ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
89 Fresno State over 221 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 24.5
99 Bethune - Cookman over 222 Howard 35.0 to 17.5
148 Central Arkansas over 252 Houston Baptist 52.5 to 17.5
131 Buffalo over 246 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 21.0
44 Georgia Southern over 240 Idaho 49.0 to 17.5
9 Harvard over 188 Cornell 42.0 to 14.0
155 Jackson State over 242 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 17.5
59 Monmouth over 235 Columbia 35.0 to 14.0
136 Navy over 243 Virginia Military 38.5 to 21.0
51 Coastal Carolina over 241 Presbyterian 42.0 to 17.5
31 San Diego over 244 Stetson 52.5 to 21.0
1 Florida State over 100 Syracuse 38.5 to 21.0
10 Villanova over 224 Rhode Island 45.5 to 14.0
15 Wisconsin over 158 Illinois 38.5 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
16 Stanford over 132 Washington State 38.5 to 21.0
121 Delaware over 220 Elon 28.0 to 14.0
129 Drake over 239 Davidson 35.0 to 17.5
218 Florida A&M over 249 Savannah State 31.5 to 14.0
39 Fordham over 120 Pennsylvania 38.5 to 24.5
108 Arkansas State over 232 Georgia State 35.0 to 24.5
29 Illinois State over 156 Indiana State 35.0 to 21.0
14 Oklahoma State over 190 Kansas 38.5 to 17.5
86 Kentucky over 189 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 17.5
115 Lafayette over 150 Georgetown 28.0 to 21.0
30 Marshall over 165 Middle Tennessee State 45.5 to 24.5
172 Mercer over 250 Austin Peay 45.5 to 17.5
55 Miami - Florida over 95 Cincinnati 35.0 to 24.5
69 Jacksonville over 238 Morehead State 49.0 to 24.5
191 Stephen F. Austin over 251 Nicholls State 45.5 to 24.5
124 North Carolina A&T over 186 Hampton 28.0 to 17.5
19 North Dakota State over 101 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 14.0
56 Northern Illinois over 164 Central Michigan 38.5 to 21.0
193 Northwestern State over 247 Incarnate Word 42.0 to 21.0
11 Michigan State over 147 Purdue 35.0 to 21.0
91 Sacred Heart over 198 Robert Morris 31.5 to 14.0
58 Northern Iowa over 196 South Dakota 31.5 to 21.0
26 East Carolina over 169 South Florida 42.0 to 24.5
49 Temple over 203 Tulsa 42.0 to 21.0
66 Youngstown State over 161 Western Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
98 San Diego State over 202 New Mexico 31.5 to 24.5
166 Akron over 213 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 21.0
68 Brown over 138 Holy Cross 24.5 to 14.0
170 Butler over 245 Campbell 35.0 to 21.0
8 Clemson over 22 Louisville 38.5 to 24.5
70 Eastern Kentucky over 97 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
42 Georgia Tech over 78 Duke 35.0 to 28.0
114 Alcorn State over 200 Grambling 35.0 to 28.0
127 Southeast Louisiana over 234 Lamar 35.0 to 24.5
20 Notre Dame over 73 North Carolina 35.0 to 24.5
18 Oklahoma over 53 Texas 28.0 to 21.0
130 South Carolina State over 215 North Carolina Central 28.0 to 14.0
67 Utah State over 140 Air Force 31.5 to 24.5
146 Vanderbilt over 194 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 21.0
128 California Poly over 226 Weber State 35.0 to 24.5
141 Wofford over 228 Western Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
63 Yale over 94 Dartmouth 35.0 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
207 Tennessee - Martin over 229 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 28.0
212 Alabama A&M over 216 Southern 31.5 to 28.0
137 North Texas over 210 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 31.5
72 Albany over 87 Richmond 31.5 to 28.0
17 Southern California over 38 Arizona 31.5 to 31.5
3 Alabama over 40 Arkansas 31.5 to 28.0
159 Army over 157 Rice 31.5 to 31.5
139 Ball State over 168 Western Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
2 Baylor over 4 Texas Christian 38.5 to 31.5
57 Washington over 151 California 38.5 to 35.0
111 Montana State over 187 California - Davis 31.5 to 24.5
6 Oregon over 36 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 35.0
80 Duquesne over 144 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 24.5
45 Princeton over 102 Colgate 35.0 to 31.5
174 Hawaii over 182 Wyoming 28.0 to 24.5
62 Iowa over 122 Indiana 31.5 to 28.0
104 James Madison over 110 Towson 28.0 to 24.5
199 Kent State over 223 Massachusetts 28.0 to 24.5
96 Lehigh over 112 Bucknell 31.5 to 24.5
85 Dayton over 153 Marist 28.0 to 21.0
75 Minnesota over 74 Northwestern 24.5 to 21.0
23 Auburn over 41 Mississippi State 31.5 to 28.0
7 Georgia over 25 Missouri 35.0 to 31.5
33 New Hampshire over 46 William & Mary 31.5 to 24.5
185 Norfolk State over 219 Delaware State 17.5 to 14.0
81 North Carolina State over 82 Boston College 28.0 to 24.5
116 Alabama State over 180 Prairie View 35.0 to 28.0
52 McNeese State over 119 Sam Houston State 35.0 to 28.0
117 South Dakota State over 123 Missouri State 28.0 to 24.5
106 Eastern Washington over 192 Southern Utah 42.0 to 31.5
93 Stony Brook over 113 Maine 21.0 to 17.5
90 Tennessee over 79 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 28.0
12 Texas A&M over 21 Mississippi 35.0 to 28.0
163 Old Dominion over 225 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 31.5
181 Texas - San Antonio over 201 Florida International 28.0 to 21.0
47 West Virginia over 103 Texas Tech 38.5 to 35.0
135 The Citadel over 209 North Carolina - Charlot 42.0 to 35.0
233 Troy State over 237 New Mexico State 31.5 to 28.0
175 Wagner over 176 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
48 Central Florida over 35 Brigham Young 28.0 to 24.5
142 Appalachian State over 125 Liberty 28.0 to 28.0
13 Louisiana State over 43 Florida 24.5 to 21.0
109 Iowa State over 118 Toledo 35.0 to 31.5
60 Houston over 126 Memphis 31.5 to 28.0
88 Michigan over 50 Penn State 24.5 to 21.0
195 Southeast Missouri State over 206 Murray State 35.0 to 35.0
84 Nevada - Reno over 71 Colorado State 31.5 to 31.5
197 North Dakota over 179 Portland State 28.0 to 28.0
208 Sacramento State over 230 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 28.0
154 Ohio over 133 Bowling Green 28.0 to 28.0
61 Jacksonville State over 105 Tennessee State 28.0 to 28.0
171 Connecticut over 211 Tulane 24.5 to 24.5
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