ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
158 Bowling Green over 241 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 14.0
91 Ball State over 197 Central Michigan 38.5 to 21.0
1 Baylor over 18 Oklahoma 49.0 to 31.5
4 Oregon over 25 Stanford 38.5 to 28.0
19 Louisville over 188 Connecticut 42.0 to 10.5
7 Alabama over 10 Louisiana State 31.5 to 17.5
148 Alabama State over 203 Southern 35.0 to 24.5
100 Bethune - Cookman over 223 Norfolk State 31.5 to 7.0
144 Butler over 249 Valparaiso 49.0 to 14.0
47 Southern California over 150 California 38.5 to 17.5
135 Marist over 233 Campbell 42.0 to 21.0
21 Coastal Carolina over 194 Charleston Southern 49.0 to 24.5
65 Cincinnati over 121 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 24.5
20 Harvard over 230 Columbia 49.0 to 14.0
114 Dartmouth over 173 Cornell 38.5 to 21.0
14 Georgia over 109 Appalachian State 42.0 to 24.5
41 Georgia Southern over 229 Western Carolina 52.5 to 14.0
210 Howard over 251 Savannah State 45.5 to 17.5
17 Old Dominion over 244 Idaho 63.0 to 21.0
151 Portland State over 247 Idaho State 52.5 to 24.5
55 Texas Christian over 145 Iowa State 31.5 to 17.5
16 Missouri over 97 Kentucky 35.0 to 21.0
61 Lehigh over 143 Holy Cross 38.5 to 24.5
107 Liberty over 245 Presbyterian 45.5 to 14.0
172 Louisiana Tech over 239 Southern Mississippi 42.0 to 21.0
84 Marshall over 193 Alabama - Birmingham 49.0 to 28.0
80 San Diego over 199 Morehead State 45.5 to 24.5
117 Navy over 209 Hawaii 42.0 to 21.0
50 Utah State over 191 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 17.5
103 Boston College over 236 New Mexico State 45.5 to 17.5
68 North Carolina over 180 Virginia 38.5 to 21.0
9 North Dakota State over 81 Illinois State 38.5 to 14.0
169 North Texas over 205 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 21.0
6 Oklahoma State over 190 Kansas 59.5 to 10.5
85 Iowa over 187 Purdue 31.5 to 14.0
67 Villanova over 221 Rhode Island 38.5 to 10.5
15 Sam Houston State over 237 Nicholls State 63.0 to 17.5
78 South Dakota State over 204 Indiana State 42.0 to 17.5
170 Tennessee State over 252 Austin Peay 42.0 to 7.0
5 Texas A&M over 62 Mississippi State 45.5 to 24.5
112 Monmouth over 216 Wagner 31.5 to 17.5
2 Florida State over 161 Wake Forest 45.5 to 7.0
71 Washington over 163 Colorado 38.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
79 East Carolina over 179 Tulsa 38.5 to 24.5
131 The Citadel over 198 Elon 35.0 to 24.5
58 Florida over 66 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 17.5
56 Fordham over 167 Bucknell 31.5 to 21.0
189 Middle Tennessee State over 238 Florida International 31.5 to 21.0
49 Mississippi over 125 Arkansas 35.0 to 24.5
156 North Carolina A&T over 226 Morgan State 35.0 to 17.5
30 Eastern Illinois over 175 Murray State 52.5 to 31.5
26 Notre Dame over 89 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 21.0
155 South Carolina State over 212 Florida A&M 28.0 to 14.0
44 Montana over 177 South Dakota 42.0 to 24.5
12 Wisconsin over 37 Brigham Young 31.5 to 21.0
34 Fresno State over 159 Wyoming 45.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
147 Prairie View over 222 Alcorn State 38.5 to 28.0
106 Louisiana - Lafayette over 174 Troy State 45.5 to 35.0
164 Air Force over 182 New Mexico 35.0 to 31.5
140 Jackson State over 220 Alabama A&M 28.0 to 21.0
53 Maine over 127 Albany 31.5 to 21.0
33 Arizona over 51 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 28.0
192 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 243 Grambling 38.5 to 28.0
168 Western Kentucky over 183 Army 31.5 to 28.0
99 California Poly over 152 Sacramento State 35.0 to 24.5
83 Central Arkansas over 92 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 28.0
133 Robert Morris over 137 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 28.0
38 Central Florida over 35 Houston 42.0 to 35.0
45 Delaware over 74 William & Mary 24.5 to 21.0
76 Duke over 115 North Carolina State 31.5 to 24.5
213 Western Michigan over 234 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 31.5
87 Samford over 136 Furman 24.5 to 24.5
185 Hampton over 217 North Carolina Central 31.5 to 21.0
69 Eastern Kentucky over 93 Jacksonville State 28.0 to 24.5
118 Lafayette over 157 Colgate 35.0 to 24.5
82 Maryland over 95 Syracuse 28.0 to 21.0
138 Tennessee - Martin over 207 Memphis 31.5 to 24.5
40 Miami - Florida over 94 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 17.5
42 James Madison over 64 New Hampshire 28.0 to 24.5
181 North Dakota over 218 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 28.0
146 Arkansas State over 176 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 24.5
27 Youngstown State over 73 Northern Iowa 31.5 to 28.0
184 Northwestern State over 202 Lamar 31.5 to 28.0
60 Princeton over 124 Pennsylvania 31.5 to 24.5
98 Sacred Heart over 105 Duquesne 24.5 to 21.0
111 San Jose State over 130 San Diego State 31.5 to 28.0
200 Tennessee Tech over 231 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 28.0
113 Southern Illinois over 129 Missouri State 31.5 to 28.0
110 McNeese State over 132 Stephen F. Austin 42.0 to 38.5
232 Stetson over 250 Davidson 28.0 to 17.5
102 Stony Brook over 101 Richmond 21.0 to 21.0
48 Auburn over 86 Tennessee 31.5 to 24.5
108 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 126 Wofford 24.5 to 21.0
154 Texas - San Antonio over 201 Tulane 35.0 to 21.0
11 Arizona State over 54 Utah 35.0 to 28.0
225 Gardner - Webb over 246 Virginia Military 31.5 to 24.5
195 Southern Utah over 227 Weber State 28.0 to 21.0
24 Texas over 70 West Virginia 31.5 to 28.0
63 Brown over 128 Yale 28.0 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
141 Buffalo over 122 Ohio 28.0 to 28.0
139 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 160 Bryant 28.0 to 28.0
123 Colorado State over 120 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 35.0
119 Drake over 88 Dayton 24.5 to 24.5
52 Eastern Washington over 46 Montana State 35.0 to 35.0
142 Abilene Christian over 228 Incarnate Word 24.5 to 17.5
116 Illinois over 104 Indiana 38.5 to 38.5
96 Jacksonville over 153 Mercer 38.5 to 31.5
43 Michigan over 39 Nebraska 31.5 to 31.5
75 Minnesota over 77 Penn State 24.5 to 24.5
242 Mississippi Valley State over 235 Texas Southern 24.5 to 24.5
22 Kansas State over 28 Texas Tech 35.0 to 35.0
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