over 174 Sacramento State 28.0 to 24.5
185 Southern Utah over 244 South Alabama 24.5 to 17.5
184 Southeast Missouri State over 224 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 24.5
116 Jackson State over 241 Tulane 38.5 to 17.5
49 Utah over 130 Utah State 35.0 to 21.0
167 Wake Forest over 248 Presbyterian 38.5 to 17.5
141 Hampton over 202 Western Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
28 Arizona over 139 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 21.0
154 Samford over 234 Georgia State 24.5 to 17.5
125 Houston over 168 Southern 38.5 to 31.5
87 Michigan State over 148 Western Michigan 31.5 to 17.5
15 Texas Tech over 124 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 24.5
47 Colgate over 122 Air Force 31.5 to 28.0
71 Arkansas over 145 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 28.0
27 Villanova over 115 Boston College 28.0 to 17.5
39 Cincinnati over 126 Purdue 38.5 to 21.0
144 Duke over 216 North Carolina Central 35.0 to 24.5
10 Old Dominion over 143 East Carolina 45.5 to 24.5
201 Howard over 245 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 24.5
102 Furman over 214 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 24.5
68 Georgia Tech over 127 Elon 35.0 to 24.5
146 Alabama A&M over 191 Grambling 28.0 to 24.5
82 Southern Illinois over 172 Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
59 Northern Iowa over 104 Iowa State 24.5 to 21.0
38 James Madison over 112 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 24.5
132 Marshall over 207 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 28.0
94 Maryland over 206 Florida International 38.5 to 17.5
56 Michigan over 164 Central Michigan 42.0 to 24.5
44 Missouri over 136 Murray State 45.5 to 24.5
8 Alabama over 50 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 17.5
2 Oklahoma State over 52 Mississippi State 42.0 to 28.0
90 Maine over 181 Norfolk State 28.0 to 17.5
239 North Carolina - Charlot over 249 Campbell 31.5 to 14.0
77 North Carolina State over 78 Louisiana Tech 42.0 to 31.5
222 North Texas over 226 Idaho 38.5 to 31.5
42 Notre Dame over 133 Temple 35.0 to 17.5
41 Penn State over 101 Syracuse 31.5 to 17.5
5 Texas Christian over 18 Louisiana State 28.0 to 21.0
138 Kentucky over 193 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 24.5
32 Oregon State over 63 Eastern Washington 35.0 to 24.5
51 Sam Houston State over 236 Houston Baptist 38.5 to 24.5
95 San Diego State over 149 Eastern Illinois 38.5 to 28.0
64 South Dakota State over 177 Butler 31.5 to 14.0
7 Texas A&M over 189 Rice 56.0 to 24.5
152 Prairie View over 243 Texas Southern 38.5 to 21.0
166 The Citadel over 227 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 21.0
110 Troy State over 173 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 31.5
61 Brigham Young over 131 Virginia 28.0 to 21.0
99 Wagner over 205 Georgetown 31.5 to 14.0
13 Boise State over 134 Washington 38.5 to 17.5
24 West Virginia over 79 William & Mary 31.5 to 24.5
43 Louisville over 111 Ohio 35.0 to 24.5
158 Florida A&M over 229 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 14.0
3 Florida State over 80 Pittsburgh 35.0 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
108 Robert Morris over 129 Eastern Kentucky 24.5 to 21.0
157 Indiana over 199 Indiana State 31.5 to 31.5
31 South Carolina over 33 North Carolina 28.0 to 24.5
150 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 163 Tennessee - Martin 31.5 to 28.0
86 Vanderbilt over 89 Mississippi 31.5 to 28.0
58 Dayton over 66 Youngstown State 28.0 to 24.5
211 Army over 215 Morgan State 28.0 to 24.5
12 North Dakota State over 22 Kansas State 28.0 to 28.0
97 Alabama State over 92 Jacksonville State 28.0 to 24.5
120 Arkansas State over 135 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 28.0
34 Baylor over 65 Wofford 31.5 to 28.0
128 Bryant over 147 Holy Cross 28.0 to 24.5
72 Northwestern over 103 California 28.0 to 28.0
30 Nevada - Reno over 83 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 31.5
81 California Poly over 96 San Diego 31.5 to 28.0
14 Clemson over 16 Georgia 31.5 to 28.0
46 Albany over 74 Duquesne 28.0 to 28.0
55 Northern Illinois over 93 Iowa 24.5 to 24.5
161 Marist over 140 Sacred Heart 24.5 to 21.0
21 Montana over 11 Appalachian State 35.0 to 31.5
218 Texas - San Antonio over 208 New Mexico 24.5 to 21.0
107 Coastal Carolina over 171 South Carolina State 28.0 to 24.5
176 California - Davis over 195 South Dakota 24.5 to 24.5
180 Southern Mississippi over 192 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 28.0
100 South Florida over 105 McNeese State 31.5 to 28.0
106 Stephen F. Austin over 178 Weber State 35.0 to 31.5
203 Colorado State over 204 Colorado 28.0 to 28.0
69 Bethune - Cookman over 85 Tennessee State 28.0 to 24.5
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