2013 Week 13 (19-23 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

   2 Florida State             over  239 Idaho                      73.5 to  0.0

80-90% chance of victory:

 136 Buffalo                   over  244 Miami - Ohio               35.0 to 14.0
  82 Southeast Louisiana       over  228 Nicholls State             45.5 to 14.0
   7 Alabama                   over   91 Tennessee - Chattanooga    38.5 to  7.0
 106 Appalachian State         over  229 Western Carolina           49.0 to 17.5
   6 Oregon                    over   60 Arizona                    45.5 to 24.5
 118 Arkansas State            over  223 Georgia State              42.0 to 17.5
  93 Liberty                   over  218 Charleston Southern        31.5 to 14.0
   8 Clemson                   over  135 The Citadel                49.0 to 17.5
  50 Southern California       over  171 Colorado                   38.5 to 14.0
  92 Brown                     over  232 Columbia                   31.5 to 10.5
 205 Delaware State            over  233 Morgan State               31.5 to 17.5
  96 Bowling Green             over  236 Eastern Michigan           42.0 to 14.0
  32 Eastern Washington        over  152 Portland State             49.0 to 28.0
 206 Florida Atlantic          over  237 New Mexico State           38.5 to 21.0
  74 Marshall                  over  246 Florida International      45.5 to 17.5
  22 Fresno State              over  199 New Mexico                 56.0 to 24.5
  12 Georgia                   over  132 Kentucky                   42.0 to 17.5
  55 Georgia Tech              over  214 Alabama A&M                42.0 to 17.5
 126 Southern Illinois         over  213 Indiana State              31.5 to 17.5
 100 Jacksonville State        over  235 Southeast Missouri State   45.5 to 17.5
  76 McNeese State             over  204 Lamar                      42.0 to 21.0
  26 Louisville                over  186 Memphis                    35.0 to  3.5
  67 Miami - Florida           over  168 Virginia                   38.5 to 21.0
  10 Wisconsin                 over   78 Minnesota                  35.0 to 17.5
  94 Bethune - Cookman         over  219 Florida A&M                35.0 to 14.0
   9 North Dakota State        over  182 South Dakota               45.5 to  3.5
  95 California Poly           over  220 Northern Colorado          35.0 to 17.5
  65 Northern Iowa             over  211 Western Illinois           35.0 to  7.0
   3 Ohio State                over  114 Indiana                    63.0 to 24.5
 120 Pennsylvania              over  167 Cornell                    35.0 to 21.0
 111 Samford                   over  210 Elon                       35.0 to 17.5
  23 Boise State               over  108 San Diego State            35.0 to 21.0
 169 Middle Tennessee State    over  241 Southern Mississippi       38.5 to 21.0
  28 Stanford                  over  154 California                 45.5 to 17.5
  25 Eastern Illinois          over  155 Tennessee - Martin         38.5 to 24.5
 197 Tennessee Tech            over  251 Austin Peay                42.0 to 21.0
  61 Utah State                over  117 Colorado State             38.5 to 28.0
 173 Bucknell                  over  243 Virginia Military          28.0 to  7.0
  59 Duke                      over  179 Wake Forest                35.0 to 21.0
  16 Harvard                   over  149 Yale                       42.0 to 21.0

70-80% chance of victory:

 162 Air Force                 over  200 Nevada - Las Vegas         38.5 to 28.0
 139 Rice                      over  222 Alabama - Birmingham       42.0 to 24.5
  48 Central Florida           over  122 Rutgers                    35.0 to 21.0
 203 Central Michigan          over  240 Massachusetts              28.0 to 17.5
 140 Holy Cross                over  191 Georgetown                 31.5 to 21.0
  51 Lehigh                    over  113 Lafayette                  31.5 to 21.0
  58 Mississippi State         over  127 Arkansas                   31.5 to 21.0
 151 North Carolina A&T        over  208 North Carolina Central     31.5 to 17.5
  80 Stony Brook               over  128 Albany                     31.5 to 21.0
 141 Temple                    over  195 Connecticut                31.5 to 21.0
  63 Utah                      over  129 Washington State           31.5 to 21.0
 227 Weber State               over  245 Idaho State                45.5 to 28.0

60-70% chance of victory:

 177 Ohio                      over  187 Kent State                 24.5 to 24.5
  19 Northern Illinois         over   79 Toledo                     45.5 to 38.5
  97 Navy                      over  131 San Jose State             31.5 to 24.5
  15 Arizona State             over   44 California - Los Angeles   35.0 to 28.0
  20 Sam Houston State         over  116 Central Arkansas           38.5 to 24.5
  87 Fordham                   over  144 Colgate                    31.5 to 28.0
  41 Princeton                 over   99 Dartmouth                  31.5 to 28.0
 234 Campbell                  over  248 Davidson                   31.5 to 28.0
  70 Florida                   over   39 Georgia Southern           28.0 to 21.0
  42 Cincinnati                over   35 Houston                    35.0 to 31.5
 133 Iowa State                over  165 Kansas                     28.0 to 21.0
  14 Kansas State              over   18 Oklahoma                   35.0 to 28.0
   4 Texas A&M                 over   11 Louisiana State            42.0 to 35.0
  88 Maryland                  over   85 Boston College             31.5 to 24.5
 176 Mercer                    over  230 Stetson                    28.0 to 21.0
  17 Missouri                  over   38 Mississippi                35.0 to 28.0
 101 Monmouth                  over  119 Duquesne                   24.5 to 21.0
  31 Montana                   over   86 Montana State              35.0 to 28.0
 138 Eastern Kentucky          over  170 Murray State               31.5 to 24.5
 146 South Carolina State      over  217 Norfolk State              24.5 to 14.0
  43 East Carolina             over  123 North Carolina State       38.5 to 28.0
 158 North Texas               over  159 Texas - San Antonio        24.5 to 21.0
  36 Michigan State            over   62 Northwestern               28.0 to 17.5
  29 Notre Dame                over   52 Brigham Young              28.0 to 21.0
  53 Villanova                 over   75 Delaware                   35.0 to 24.5
  54 Oregon State              over   68 Washington                 31.5 to 24.5
 224 Gardner - Webb            over  238 Presbyterian               28.0 to 24.5
 125 Illinois                  over  172 Purdue                     35.0 to 31.5
  66 Richmond                  over   84 William & Mary             24.5 to 21.0
 157 Sacramento State          over  201 California - Davis         28.0 to 24.5
  13 South Carolina            over   34 Coastal Carolina           42.0 to 24.5
 150 Southern Utah             over  137 Northern Arizona           21.0 to 21.0
 110 Southern Methodist        over  192 South Florida              31.5 to 24.5
  83 Pittsburgh                over  103 Syracuse                   24.5 to 24.5
  57 Vanderbilt                over  107 Tennessee                  35.0 to 24.5
  24 Towson                    over   64 James Madison              31.5 to 24.5
 174 Wyoming                   over  198 Hawaii                     35.0 to 28.0
  40 Youngstown State          over   69 South Dakota State         31.5 to 28.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 160 Bryant                    over  161 Central Connecticut        31.5 to 31.5
 134 Furman                    over  130 Wofford                    24.5 to 24.5
 189 Hampton                   over  184 Howard                     28.0 to 24.5
  33 Michigan                  over   71 Iowa                       24.5 to 21.0
 175 Louisiana Tech            over  166 Tulsa                      35.0 to 31.5
 221 Morehead State            over  216 North Carolina - Charlot   31.5 to 31.5
  27 Maine                     over   46 New Hampshire              31.5 to 28.0
  21 Old Dominion              over   56 North Carolina             38.5 to 38.5
 143 Stephen F. Austin         over  193 Northwestern State         42.0 to 42.0
   1 Baylor                    over    5 Oklahoma State             45.5 to 45.5
  49 Nebraska                  over   77 Penn State                 28.0 to 28.0
 178 Prairie View              over  180 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      45.5 to 45.5
 147 Robert Morris             over  153 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   24.5 to 24.5
 188 Northeast Louisiana       over  196 South Alabama              28.0 to 24.5
 163 Western Kentucky          over  185 Texas State - San Marcos   24.5 to 24.5
 215 Tulane                    over  212 Texas - El Paso            28.0 to 24.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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