2013 Week 9 (22-26 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

   2 Florida State             over   95 North Carolina State       49.0 to 10.5

80-90% chance of victory:

 108 Marshall                  over  223 Middle Tennessee State     38.5 to 24.5
  57 Mississippi State         over  158 Kentucky                   35.0 to 17.5
  38 Notre Dame                over  170 Air Force                  35.0 to 14.0
  86 Ball State                over  212 Akron                      42.0 to 24.5
   5 Alabama                   over   71 Tennessee                  45.5 to 14.0
  17 Georgia Southern          over  152 Appalachian State          42.0 to 24.5
  52 Auburn                    over  208 Florida Atlantic           42.0 to 10.5
 159 Tennessee - Martin        over  252 Austin Peay                38.5 to 10.5
  68 Duquesne                  over  163 Bryant                     35.0 to 24.5
  42 Lehigh                    over  198 Bucknell                   35.0 to 14.0
  98 California Poly           over  160 Northern Arizona           31.5 to 21.0
  50 Central Florida           over  185 Connecticut                38.5 to 14.0
  29 Coastal Carolina          over  245 Virginia Military          59.5 to 17.5
  35 Arizona                   over  154 Colorado                   42.0 to 24.5
  96 Brown                     over  171 Cornell                    35.0 to 21.0
 157 Dartmouth                 over  220 Columbia                   28.0 to 17.5
 137 Drake                     over  251 Valparaiso                 49.0 to 10.5
   8 Harvard                   over   76 Princeton                  42.0 to 24.5
  12 North Dakota State        over  197 Indiana State              45.5 to  7.0
   7 Oklahoma State            over  123 Iowa State                 42.0 to 17.5
 113 Jacksonville              over  246 Davidson                   45.5 to 17.5
   1 Baylor                    over  174 Kansas                     59.5 to 17.5
  39 Kansas State              over   93 West Virginia              38.5 to 24.5
   9 Louisiana State           over  149 Furman                     42.0 to 10.5
  15 Clemson                   over   99 Maryland                   38.5 to 24.5
  25 Miami - Florida           over  144 Wake Forest                38.5 to 14.0
  60 Mississippi               over  241 Idaho                      52.5 to 14.0
  46 Montana State             over  209 California - Davis         38.5 to 14.0
  80 Dayton                    over  181 Morehead State             45.5 to 24.5
 103 Alabama State             over  230 Alabama A&M                35.0 to 14.0
  85 Nevada - Reno             over  199 Nevada - Las Vegas         45.5 to 24.5
  56 McNeese State             over  236 Nicholls State             45.5 to 14.0
  26 Old Dominion              over  226 Norfolk State              45.5 to 17.5
  37 Northern Illinois         over  234 Eastern Michigan           56.0 to 17.5
 122 Ohio                      over  242 Miami - Ohio               38.5 to 14.0
   4 Ohio State                over   72 Penn State                 42.0 to 21.0
   3 Oregon                    over   33 California - Los Angeles   45.5 to 28.0
  53 Delaware                  over  200 Rhode Island               38.5 to 17.5
  67 Sacred Heart              over  130 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   38.5 to 24.5
  11 Sam Houston State         over  207 Northwestern State         52.5 to 17.5
 120 Eastern Kentucky          over  225 Southeast Missouri State   38.5 to 17.5
 189 Southern Utah             over  243 Idaho State                45.5 to 17.5
  32 Louisville                over  146 South Florida              38.5 to 21.0
  90 Jacksonville State        over  186 Tennessee Tech             38.5 to 21.0
  31 Georgia Tech              over  167 Virginia                   38.5 to 21.0
  81 Washington                over  161 California                 38.5 to 21.0

70-80% chance of victory:

 110 Central Arkansas          over  140 Stephen F. Austin          45.5 to 31.5
 169 Louisiana Tech            over  235 Florida International      35.0 to 24.5
  88 Liberty                   over  222 Gardner - Webb             42.0 to 21.0
 114 Colorado State            over  204 Hawaii                     38.5 to 28.0
  66 Michigan State            over  101 Illinois                   28.0 to 17.5
  92 Illinois State            over  172 South Dakota               38.5 to 24.5
  24 Nebraska                  over   87 Minnesota                  35.0 to 24.5
  18 Towson                    over  118 Richmond                   35.0 to 21.0
 124 San Jose State            over  176 Wyoming                    35.0 to 24.5
 216 North Carolina Central    over  249 Savannah State             42.0 to 24.5
 125 Southeast Louisiana       over  214 Lamar                      31.5 to 17.5
 128 Tulsa                     over  201 Tulane                     38.5 to 24.5
 156 Missouri State            over  215 Western Illinois           28.0 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  21 Boise State               over   48 Brigham Young              28.0 to 24.5
 109 Bethune - Cookman         over  141 South Carolina State       24.5 to 17.5
  75 Toledo                    over  145 Bowling Green              31.5 to 28.0
 148 Mercer                    over  238 Campbell                   35.0 to 24.5
 188 North Carolina A&T        over  228 Florida A&M                21.0 to 14.0
 129 Colgate                   over  187 Georgetown                 35.0 to 28.0
 239 Texas Southern            over  250 Grambling                  28.0 to 21.0
 184 Hampton                   over  183 Delaware State             24.5 to 24.5
 138 Holy Cross                over  143 Lafayette                  28.0 to 28.0
 206 Howard                    over  221 Morgan State               28.0 to 24.5
  73 Iowa                      over   62 Northwestern               28.0 to 24.5
 139 Buffalo                   over  190 Kent State                 28.0 to 21.0
 135 Marist                    over  202 Stetson                    35.0 to 24.5
 213 Arkansas - Pine Bluff     over  240 Mississippi Valley State   28.0 to 24.5
  10 Missouri                  over   16 South Carolina             31.5 to 24.5
  40 Montana                   over   47 Eastern Washington         31.5 to 24.5
  78 Pittsburgh                over  133 Navy                       31.5 to 24.5
  79 Abilene Christian         over  247 New Mexico State           45.5 to 21.0
 104 North Carolina            over  117 Boston College             31.5 to 28.0
 210 Northeast Louisiana       over  217 Georgia State              28.0 to 21.0
  20 Oklahoma                  over   19 Texas Tech                 35.0 to 31.5
 116 Pennsylvania              over  142 Yale                       24.5 to 17.5
 147 Portland State            over  178 North Dakota               35.0 to 28.0
 151 Rice                      over  182 Texas - El Paso            35.0 to 28.0
  69 Rutgers                   over   58 Houston                    38.5 to 35.0
  91 San Diego                 over  155 Butler                     35.0 to 21.0
  36 Fresno State              over  115 San Diego State            38.5 to 31.5
  70 Northern Iowa             over  106 South Dakota State         28.0 to 24.5
 194 Southern                  over  219 Alcorn State               31.5 to 24.5
  63 Southern California       over   44 Utah                       24.5 to 21.0
 127 Southern Methodist        over  162 Temple                     31.5 to 24.5
 180 North Texas               over  227 Southern Mississippi       31.5 to 24.5
 107 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  131 The Citadel                31.5 to 24.5
  97 Tennessee State           over   41 Eastern Illinois           35.0 to 31.5
   6 Texas A&M                 over   51 Vanderbilt                 45.5 to 31.5
  34 Texas Christian           over   43 Texas                      31.5 to 24.5
 179 Texas State - San Marcos  over  168 South Alabama              24.5 to 21.0
  64 Villanova                 over   65 Maine                      28.0 to 24.5
  74 Virginia Tech             over   77 Duke                       28.0 to 21.0
 205 Elon                      over  232 Western Carolina           42.0 to 28.0
 175 Western Kentucky          over  164 Troy State                 35.0 to 28.0
  45 James Madison             over   94 William & Mary             24.5 to 17.5
 112 Wofford                   over   82 Samford                    24.5 to 21.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 105 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  132 Arkansas State             31.5 to 31.5
 193 North Carolina - Charlot  over  218 Charleston Southern        28.0 to 24.5
 248 Houston Baptist           over  244 Incarnate Word             24.5 to 21.0
 237 Massachusetts             over  224 Western Michigan           24.5 to 24.5
 136 Jackson State             over  121 Prairie View               35.0 to 35.0
  22 Oregon State              over   30 Stanford                   31.5 to 28.0
  89 Stony Brook               over   54 New Hampshire              28.0 to 28.0
 196 Texas - San Antonio       over  177 Alabama - Birmingham       31.5 to 31.5
 166 Robert Morris             over  195 Wagner                     21.0 to 21.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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