ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
199 Kent State over 245 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 14.0
23 Northern Illinois over 93 Ball State 45.5 to 31.5
8 Clemson over 37 Georgia Tech 42.0 to 28.0
161 South Carolina State over 226 Morgan State 35.0 to 14.0
35 Arizona over 151 Washington State 42.0 to 24.5
131 Bethune - Cookman over 182 Hampton 31.5 to 17.5
34 Boise State over 175 Wyoming 45.5 to 14.0
42 Brigham Young over 246 Idaho State 59.5 to 7.0
38 Coastal Carolina over 238 Presbyterian 56.0 to 21.0
114 Duquesne over 177 Central Connecticut 35.0 to 21.0
58 East Carolina over 211 Alabama - Birmingham 52.5 to 21.0
49 Georgia Southern over 214 Elon 42.0 to 17.5
1 Florida State over 71 Syracuse 45.5 to 10.5
96 Louisiana - Lafayette over 225 Georgia State 42.0 to 24.5
16 Harvard over 130 Pennsylvania 38.5 to 17.5
3 Ohio State over 133 Illinois 52.5 to 17.5
135 Jackson State over 202 Alcorn State 35.0 to 21.0
65 James Madison over 103 Stony Brook 28.0 to 17.5
72 West Virginia over 196 Kansas 38.5 to 21.0
43 Maine over 227 Rhode Island 42.0 to 10.5
78 McNeese State over 184 Northwestern State 45.5 to 24.5
48 Mississippi over 154 Troy State 49.0 to 24.5
7 Alabama over 63 Mississippi State 35.0 to 14.0
147 Alabama State over 239 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 17.5
47 Montana over 228 Weber State 49.0 to 17.5
70 Montana State over 187 Southern Utah 35.0 to 21.0
112 Butler over 218 Morehead State 42.0 to 24.5
2 Baylor over 51 Texas Tech 56.0 to 31.5
107 Central Arkansas over 235 Nicholls State 49.0 to 24.5
156 North Carolina A&T over 252 Savannah State 49.0 to 10.5
140 Northern Arizona over 221 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 17.5
26 Oklahoma over 124 Iowa State 35.0 to 14.0
19 Old Dominion over 237 Campbell 70.0 to 24.5
6 Oregon over 64 Utah 42.0 to 17.5
94 Penn State over 185 Purdue 35.0 to 14.0
60 Princeton over 123 Yale 31.5 to 21.0
15 South Carolina over 90 Florida 28.0 to 14.0
148 Tennessee State over 169 Murray State 35.0 to 24.5
109 The Citadel over 234 Virginia Military 38.5 to 14.0
111 Dayton over 251 Valparaiso 52.5 to 14.0
41 Vanderbilt over 119 Kentucky 38.5 to 21.0
66 Virginia Tech over 115 Maryland 28.0 to 14.0
125 Furman over 223 Western Carolina 42.0 to 21.0
18 Wisconsin over 87 Indiana 49.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
13 Arizona State over 54 Oregon State 38.5 to 28.0
164 Bucknell over 190 Georgetown 24.5 to 14.0
57 Lehigh over 136 Colgate 35.0 to 24.5
102 San Diego State over 193 Hawaii 42.0 to 28.0
12 Kansas State over 45 Texas Christian 31.5 to 21.0
105 Colorado State over 181 New Mexico 38.5 to 28.0
132 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 203 Wagner 28.0 to 17.5
69 South Dakota State over 172 South Dakota 31.5 to 17.5
104 Southern Methodist over 186 Connecticut 35.0 to 21.0
46 Central Florida over 150 Temple 31.5 to 17.5
219 Texas - El Paso over 247 Florida International 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
138 Bowling Green over 145 Ohio 28.0 to 21.0
88 Toledo over 128 Buffalo 31.5 to 28.0
82 Marshall over 171 Tulsa 42.0 to 31.5
36 California - Los Angeles over 56 Washington 31.5 to 28.0
224 Alabama A&M over 189 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 31.5 to 28.0
55 New Hampshire over 116 Albany 35.0 to 28.0
110 Arkansas State over 170 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 21.0
9 Georgia over 27 Auburn 35.0 to 31.5
242 Southeast Missouri State over 250 Austin Peay 31.5 to 24.5
86 Brown over 101 Dartmouth 24.5 to 17.5
99 Monmouth over 162 Bryant 28.0 to 21.0
29 Eastern Washington over 74 California Poly 35.0 to 35.0
155 California over 194 Colorado 38.5 to 35.0
179 Cornell over 230 Columbia 31.5 to 24.5
146 Eastern Kentucky over 168 Tennessee - Martin 28.0 to 21.0
205 Florida A&M over 208 Delaware State 24.5 to 21.0
191 Charleston Southern over 233 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 21.0
204 Indiana State over 215 Western Illinois 24.5 to 24.5
100 Jacksonville over 231 Stetson 42.0 to 21.0
73 Fordham over 137 Lafayette 31.5 to 31.5
144 Stephen F. Austin over 217 Lamar 42.0 to 38.5
20 Louisville over 32 Houston 38.5 to 28.0
209 Akron over 236 Massachusetts 28.0 to 24.5
62 Northern Iowa over 122 Missouri State 28.0 to 21.0
108 Navy over 180 South Alabama 35.0 to 21.0
200 Norfolk State over 216 North Carolina Central 24.5 to 21.0
152 Portland State over 165 Sacramento State 31.5 to 31.5
97 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 118 Samford 24.5 to 21.0
59 San Diego over 92 Drake 28.0 to 21.0
11 Sam Houston State over 85 Southeast Louisiana 45.5 to 31.5
89 Illinois State over 139 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
222 Florida Atlantic over 243 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5
166 South Florida over 198 Memphis 28.0 to 17.5
5 Oklahoma State over 24 Texas 42.0 to 31.5
213 Howard over 241 Texas Southern 28.0 to 21.0
25 Towson over 81 William & Mary 24.5 to 21.0
127 Wofford over 126 Appalachian State 24.5 to 21.0
14 North Dakota State over 31 Youngstown State 31.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
113 Boston College over 129 North Carolina State 28.0 to 28.0
207 California - Davis over 176 North Dakota 24.5 to 24.5
84 Richmond over 79 Delaware 28.0 to 28.0
68 Miami - Florida over 75 Duke 31.5 to 31.5
53 Jacksonville State over 30 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 35.0
134 Marist over 141 Mercer 31.5 to 28.0
28 Nebraska over 39 Michigan State 21.0 to 21.0
120 San Jose State over 143 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 31.5
50 Michigan over 61 Northwestern 28.0 to 28.0
52 North Carolina over 76 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 28.0
157 Prairie View over 173 Abilene Christian 38.5 to 31.5
149 Louisiana Tech over 158 Rice 31.5 to 31.5
121 Robert Morris over 95 Sacred Heart 21.0 to 21.0
80 Cincinnati over 91 Rutgers 24.5 to 24.5
22 Stanford over 44 Southern California 24.5 to 24.5
201 Central Michigan over 206 Western Michigan 31.5 to 31.5
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