ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
94 Alabama State over 243 Grambling 42.0 to 10.5
36 Louisville over 241 Florida International 49.0 to 7.0
9 McNeese State over 218 Weber State 59.5 to 14.0
69 Miami - Florida over 251 Savannah State 63.0 to 3.5
22 Northern Iowa over 210 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 14.0
1 Texas A&M over 116 Southern Methodist 56.0 to 24.5
80-90% chance of victory:
7 Alabama over 149 Colorado State 49.0 to 10.5
72 Albany over 153 Central Connecticut 49.0 to 24.5
3 Baylor over 142 Northeast Louisiana 56.0 to 21.0
28 California - Los Angeles over 242 New Mexico State 56.0 to 10.5
48 Coastal Carolina over 219 Hampton 45.5 to 21.0
41 Michigan over 193 Connecticut 38.5 to 17.5
122 Ball State over 220 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 24.5
117 Appalachian State over 236 Elon 42.0 to 21.0
59 Florida over 81 Tennessee 31.5 to 17.5
4 Florida State over 90 Bethune - Cookman 38.5 to 10.5
15 Georgia over 190 North Texas 49.0 to 14.0
37 Jacksonville State over 224 Georgia State 45.5 to 14.0
62 Houston over 183 Rice 49.0 to 21.0
82 Iowa over 172 Western Michigan 38.5 to 17.5
6 Louisiana State over 79 Auburn 42.0 to 17.5
61 Vanderbilt over 232 Massachusetts 42.0 to 14.0
93 Arkansas State over 234 Memphis 42.0 to 17.5
44 Cincinnati over 237 Miami - Ohio 49.0 to 10.5
16 Towson over 211 North Carolina Central 49.0 to 21.0
11 North Dakota State over 201 Delaware State 45.5 to 3.5
154 Southern Illinois over 246 Southeast Missouri State 42.0 to 21.0
157 Ohio over 249 Austin Peay 42.0 to 14.0
8 Ohio State over 200 Florida A&M 49.0 to 10.5
77 Penn State over 147 Kent State 31.5 to 14.0
23 Lehigh over 144 Princeton 38.5 to 17.5
107 Samford over 165 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 21.0
45 Oregon State over 152 San Diego State 42.0 to 24.5
43 Montana State over 138 Stephen F. Austin 49.0 to 28.0
47 Syracuse over 207 Tulane 45.5 to 14.0
104 Tennessee State over 167 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 21.0
14 Texas Tech over 158 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 14.0
141 Virginia over 245 Virginia Military 35.0 to 10.5
74 Washington over 248 Idaho State 59.5 to 14.0
119 Washington State over 238 Idaho 45.5 to 17.5
68 William & Mary over 214 Rhode Island 35.0 to 7.0
25 Wisconsin over 111 Purdue 42.0 to 17.5
118 Wofford over 227 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
89 Louisiana - Lafayette over 191 Akron 42.0 to 28.0
100 Toledo over 215 Central Michigan 35.0 to 21.0
32 Missouri over 71 Indiana 42.0 to 31.5
110 Nevada - Reno over 184 Hawaii 38.5 to 28.0
33 Old Dominion over 160 The Citadel 49.0 to 24.5
91 Virginia Tech over 102 Marshall 31.5 to 17.5
185 Western Kentucky over 235 Morgan State 35.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
12 Clemson over 63 North Carolina State 35.0 to 28.0
54 Boise State over 40 Fresno State 38.5 to 35.0
131 Air Force over 123 Wyoming 31.5 to 28.0
161 Northwestern State over 187 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 31.5
194 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 240 Alcorn State 38.5 to 28.0
180 Wake Forest over 177 Army 28.0 to 24.5
181 Bowling Green over 113 Murray State 35.0 to 31.5
108 Brown over 148 Georgetown 31.5 to 17.5
136 Dartmouth over 196 Butler 31.5 to 21.0
134 Portland State over 209 California - Davis 31.5 to 28.0
114 Colgate over 173 Yale 31.5 to 24.5
143 Cornell over 192 Bucknell 24.5 to 21.0
101 Delaware over 166 Wagner 31.5 to 21.0
92 Fordham over 197 Columbia 35.0 to 21.0
31 Georgia Tech over 51 North Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
133 Holy Cross over 115 Monmouth 31.5 to 28.0
179 Jackson State over 229 Texas Southern 35.0 to 21.0
70 James Madison over 198 North Carolina - Charlot 31.5 to 17.5
95 Mississippi State over 88 Troy State 35.0 to 24.5
233 Mississippi Valley State over 223 Southern 31.5 to 28.0
103 Central Arkansas over 175 Missouri State 35.0 to 24.5
139 Eastern Kentucky over 176 Morehead State 38.5 to 31.5
55 Nebraska over 58 South Dakota State 35.0 to 31.5
188 Western Illinois over 226 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 21.0
39 Maryland over 49 West Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
216 Norfolk State over 206 Charleston Southern 21.0 to 17.5
170 Northern Arizona over 212 South Dakota 21.0 to 14.0
21 Northwestern over 75 Maine 35.0 to 24.5
99 Pennsylvania over 162 Lafayette 31.5 to 17.5
80 Liberty over 129 Richmond 21.0 to 21.0
67 Rutgers over 76 Arkansas 24.5 to 21.0
195 Southern Utah over 225 Sacramento State 28.0 to 24.5
13 Sam Houston State over 178 Incarnate Word 49.0 to 21.0
18 Harvard over 128 San Diego 31.5 to 17.5
27 Utah State over 57 Southern California 28.0 to 28.0
38 Stanford over 30 Arizona State 31.5 to 28.0
35 Kansas State over 60 Texas 31.5 to 28.0
96 Villanova over 86 Stony Brook 24.5 to 21.0
53 Youngstown State over 73 Duquesne 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
24 Utah over 65 Brigham Young 28.0 to 28.0
97 Pittsburgh over 126 Duke 31.5 to 28.0
213 Florida Atlantic over 182 Middle Tennessee State 24.5 to 24.5
137 Illinois State over 202 Abilene Christian 35.0 to 31.5
132 Louisiana Tech over 171 Kansas 31.5 to 31.5
98 San Jose State over 109 Minnesota 24.5 to 24.5
52 Northern Illinois over 26 Eastern Illinois 42.0 to 42.0
50 Michigan State over 42 Notre Dame 21.0 to 21.0
217 Alabama A&M over 189 Prairie View 28.0 to 28.0
164 Texas - El Paso over 168 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 28.0
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