2014 Week 9 (14-18 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  27 Central Florida           over  198 Tulane                     38.5 to 17.5
  81 Dayton                    over  245 Morehead State             45.5 to 21.0
  96 Eastern Washington        over  232 Northern Colorado          49.0 to 28.0
   6 Harvard                   over  101 Lafayette                  38.5 to 17.5
  12 Louisiana State           over   76 Kentucky                   38.5 to 21.0
  73 Montana                   over  218 California - Davis         35.0 to 14.0
  94 Montana State             over  224 Weber State                45.5 to 28.0
  13 North Dakota State        over  161 Indiana State              31.5 to 10.5
  85 Northern Illinois         over  227 Miami - Ohio               35.0 to 17.5
   4 Ohio State                over   79 Rutgers                    42.0 to 21.0
   7 Oregon                    over   55 Washington                 45.5 to 28.0
  86 Richmond                  over  229 Rhode Island               38.5 to 17.5
  80 Bethune - Cookman         over  248 Savannah State             42.0 to 14.0
  22 Southern California       over  190 Colorado                   42.0 to 17.5
 107 Cincinnati                over  231 Southern Methodist         35.0 to 21.0
 108 Drake                     over  249 Valparaiso                 42.0 to 17.5

80-90% chance of victory:

  29 Boise State               over   90 Fresno State               38.5 to 24.5
 132 Alcorn State              over  212 Texas Southern             35.0 to 24.5
 222 Murray State              over  250 Austin Peay                35.0 to 21.0
  52 San Diego                 over  206 Butler                     35.0 to 17.5
 185 Charleston Southern       over  242 Presbyterian               31.5 to 17.5
  36 Marshall                  over  186 Florida International      38.5 to 21.0
   1 Florida State             over   20 Notre Dame                 35.0 to 21.0
 182 Stephen F. Austin         over  252 Houston Baptist            49.0 to 24.5
  21 Louisville                over   99 North Carolina State       31.5 to 17.5
 197 Massachusetts             over  246 Eastern Michigan           38.5 to 24.5
  83 Minnesota                 over  157 Purdue                     31.5 to 21.0
  15 Mississippi               over   71 Tennessee                  35.0 to 21.0
 112 Missouri State            over  204 South Dakota               35.0 to 21.0
 236 Lamar                     over  251 Nicholls State             35.0 to 24.5
 168 North Texas               over  228 Southern Mississippi       35.0 to 24.5
   8 Oklahoma                  over   23 Kansas State               38.5 to 24.5
 158 Pennsylvania              over  238 Columbia                   31.5 to 17.5
 169 South Alabama             over  239 Georgia State              38.5 to 24.5
  33 South Carolina            over  173 Furman                     35.0 to 14.0
 118 Tennessee State           over  192 Tennessee - Martin         28.0 to 17.5
  66 Eastern Kentucky          over  223 Tennessee Tech             35.0 to 21.0
  46 Texas                     over  116 Iowa State                 31.5 to 17.5
   9 Texas Christian           over   16 Oklahoma State             38.5 to 28.0
 119 Texas Tech                over  170 Kansas                     35.0 to 21.0

70-80% chance of victory:

 162 Texas State - San Marcos  over  176 Louisiana - Lafayette      35.0 to 31.5
 159 Air Force                 over  196 New Mexico                 31.5 to 24.5
   5 Clemson                   over   59 Boston College             35.0 to 24.5
 114 Bowling Green             over  152 Western Michigan           35.0 to 28.0
  41 Brigham Young             over  115 Nevada - Reno              35.0 to 21.0
  30 California - Los Angeles  over  150 California                 38.5 to 31.5
 124 Delaware                  over  141 Towson                     28.0 to 21.0
 127 North Carolina A&T        over  211 Delaware State             24.5 to 17.5
  69 Stony Brook               over  199 Elon                       24.5 to 14.0
  14 Michigan State            over  122 Indiana                    38.5 to 31.5
 145 Louisiana Tech            over  203 Texas - San Antonio        31.5 to 24.5
  84 McNeese State             over  177 Abilene Christian          45.5 to 31.5
 160 Prairie View              over  233 Mississippi Valley State   38.5 to 28.0
   2 Georgia                   over   34 Arkansas                   38.5 to 28.0
  49 Northern Iowa             over  117 South Dakota State         31.5 to 21.0
 113 Bryant                    over  183 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   35.0 to 28.0
  87 Jacksonville              over  235 Stetson                    45.5 to 31.5
  54 Illinois State            over  154 Western Illinois           28.0 to 21.0
  67 Yale                      over  105 Colgate                    35.0 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  31 Virginia Tech             over   89 Pittsburgh                 24.5 to 24.5
  10 Alabama                   over   18 Texas A&M                  31.5 to 28.0
 129 Central Michigan          over  144 Ball State                 31.5 to 24.5
  68 Colorado State            over   64 Utah State                 31.5 to 28.0
  92 Lehigh                    over  175 Cornell                    31.5 to 24.5
 104 Dartmouth                 over  123 Holy Cross                 31.5 to 24.5
  32 Florida                   over   37 Missouri                   28.0 to 21.0
 137 Western Kentucky          over  208 Florida Atlantic           35.0 to 28.0
 217 Grambling                 over  219 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      35.0 to 28.0
 194 Hampton                   over  191 Norfolk State              21.0 to 14.0
 226 Howard                    over  225 Florida A&M                24.5 to 21.0
 189 Southern Utah             over  234 Idaho State                35.0 to 31.5
 181 Army                      over  214 Kent State                 28.0 to 24.5
  93 Maine                     over  100 Albany                     24.5 to 24.5
  57 Maryland                  over   60 Iowa                       28.0 to 21.0
 163 Mercer                    over  220 Western Carolina           42.0 to 31.5
 178 Morgan State              over  207 North Carolina Central     31.5 to 24.5
  24 Nebraska                  over   72 Northwestern               31.5 to 24.5
 103 Sam Houston State         over  184 Northwestern State         31.5 to 28.0
 164 Ohio                      over  179 Akron                      24.5 to 24.5
  56 Princeton                 over   78 Brown                      31.5 to 24.5
 146 Central Connecticut       over  205 Robert Morris              28.0 to 21.0
 134 California Poly           over  201 Sacramento State           38.5 to 31.5
 143 Samford                   over  135 Wofford                    28.0 to 24.5
 109 San Diego State           over  171 Hawaii                     28.0 to 21.0
 125 Southeast Louisiana       over  121 Central Arkansas           35.0 to 31.5
 120 Eastern Illinois          over  193 Southeast Missouri State   38.5 to 31.5
 131 Appalachian State         over  230 Troy State                 35.0 to 28.0
 156 South Florida             over  202 Tulsa                      28.0 to 24.5
 221 Gardner - Webb            over  241 Virginia Military          28.0 to 24.5
  98 Syracuse                  over  149 Wake Forest                24.5 to 21.0
   3 Baylor                    over   40 West Virginia              42.0 to 35.0
  19 Villanova                 over   77 William & Mary             31.5 to 24.5
 153 San Jose State            over  180 Wyoming                    28.0 to 24.5
  82 Youngstown State          over   95 Southern Illinois          31.5 to 24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

  35 Utah                      over   62 Oregon State               28.0 to 28.0
  51 Temple                    over   88 Houston                    28.0 to 28.0
  17 Stanford                  over   47 Arizona State              28.0 to 28.0
 244 Campbell                  over  243 Davidson                   31.5 to 28.0
  63 Duke                      over   70 Virginia                   31.5 to 31.5
  91 Duquesne                  over   58 Sacred Heart               28.0 to 24.5
 237 Idaho                     over  240 New Mexico State           35.0 to 31.5
 187 Middle Tennessee State    over  174 Alabama - Birmingham       35.0 to 35.0
  65 North Carolina            over   45 Georgia Tech               35.0 to 35.0
 195 Portland State            over  166 Northern Arizona           28.0 to 28.0
 106 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  140 The Citadel                28.0 to 28.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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