ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
39 James Madison over 224 Akron 42.0 to 10.5
5 Louisiana State over 163 Alabama - Birmingham 49.0 to 14.0
24 Arizona over 221 Nevada - Las Vegas 52.5 to 10.5
60 Penn State over 216 Eastern Michigan 45.5 to 14.0
47 Southern California over 182 Washington State 38.5 to 10.5
114 Troy State over 250 Savannah State 59.5 to 17.5
110 Vanderbilt over 249 Austin Peay 42.0 to 10.5
97 Virginia Tech over 219 Western Carolina 42.0 to 14.0
31 Wisconsin over 191 Tennessee Tech 45.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
49 Arizona State over 218 Sacramento State 38.5 to 10.5
90 Central Florida over 220 Florida International 38.5 to 14.0
1 Baylor over 173 Buffalo 59.5 to 17.5
37 New Hampshire over 222 Central Michigan 49.0 to 17.5
11 Clemson over 179 South Carolina State 45.5 to 17.5
9 Georgia Southern over 153 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 52.5 to 24.5
88 Maine over 238 Massachusetts 35.0 to 7.0
20 McNeese State over 229 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 56.0 to 14.0
50 Mississippi over 237 Southeast Missouri State 52.5 to 14.0
99 Mississippi State over 232 Alcorn State 35.0 to 3.5
19 Missouri over 135 Toledo 38.5 to 14.0
69 Nebraska over 209 Southern Mississippi 38.5 to 17.5
102 Minnesota over 242 New Mexico State 45.5 to 17.5
41 Ohio State over 199 San Diego State 42.0 to 14.0
73 Stony Brook over 226 Rhode Island 45.5 to 17.5
2 Oregon over 92 Virginia 42.0 to 21.0
150 Western Michigan over 240 Nicholls State 38.5 to 14.0
96 William & Mary over 211 Hampton 35.0 to 7.0
124 Wyoming over 248 Idaho 45.5 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
55 East Carolina over 213 Florida Atlantic 45.5 to 21.0
74 Boston College over 167 Wake Forest 31.5 to 10.5
63 Air Force over 106 Utah State 35.0 to 21.0
64 Appalachian State over 181 North Carolina A&T 31.5 to 14.0
23 Arkansas State over 127 Auburn 42.0 to 28.0
72 Ball State over 189 Army 38.5 to 21.0
25 Texas over 112 Brigham Young 31.5 to 21.0
130 California over 176 Portland State 42.0 to 31.5
82 Coastal Carolina over 171 Furman 35.0 to 21.0
80 Albany over 132 Colgate 31.5 to 24.5
33 Central Arkansas over 161 Colorado 49.0 to 28.0
52 Duquesne over 115 Dayton 24.5 to 21.0
30 Delaware over 149 Delaware State 38.5 to 21.0
91 Villanova over 100 Fordham 31.5 to 28.0
170 Georgetown over 228 Davidson 31.5 to 17.5
59 Towson over 175 Holy Cross 35.0 to 21.0
34 Cincinnati over 98 Illinois 38.5 to 24.5
22 Indiana over 119 Navy 49.0 to 38.5
118 Iowa over 202 Missouri State 28.0 to 10.5
136 Alabama State over 233 Jackson State 28.0 to 10.5
70 Jacksonville State over 89 Jacksonville 42.0 to 35.0
145 Kansas over 174 South Dakota 21.0 to 17.5
48 Kansas State over 162 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 17.5
86 Bowling Green over 139 Kent State 24.5 to 14.0
177 Kentucky over 239 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 17.5
84 Sacred Heart over 120 Lafayette 31.5 to 28.0
56 Lehigh over 126 Central Connecticut 35.0 to 17.5
13 Louisville over 57 Eastern Kentucky 35.0 to 21.0
79 Marshall over 165 Gardner - Webb 42.0 to 28.0
83 Maryland over 65 Old Dominion 35.0 to 31.5
77 Duke over 212 Memphis 42.0 to 17.5
54 Florida over 81 Miami - Florida 17.5 to 14.0
16 Michigan over 68 Notre Dame 28.0 to 21.0
107 Michigan State over 187 South Florida 31.5 to 14.0
87 Arkansas over 151 Samford 28.0 to 17.5
125 Nevada - Reno over 200 California - Davis 31.5 to 28.0
75 North Carolina over 143 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 21.0
61 North Carolina State over 58 Richmond 21.0 to 17.5
17 South Dakota State over 76 North Dakota 38.5 to 28.0
205 Northeast Louisiana over 215 Grambling 21.0 to 14.0
198 Northern Colorado over 223 Colorado State 35.0 to 24.5
51 Northern Iowa over 93 Drake 31.5 to 21.0
43 Northwestern over 101 Syracuse 35.0 to 24.5
144 Northwestern State over 236 Southern 42.0 to 17.5
27 Oklahoma over 45 West Virginia 28.0 to 17.5
71 Oregon State over 169 Hawaii 38.5 to 28.0
196 Purdue over 214 Indiana State 38.5 to 28.0
193 Robert Morris over 231 Morgan State 24.5 to 14.0
94 Rutgers over 204 Norfolk State 35.0 to 21.0
36 Montana State over 142 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 24.5
53 Stanford over 116 San Jose State 24.5 to 17.5
42 Houston over 152 Temple 42.0 to 24.5
78 Tennessee over 146 Western Kentucky 38.5 to 21.0
6 Sam Houston State over 21 Texas A&M 45.5 to 38.5
28 Texas Christian over 123 Southeast Louisiana 38.5 to 21.0
186 Texas - El Paso over 235 New Mexico 31.5 to 21.0
8 Oklahoma State over 183 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 10.5
14 Texas Tech over 104 Stephen F. Austin 59.5 to 31.5
172 Tulane over 217 South Alabama 28.0 to 17.5
159 Tulsa over 223 Colorado State 35.0 to 21.0
62 Utah over 109 Weber State 38.5 to 28.0
40 Youngstown State over 141 Morehead State 38.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
131 Boise State over 113 Tennessee - Martin 24.5 to 21.0
207 Bucknell over 190 Marist 21.0 to 21.0
129 Tennessee State over 154 Florida A&M 17.5 to 17.5
38 California Poly over 46 Fresno State 45.5 to 42.0
32 South Carolina over 26 Georgia 28.0 to 24.5
184 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 203 Georgia State 28.0 to 21.0
148 Liberty over 105 Monmouth 24.5 to 21.0
134 Louisiana Tech over 201 Lamar 24.5 to 24.5
195 North Texas over 194 Ohio 24.5 to 24.5
67 Eastern Illinois over 103 Southern Illinois 38.5 to 35.0
166 Texas State - San Marcos over 137 Prairie View 24.5 to 24.5
210 Wofford over 206 The Citadel 24.5 to 24.5
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