2014 Week 3 (1-6 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

   9 Alabama                   over  221 Florida Atlantic           42.0 to 10.5
 140 Arkansas                  over  246 Nicholls State             42.0 to 17.5
   3 Baylor                    over  206 Northwestern State         56.0 to 17.5
  39 Florida                   over  234 Eastern Michigan           42.0 to 14.0
   1 Florida State             over  175 The Citadel                49.0 to 10.5
  84 Georgia Southern          over  252 Savannah State             49.0 to 10.5
  21 Louisville                over  183 Murray State               45.5 to 17.5
 106 Marshall                  over  201 Rhode Island               42.0 to 24.5
  17 Nebraska                  over  118 McNeese State              45.5 to 24.5
  38 Arizona State             over  226 New Mexico                 45.5 to 24.5
 160 Northeast Louisiana       over  243 Idaho                      35.0 to 21.0
   4 Oklahoma State            over  154 Missouri State             49.0 to 21.0
   5 Texas A&M                 over  218 Lamar                      63.0 to 28.0
  16 Wisconsin                 over  180 Western Illinois           38.5 to 14.0

80-90% chance of victory:

 163 Appalachian State         over  242 Campbell                   31.5 to 10.5
 131 Central Arkansas          over  228 Tennessee - Martin         38.5 to 24.5
  41 Clemson                   over  104 South Carolina State       35.0 to 21.0
  74 Dayton                    over  210 Georgetown                 35.0 to 14.0
 105 Holy Cross                over  230 Morgan State               35.0 to 17.5
 142 Illinois State            over  208 Mississippi Valley State   31.5 to 21.0
  23 Kansas State              over  120 Iowa State                 35.0 to 24.5
 136 Jackson State             over  250 Houston Baptist            52.5 to 21.0
 178 Kansas                    over  224 Southeast Missouri State   31.5 to 21.0
  58 Lehigh                    over  161 James Madison              35.0 to 17.5
  12 Louisiana State           over   69 Sam Houston State          45.5 to 24.5
  64 Miami - Florida           over  168 Florida A&M                35.0 to 17.5
  96 Rutgers                   over  240 Howard                     38.5 to 14.0
  34 Georgia Tech              over  194 Tulane                     42.0 to 24.5
  15 Oklahoma                  over  156 Tulsa                      38.5 to 24.5
 137 Utah State                over  247 Idaho State                38.5 to 17.5
  14 North Dakota State        over  217 Weber State                38.5 to 14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

 114 Nevada - Reno             over  173 Washington State           38.5 to 31.5
 109 Buffalo                   over  190 Army                       38.5 to 28.0
  36 Auburn                    over  101 San Jose State             42.0 to 28.0
  45 Boise State               over  113 Colorado State             31.5 to 21.0
  37 Iowa                      over   82 Ball State                 31.5 to 24.5
  63 Kentucky                  over  141 Ohio                       38.5 to 24.5
  83 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  177 Louisiana Tech             38.5 to 24.5
  80 Eastern Kentucky          over  222 Miami - Ohio               31.5 to 17.5
  51 Minnesota                 over  128 Middle Tennessee State     38.5 to 24.5
  33 Mississippi State         over  148 Alabama - Birmingham       38.5 to 24.5
  32 Northern Illinois         over  138 Northwestern               38.5 to 24.5
  10 Ohio State                over   24 Virginia Tech              35.0 to 24.5
   2 Oregon                    over    6 Michigan State             38.5 to 28.0
  40 Penn State                over  122 Akron                      35.0 to 21.0
 111 South Dakota State        over  187 California Poly            28.0 to 14.0
  55 Southeast Louisiana       over  165 Southern Utah              35.0 to 17.5
  26 Maryland                  over  174 South Florida              38.5 to 21.0
  22 Texas                     over   25 Brigham Young              31.5 to 24.5
  75 Texas Tech                over  193 Texas - El Paso            38.5 to 28.0
  66 Duke                      over  236 Troy State                 45.5 to 24.5
  52 Utah                      over  123 Fresno State               38.5 to 28.0
  31 Mississippi               over  157 Vanderbilt                 35.0 to 17.5
  54 West Virginia             over  115 Towson                     38.5 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  30 Arizona                   over   95 Texas - San Antonio        35.0 to 31.5
   7 Pittsburgh                over   78 Boston College             35.0 to 24.5
 112 Alabama State             over   99 Tennessee State            28.0 to 28.0
 155 Bowling Green             over  232 Virginia Military          42.0 to 28.0
 130 California                over  144 Sacramento State           35.0 to 28.0
  61 California - Los Angeles  over  100 Memphis                    35.0 to 28.0
  98 Central Connecticut       over  134 Albany                     31.5 to 24.5
 103 Eastern Illinois          over  107 Southern Illinois          31.5 to 28.0
 121 Wagner                    over  213 Florida International      24.5 to 17.5
  59 Oregon State              over  149 Hawaii                     28.0 to 24.5
 150 Houston                   over  231 Grambling                  31.5 to 17.5
 132 Marist                    over  181 Bucknell                   28.0 to 21.0
  29 North Carolina            over   65 San Diego State            42.0 to 31.5
  81 North Carolina State      over  102 Old Dominion               38.5 to 35.0
 169 Robert Morris             over  233 North Dakota               24.5 to 17.5
  67 Sacred Heart              over   92 Lafayette                  31.5 to 24.5
 153 Alcorn State              over  239 Southern Mississippi       31.5 to 24.5
 211 Stephen F. Austin         over  248 Incarnate Word             49.0 to 31.5
  42 Temple                    over   91 Navy                       31.5 to 24.5
  43 Tennessee                 over   62 Arkansas State             35.0 to 28.0
  60 Richmond                  over  129 Virginia                   28.0 to 24.5
 172 Wake Forest               over  207 Gardner - Webb             21.0 to 14.0
  79 Washington                over   87 Eastern Washington         35.0 to 31.5
 135 Wyoming                   over  159 Air Force                  31.5 to 28.0
 110 Youngstown State          over  117 Duquesne                   28.0 to 24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

 209 Abilene Christian         over  189 Northern Arizona           38.5 to 35.0
 116 Stony Brook               over  164 Connecticut                17.5 to 17.5
 205 Delaware                  over  223 Delaware State             28.0 to 24.5
 195 New Mexico State          over  212 Georgia State              31.5 to 31.5
 108 William & Mary            over  171 Hampton                    24.5 to 21.0
  76 Western Kentucky          over   88 Illinois                   35.0 to 35.0
 192 Tennessee Tech            over  204 Indiana State              24.5 to 24.5
 176 Kent State                over  188 South Alabama              28.0 to 28.0
 198 Colorado                  over  216 Massachusetts              21.0 to 21.0
 147 Furman                    over  199 Mercer                     38.5 to 35.0
 225 Nevada - Las Vegas        over  220 Northern Colorado          31.5 to 28.0
 126 Liberty                   over  146 Norfolk State              24.5 to 24.5
  85 North Carolina A&T        over   86 Coastal Carolina           35.0 to 31.5
 167 North Texas               over  166 Southern Methodist         21.0 to 17.5
  28 Notre Dame                over   20 Michigan                   35.0 to 31.5
 133 Central Michigan          over  179 Purdue                     31.5 to 31.5
  50 South Carolina            over   46 East Carolina              35.0 to 31.5
  13 Stanford                  over    8 Southern California        28.0 to 28.0
 127 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  139 Jacksonville State         28.0 to 24.5
  35 Toledo                    over   27 Missouri                   38.5 to 35.0
  68 Villanova                 over   53 Fordham                    35.0 to 35.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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