ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
14 Oklahoma State over 136 Texas Tech 45.5 to 24.5
22 Auburn over 157 Louisiana Tech 42.0 to 21.0
165 Central Arkansas over 249 Nicholls State 45.5 to 21.0
7 Clemson over 68 North Carolina 45.5 to 28.0
40 Coastal Carolina over 202 Elon 42.0 to 17.5
4 Georgia over 94 Tennessee 45.5 to 21.0
31 Illinois State over 247 Austin Peay 49.0 to 10.5
3 Baylor over 116 Iowa State 49.0 to 28.0
44 Kansas State over 200 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 17.5
11 Louisiana State over 233 New Mexico State 49.0 to 10.5
36 Louisville over 159 Wake Forest 35.0 to 17.5
13 Michigan State over 171 Wyoming 38.5 to 14.0
82 Montana over 230 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 10.5
21 Nebraska over 141 Illinois 42.0 to 24.5
8 Ohio State over 63 Cincinnati 42.0 to 28.0
45 Pittsburgh over 205 Akron 38.5 to 17.5
33 Princeton over 241 Davidson 52.5 to 17.5
92 San Diego State over 218 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 21.0
20 Texas Christian over 210 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 10.5
26 Utah over 134 Washington State 38.5 to 24.5
10 Wisconsin over 178 South Florida 45.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
38 Georgia Southern over 125 Appalachian State 38.5 to 21.0
17 Boise State over 166 Air Force 38.5 to 24.5
79 Alabama State over 174 Texas Southern 38.5 to 28.0
53 Albany over 223 Columbia 31.5 to 10.5
146 Alcorn State over 212 Southern 38.5 to 24.5
152 Buffalo over 217 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 21.0
124 California over 194 Colorado 38.5 to 28.0
155 Central Connecticut over 239 Rhode Island 31.5 to 14.0
220 Delaware State over 252 Savannah State 38.5 to 17.5
145 Furman over 235 Western Carolina 31.5 to 17.5
129 Southeast Louisiana over 245 Incarnate Word 42.0 to 21.0
76 Lafayette over 191 Wagner 35.0 to 17.5
16 Mississippi over 133 Memphis 42.0 to 24.5
119 Montana State over 208 North Dakota 35.0 to 21.0
89 Jacksonville State over 226 Murray State 42.0 to 28.0
1 Florida State over 66 North Carolina State 35.0 to 24.5
41 Northern Iowa over 228 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 14.0
48 Penn State over 137 Northwestern 31.5 to 17.5
83 Tennessee State over 219 Florida A&M 28.0 to 10.5
112 Toledo over 167 Central Michigan 38.5 to 24.5
103 Virginia over 198 Kent State 35.0 to 17.5
29 Virginia Tech over 173 Western Michigan 42.0 to 17.5
30 Yale over 181 Army 45.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
115 Fresno State over 227 New Mexico 45.5 to 35.0
127 Old Dominion over 175 Middle Tennessee State 42.0 to 31.5
169 Alabama - Birmingham over 216 Florida International 38.5 to 28.0
77 Eastern Washington over 209 California - Davis 42.0 to 28.0
55 Temple over 147 Connecticut 31.5 to 21.0
183 Abilene Christian over 251 Houston Baptist 52.5 to 28.0
122 North Carolina A&T over 224 Howard 31.5 to 21.0
50 Texas over 189 Kansas 31.5 to 17.5
111 Sam Houston State over 229 Lamar 38.5 to 28.0
85 Lehigh over 123 Monmouth 38.5 to 28.0
34 San Diego over 163 Marist 31.5 to 17.5
184 Northeast Louisiana over 231 Troy State 31.5 to 21.0
23 Notre Dame over 86 Syracuse 31.5 to 24.5
2 Texas A&M over 37 Arkansas 45.5 to 31.5
24 Villanova over 142 Pennsylvania 38.5 to 21.0
118 Rutgers over 207 Tulane 31.5 to 21.0
28 Southern California over 64 Oregon State 31.5 to 17.5
87 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 161 Samford 31.5 to 24.5
144 The Citadel over 201 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 17.5
131 Mercer over 236 Virginia Military 49.0 to 31.5
60-70% chance of victory:
39 Arizona State over 49 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 31.5
158 Jackson State over 222 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 28.0
18 Harvard over 67 Brown 24.5 to 21.0
101 Bucknell over 135 Cornell 28.0 to 28.0
248 Campbell over 250 Valparaiso 28.0 to 21.0
143 Texas - San Antonio over 176 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 28.0
56 Fordham over 120 Holy Cross 35.0 to 28.0
204 South Alabama over 238 Idaho 35.0 to 28.0
188 Sacramento State over 240 Idaho State 38.5 to 31.5
81 Maryland over 138 Indiana 35.0 to 35.0
88 Liberty over 156 Indiana State 28.0 to 24.5
109 James Madison over 139 Delaware 31.5 to 24.5
128 Kentucky over 153 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 28.0
140 Bowling Green over 214 Massachusetts 31.5 to 24.5
71 Miami - Florida over 72 Duke 35.0 to 31.5
80 Michigan over 90 Minnesota 28.0 to 21.0
232 Alabama A&M over 244 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 21.0
96 Navy over 132 Western Kentucky 35.0 to 31.5
172 Norfolk State over 199 Morgan State 24.5 to 21.0
95 Eastern Illinois over 177 Ohio 31.5 to 28.0
65 Iowa over 168 Purdue 28.0 to 21.0
97 Nevada - Reno over 160 San Jose State 31.5 to 28.0
15 South Carolina over 25 Missouri 31.5 to 28.0
104 Southern Illinois over 154 Western Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
162 Rice over 225 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 24.5
180 Southern Utah over 221 Weber State 24.5 to 17.5
149 Texas State - San Marcos over 193 Tulsa 31.5 to 28.0
19 Stanford over 61 Washington 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
57 Boston College over 47 Colorado State 35.0 to 31.5
108 Jacksonville over 151 Butler 31.5 to 28.0
105 Colgate over 100 Georgetown 24.5 to 21.0
190 Hampton over 148 South Carolina State 21.0 to 21.0
60 New Hampshire over 58 Dartmouth 28.0 to 28.0
187 North Carolina - Charlot over 192 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 31.5
130 California Poly over 170 Northern Arizona 24.5 to 24.5
195 Prairie View over 211 Grambling 35.0 to 31.5
73 William & Mary over 93 Stony Brook 21.0 to 21.0
206 Tennessee - Martin over 213 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 31.5
126 Towson over 121 Maine 24.5 to 21.0
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