ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
19 Harvard over 120 Holy Cross 38.5 to 21.0
24 Boise State over 207 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 14.0
38 Cincinnati over 214 Miami - Ohio 42.0 to 17.5
145 Eastern Illinois over 248 Austin Peay 45.5 to 14.0
11 Georgia over 215 Troy State 49.0 to 14.0
12 Michigan State over 243 Eastern Michigan 49.0 to 10.5
67 North Carolina State over 233 Presbyterian 42.0 to 14.0
70 Northern Iowa over 224 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 14.0
72 Washington over 232 Georgia State 45.5 to 24.5
3 Oregon over 136 Washington State 49.0 to 28.0
80-90% chance of victory:
89 Alabama State over 234 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 45.5 to 21.0
46 Marshall over 171 Akron 38.5 to 28.0
13 Brigham Young over 98 Virginia 35.0 to 21.0
77 Fordham over 213 Columbia 35.0 to 21.0
65 Duke over 203 Tulane 38.5 to 24.5
32 Louisville over 218 Florida International 38.5 to 17.5
1 Florida State over 10 Clemson 42.0 to 28.0
106 Houston over 216 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 21.0
130 Jackson State over 228 Grambling 35.0 to 21.0
5 Louisiana State over 44 Mississippi State 31.5 to 17.5
108 Minnesota over 183 San Jose State 31.5 to 21.0
15 Missouri over 142 Indiana 45.5 to 28.0
14 Nebraska over 50 Miami - Florida 38.5 to 24.5
9 North Dakota State over 88 Montana 31.5 to 14.0
153 North Texas over 249 Nicholls State 45.5 to 17.5
168 Ohio over 240 Idaho 35.0 to 21.0
55 Penn State over 197 Massachusetts 35.0 to 14.0
53 Southern Illinois over 206 Purdue 35.0 to 21.0
172 Samford over 229 Virginia Military 35.0 to 28.0
6 Texas A&M over 182 Southern Methodist 45.5 to 17.5
90 Appalachian State over 235 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 17.5
76 Eastern Kentucky over 184 Tennessee - Martin 31.5 to 21.0
97 Tennessee State over 242 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 14.0
118 Towson over 231 North Carolina Central 35.0 to 14.0
26 Virginia Tech over 45 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 24.5
23 Wisconsin over 116 Bowling Green 38.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
191 Abilene Christian over 245 Incarnate Word 52.5 to 31.5
4 Alabama over 28 Florida 31.5 to 17.5
48 Arizona over 134 California 38.5 to 24.5
71 Dartmouth over 157 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 21.0
86 Dayton over 185 Robert Morris 28.0 to 14.0
58 Coastal Carolina over 186 Florida A&M 35.0 to 24.5
156 Fresno State over 192 Southern Utah 35.0 to 24.5
41 Brown over 143 Georgetown 31.5 to 21.0
104 Stony Brook over 226 North Dakota 31.5 to 17.5
61 Oregon State over 99 San Diego State 31.5 to 24.5
91 Albany over 222 Rhode Island 28.0 to 14.0
64 Sacred Heart over 117 Bucknell 31.5 to 21.0
42 Georgia Southern over 188 South Alabama 38.5 to 28.0
105 Southeast Louisiana over 225 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 24.5
87 Temple over 174 Delaware State 35.0 to 21.0
33 South Carolina over 154 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 21.0
35 Villanova over 74 James Madison 31.5 to 24.5
62 Youngstown State over 158 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
29 Kansas State over 27 Auburn 35.0 to 31.5
54 Arkansas over 36 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 31.5
84 Boston College over 82 Maine 24.5 to 17.5
163 Buffalo over 173 Norfolk State 28.0 to 21.0
81 Central Florida over 122 Bethune - Cookman 31.5 to 21.0
111 Colgate over 149 Cornell 31.5 to 24.5
138 Hawaii over 202 Colorado 35.0 to 31.5
152 Drake over 164 Marist 21.0 to 17.5
80 Duquesne over 83 Monmouth 31.5 to 24.5
115 Wofford over 198 Gardner - Webb 24.5 to 17.5
73 Pennsylvania over 141 Jacksonville 28.0 to 24.5
126 Louisiana Tech over 181 Northwestern State 38.5 to 28.0
137 Memphis over 150 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 35.0
16 Utah over 60 Michigan 35.0 to 28.0
176 Alcorn State over 237 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 24.5
94 Navy over 109 Rutgers 31.5 to 24.5
223 New Mexico over 238 New Mexico State 35.0 to 31.5
212 Morgan State over 220 Howard 28.0 to 28.0
127 Northwestern over 151 Western Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
57 Pittsburgh over 59 Iowa 28.0 to 21.0
219 Prairie View over 221 Southern 35.0 to 31.5
114 Old Dominion over 195 Rice 35.0 to 28.0
175 Stephen F. Austin over 204 Weber State 38.5 to 31.5
217 Texas Southern over 227 Alabama A&M 28.0 to 24.5
113 Toledo over 123 Ball State 38.5 to 31.5
155 Wake Forest over 178 Army 28.0 to 24.5
209 Western Michigan over 210 Murray State 38.5 to 35.0
39 Lafayette over 68 William & Mary 28.0 to 24.5
165 Wyoming over 179 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
146 Connecticut over 187 South Florida 24.5 to 21.0
128 Arkansas State over 107 Utah State 28.0 to 24.5
169 Portland State over 180 California Poly 28.0 to 28.0
102 Missouri State over 140 Central Arkansas 35.0 to 31.5
132 The Citadel over 159 Charleston Southern 21.0 to 21.0
244 Davidson over 241 Morehead State 31.5 to 31.5
69 East Carolina over 51 North Carolina 38.5 to 35.0
177 North Carolina - Charlot over 205 Elon 42.0 to 38.5
135 Illinois over 147 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 28.0
166 Central Michigan over 211 Kansas 24.5 to 24.5
78 Bryant over 110 Liberty 28.0 to 28.0
79 Eastern Washington over 112 Montana State 38.5 to 38.5
49 New Hampshire over 93 Richmond 31.5 to 31.5
31 San Diego over 40 Princeton 31.5 to 31.5
170 South Carolina State over 144 Furman 14.0 to 14.0
189 South Dakota over 160 Northern Arizona 24.5 to 24.5
75 Maryland over 96 Syracuse 28.0 to 28.0
7 Oklahoma over 30 West Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
56 Lehigh over 101 Yale 31.5 to 28.0
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