ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
45 Albany over 238 Rhode Island 52.5 to 10.5
107 Alabama State over 216 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 14.0
10 Ohio State over 128 California 45.5 to 17.5
24 Maryland over 214 Connecticut 42.0 to 10.5
9 Georgia Tech over 92 Duke 45.5 to 24.5
109 Bethune - Cookman over 244 Florida International 38.5 to 7.0
8 Florida State over 75 Nevada - Reno 45.5 to 21.0
153 Furman over 247 Presbyterian 35.0 to 14.0
83 Richmond over 228 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 10.5
65 Northern Illinois over 248 Idaho 52.5 to 17.5
25 Kansas State over 237 Massachusetts 49.0 to 7.0
87 Liberty over 208 Morgan State 35.0 to 14.0
13 Louisiana State over 181 Kent State 42.0 to 10.5
22 Michigan over 203 Akron 49.0 to 17.5
156 North Carolina A&T over 243 Elon 35.0 to 10.5
7 Montana over 118 North Dakota 45.5 to 14.0
41 Northwestern over 174 Western Michigan 42.0 to 21.0
100 Tennessee State over 187 Jackson State 31.5 to 10.5
61 Marshall over 179 Ohio 38.5 to 21.0
34 Oklahoma over 121 Tulsa 38.5 to 14.0
2 Oregon over 53 Tennessee 52.5 to 24.5
68 Rutgers over 224 Eastern Michigan 45.5 to 17.5
54 South Dakota State over 155 Southeast Louisiana 38.5 to 21.0
129 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 249 Austin Peay 45.5 to 14.0
16 Utah over 50 Oregon State 42.0 to 28.0
1 Georgia Southern over 154 Wofford 52.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
11 Texas Tech over 43 Texas Christian 42.0 to 28.0
76 Arkansas over 211 Southern Mississippi 45.5 to 17.5
60 Stanford over 213 Army 38.5 to 14.0
74 Stony Brook over 234 Buffalo 49.0 to 14.0
52 Eastern Illinois over 133 Illinois State 49.0 to 35.0
141 Georgetown over 201 Marist 31.5 to 21.0
84 James Madison over 169 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 42.0 to 21.0
28 Louisville over 122 Kentucky 38.5 to 24.5
130 Middle Tennessee State over 220 Memphis 38.5 to 17.5
103 Old Dominion over 222 Howard 42.0 to 21.0
26 Sam Houston State over 226 Texas Southern 52.5 to 14.0
35 South Carolina over 88 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 17.5
164 South Florida over 229 Florida Atlantic 38.5 to 21.0
72 Fordham over 189 Temple 38.5 to 24.5
44 Eastern Washington over 160 Toledo 45.5 to 28.0
59 West Virginia over 223 Georgia State 42.0 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
120 Louisiana Tech over 215 Tulane 45.5 to 28.0
55 Boise State over 105 Air Force 31.5 to 21.0
218 Mississippi Valley State over 233 Alcorn State 24.5 to 21.0
19 Arizona over 183 Texas - San Antonio 38.5 to 14.0
27 Wisconsin over 36 Arizona State 28.0 to 24.5
178 California - Davis over 205 Northern Arizona 21.0 to 17.5
158 Charleston Southern over 252 Campbell 49.0 to 17.5
112 Central Connecticut over 207 Holy Cross 42.0 to 31.5
89 Cincinnati over 95 Northwestern State 35.0 to 31.5
51 Fresno State over 150 Colorado 45.5 to 31.5
78 California Poly over 171 Colorado State 42.0 to 28.0
37 Coastal Carolina over 131 Eastern Kentucky 35.0 to 24.5
199 Hampton over 193 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 24.5
79 Indiana over 124 Bowling Green 35.0 to 35.0
98 Iowa over 145 Iowa State 28.0 to 17.5
136 Jacksonville over 168 Morehead State 42.0 to 35.0
58 William & Mary over 127 Lafayette 31.5 to 17.5
152 Louisiana - Lafayette over 227 Nicholls State 42.0 to 24.5
80 Maine over 104 Bryant 24.5 to 17.5
14 Youngstown State over 64 Michigan State 31.5 to 24.5
85 Minnesota over 108 Western Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
38 Lehigh over 113 Monmouth 31.5 to 21.0
5 Delaware over 123 Navy 52.5 to 28.0
20 Nebraska over 46 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 28.0
176 Central Michigan over 236 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 24.5
39 New Hampshire over 99 Colgate 38.5 to 28.0
172 Texas - El Paso over 241 New Mexico State 42.0 to 24.5
48 Illinois over 102 Washington 38.5 to 31.5
135 North Carolina - Charlot over 246 North Carolina Central 35.0 to 7.0
111 Ball State over 191 North Texas 35.0 to 24.5
17 Oklahoma State over 210 Lamar 42.0 to 10.5
81 Penn State over 82 Central Florida 24.5 to 21.0
119 Pittsburgh over 182 New Mexico 31.5 to 21.0
101 Notre Dame over 137 Purdue 28.0 to 24.5
140 Kansas over 212 Rice 49.0 to 28.0
185 Western Kentucky over 232 South Alabama 28.0 to 21.0
69 Alabama A&M over 188 South Carolina State 38.5 to 17.5
204 Prairie View over 230 Southern 31.5 to 21.0
70 Southern California over 97 Boston College 24.5 to 17.5
86 Central Arkansas over 134 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 24.5
30 Texas over 47 Mississippi 38.5 to 31.5
4 Texas A&M over 18 Alabama 38.5 to 31.5
33 Towson over 161 Delaware State 42.0 to 21.0
149 Utah State over 175 Weber State 35.0 to 28.0
143 Northeast Louisiana over 173 Wake Forest 28.0 to 24.5
148 The Citadel over 219 Western Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
144 Wyoming over 194 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
91 Arkansas State over 56 Troy State 38.5 to 38.5
96 Mississippi State over 94 Auburn 28.0 to 24.5
73 Virginia Tech over 57 East Carolina 31.5 to 31.5
170 Florida A&M over 142 Samford 21.0 to 17.5
200 Missouri State over 166 Murray State 35.0 to 35.0
115 Dayton over 132 Robert Morris 21.0 to 21.0
126 Syracuse over 139 Wagner 28.0 to 24.5
180 Southern Utah over 209 Washington State 35.0 to 35.0
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