ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
94 Louisiana - Lafayette over 245 New Mexico State 52.5 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
65 Cincinnati over 207 Memphis 38.5 to 14.0
16 Arizona State over 138 Washington State 45.5 to 24.5
91 Jacksonville State over 252 Austin Peay 45.5 to 7.0
40 Arizona over 151 California 45.5 to 24.5
42 California - Los Angeles over 170 Colorado 38.5 to 17.5
38 Boise State over 121 Colorado State 42.0 to 24.5
71 Dayton over 166 Butler 35.0 to 14.0
161 Drake over 188 Morehead State 38.5 to 21.0
35 Eastern Illinois over 196 Tennessee Tech 49.0 to 24.5
78 East Carolina over 239 Florida International 42.0 to 17.5
2 Florida State over 43 Miami - Florida 45.5 to 17.5
53 Fordham over 143 Holy Cross 38.5 to 24.5
37 Georgia Tech over 90 Pittsburgh 35.0 to 24.5
15 Harvard over 114 Dartmouth 42.0 to 21.0
180 Texas State - San Marcos over 242 Idaho 38.5 to 21.0
41 Eastern Washington over 246 Idaho State 56.0 to 17.5
29 Kansas State over 128 Iowa State 38.5 to 17.5
87 Liberty over 244 Virginia Military 49.0 to 10.5
123 Marshall over 236 Southern Mississippi 49.0 to 24.5
30 Northern Illinois over 240 Massachusetts 45.5 to 14.0
14 Missouri over 83 Tennessee 42.0 to 21.0
158 Missouri State over 184 Indiana State 35.0 to 24.5
105 Bethune - Cookman over 217 North Carolina Central 31.5 to 10.5
49 Montana State over 226 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 17.5
67 Central Arkansas over 209 Northwestern State 42.0 to 21.0
25 Notre Dame over 125 Navy 35.0 to 14.0
11 Sam Houston State over 148 Stephen F. Austin 56.0 to 28.0
32 Old Dominion over 208 Rhode Island 49.0 to 17.5
97 Penn State over 130 Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
155 Portland State over 225 Weber State 35.0 to 21.0
3 Ohio State over 172 Purdue 56.0 to 17.5
116 San Diego State over 185 New Mexico 38.5 to 24.5
162 South Carolina State over 251 Savannah State 42.0 to 7.0
12 South Carolina over 60 Mississippi State 31.5 to 17.5
22 Youngstown State over 193 South Dakota 42.0 to 17.5
23 Texas over 191 Kansas 42.0 to 10.5
5 Texas A&M over 204 Texas - El Paso 63.0 to 14.0
82 Toledo over 229 Eastern Michigan 52.5 to 21.0
59 Utah State over 211 Hawaii 45.5 to 17.5
75 San Diego over 248 Valparaiso 52.5 to 10.5
10 Clemson over 164 Virginia 45.5 to 21.0
112 Southern Illinois over 218 Western Illinois 35.0 to 17.5
146 Yale over 231 Columbia 35.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
28 Houston over 160 South Florida 45.5 to 24.5
111 California Poly over 203 California - Davis 28.0 to 17.5
45 Fresno State over 115 Nevada - Reno 42.0 to 31.5
124 Lafayette over 192 Georgetown 31.5 to 21.0
39 Georgia Southern over 145 Furman 38.5 to 21.0
13 Wisconsin over 74 Iowa 31.5 to 17.5
48 Maine over 104 Stony Brook 28.0 to 17.5
176 Hampton over 232 Morgan State 31.5 to 17.5
68 Princeton over 171 Cornell 45.5 to 28.0
47 Montana over 163 Sacramento State 35.0 to 17.5
85 Syracuse over 144 Wake Forest 28.0 to 21.0
55 Texas Christian over 100 West Virginia 31.5 to 21.0
19 Towson over 51 Delaware 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
152 North Texas over 140 Rice 28.0 to 28.0
150 Troy State over 187 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 28.0
34 Oregon State over 57 Southern California 24.5 to 21.0
178 Air Force over 183 Army 31.5 to 24.5
197 Kent State over 213 Akron 31.5 to 28.0
216 Alcorn State over 228 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 21.0
93 Appalachian State over 106 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 21.0
52 Auburn over 109 Arkansas 31.5 to 24.5
98 Virginia Tech over 136 Boston College 21.0 to 14.0
69 Brown over 99 Pennsylvania 31.5 to 21.0
24 Coastal Carolina over 214 North Carolina - Charlot 52.5 to 24.5
119 Colgate over 165 Bucknell 28.0 to 24.5
167 Mercer over 249 Davidson 35.0 to 17.5
215 Delaware State over 205 Howard 21.0 to 21.0
96 Duquesne over 117 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 24.5
108 Eastern Kentucky over 122 Tennessee State 24.5 to 21.0
182 Western Kentucky over 223 Georgia State 31.5 to 21.0
243 Mississippi Valley State over 250 Grambling 24.5 to 21.0
61 Northern Iowa over 103 Illinois State 31.5 to 28.0
80 Minnesota over 81 Indiana 38.5 to 35.0
54 James Madison over 66 Villanova 28.0 to 21.0
89 Alabama State over 139 Kentucky 31.5 to 24.5
220 Lamar over 234 Nicholls State 35.0 to 24.5
62 McNeese State over 132 Southeast Louisiana 42.0 to 28.0
33 Michigan State over 26 Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
44 Nebraska over 64 Northwestern 31.5 to 24.5
102 San Jose State over 186 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 24.5
17 Georgia over 56 Florida 28.0 to 24.5
202 Norfolk State over 221 Florida A&M 21.0 to 14.0
174 North Carolina A&T over 247 Houston Baptist 31.5 to 17.5
137 Northern Arizona over 179 North Dakota 28.0 to 17.5
198 Charleston Southern over 237 Presbyterian 35.0 to 24.5
113 Richmond over 135 Albany 31.5 to 24.5
95 Rutgers over 157 Temple 35.0 to 24.5
154 Arkansas State over 173 South Alabama 28.0 to 24.5
222 Stetson over 238 Campbell 35.0 to 28.0
156 Tennessee - Martin over 149 Murray State 35.0 to 31.5
206 Southern over 233 Texas Southern 31.5 to 24.5
6 Oklahoma State over 21 Texas Tech 45.5 to 35.0
73 Samford over 131 The Citadel 35.0 to 28.0
159 Tulsa over 175 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 24.5
190 Wagner over 177 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
189 Alabama - Birmingham over 200 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 35.0
195 Tulane over 219 Florida Atlantic 24.5 to 24.5
92 Jacksonville over 133 Marist 31.5 to 31.5
101 North Carolina State over 76 North Carolina 31.5 to 31.5
147 Robert Morris over 129 Bryant 28.0 to 24.5
110 Sacred Heart over 107 Monmouth 24.5 to 24.5
46 New Hampshire over 86 William & Mary 24.5 to 24.5
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