2014 Week 14 (18-22 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  88 Southeast Louisiana       over  251 Nicholls State             52.5 to 14.0
   1 Alabama                   over  227 Western Carolina           45.5 to 10.5
  33 Marshall                  over  216 Alabama - Birmingham       45.5 to 28.0
  19 Arizona State             over  139 Washington State           45.5 to 28.0
  26 Fordham                   over  193 Army                       45.5 to 24.5
 151 Ball State                over  247 Eastern Michigan           38.5 to 17.5
  41 Brigham Young             over  250 Savannah State             52.5 to  7.0
  80 Brown                     over  225 Columbia                   31.5 to 14.0
  42 Central Florida           over  224 Southern Methodist         38.5 to 14.0
  18 Clemson                   over  241 Georgia State              49.0 to 14.0
  83 Colorado State            over  199 New Mexico                 42.0 to 28.0
  82 Dayton                    over  245 Campbell                   42.0 to 14.0
 125 Duquesne                  over  229 Robert Morris              28.0 to 10.5
  59 East Carolina             over  210 Tulane                     38.5 to 21.0
   3 Florida State             over   70 Boston College             38.5 to 21.0
  10 Georgia                   over  173 Charleston Southern        45.5 to 17.5
   6 Harvard                   over   55 Yale                       38.5 to 24.5
  58 Houston                   over  187 Tulsa                      38.5 to 21.0
  50 James Madison             over  194 Elon                       35.0 to 14.0
   9 Michigan State            over   95 Rutgers                    38.5 to 17.5
  12 North Dakota State        over  100 Youngstown State           31.5 to 17.5
  37 Northern Iowa             over  146 Missouri State             35.0 to 17.5
   7 Ohio State                over  149 Indiana                    49.0 to 24.5
  11 Oklahoma                  over  170 Kansas                     42.0 to 14.0
   2 Oregon                    over  189 Colorado                   52.5 to 21.0
  40 South Carolina            over  196 South Alabama              38.5 to 21.0
 101 South Dakota State        over  220 South Dakota               38.5 to 21.0
  48 Jacksonville State        over  213 Southeast Missouri State   38.5 to 21.0
  17 Boise State               over  158 Wyoming                    38.5 to 24.5

80-90% chance of victory:

  68 Eastern Washington        over  207 Portland State             42.0 to 31.5
  64 Utah State                over  155 San Jose State             31.5 to 21.0
  75 Alcorn State              over  168 Jackson State              38.5 to 24.5
  38 Auburn                    over  122 Samford                    38.5 to 24.5
 226 Tennessee Tech            over  249 Austin Peay                31.5 to 17.5
   5 Baylor                    over   46 Oklahoma State             45.5 to 28.0
  22 Stanford                  over  128 California                 31.5 to 24.5
  65 Eastern Illinois          over  175 Tennessee - Martin         38.5 to 24.5
  28 Florida                   over   92 Eastern Kentucky           35.0 to 21.0
  60 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  181 Furman                     31.5 to 21.0
  39 Penn State                over  143 Illinois                   28.0 to 21.0
  63 Illinois State            over  136 Southern Illinois          35.0 to 21.0
   4 Wisconsin                 over   54 Iowa                       31.5 to 21.0
  27 New Hampshire             over   93 Maine                      31.5 to 24.5
 150 McNeese State             over  230 Lamar                      38.5 to 24.5
  35 Mississippi State         over  126 Vanderbilt                 35.0 to 21.0
 133 Monmouth                  over  234 Gardner - Webb             31.5 to 17.5
  91 Bethune - Cookman         over  197 Florida A&M                31.5 to 17.5
  34 Nebraska                  over   66 Minnesota                  35.0 to 24.5
 179 Northeast Louisiana       over  244 New Mexico State           31.5 to 21.0
 123 South Carolina State      over  201 Norfolk State              24.5 to 10.5
 165 The Citadel               over  242 Virginia Military          35.0 to 24.5
 160 Western Kentucky          over  211 Texas - San Antonio        35.0 to 24.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  67 Northern Illinois         over  164 Ohio                       31.5 to 24.5
 152 Buffalo                   over  184 Kent State                 28.0 to 24.5
  79 Bryant                    over  142 Wagner                     28.0 to 17.5
  56 Coastal Carolina          over  117 Liberty                    42.0 to 31.5
  52 Cincinnati                over  144 Connecticut                31.5 to 24.5
  25 Villanova                 over  127 Delaware                   35.0 to 24.5
 178 Hawaii                    over  215 Nevada - Las Vegas         31.5 to 24.5
 106 Memphis                   over  147 South Florida              28.0 to 21.0
  72 Montana                   over  132 Montana State              35.0 to 24.5
 212 Morgan State              over  231 Delaware State             28.0 to 21.0
  87 North Carolina A&T        over  192 North Carolina Central     31.5 to 24.5
 154 Northern Arizona          over  206 Southern Utah              28.0 to 21.0
 137 Towson                    over  228 Rhode Island               28.0 to 21.0
 129 Saint Francis - Pennsylv  over  174 Central Connecticut        35.0 to 28.0
  74 Sam Houston State         over  161 Central Arkansas           42.0 to 31.5
 105 Drake                     over  239 Stetson                    38.5 to 24.5
  31 Utah                      over   43 Arizona                    31.5 to 24.5
  49 Virginia Tech             over  157 Wake Forest                24.5 to 17.5
  62 Washington                over   96 Oregon State               31.5 to 24.5
  53 William & Mary            over   94 Richmond                   28.0 to 21.0

60-70% chance of victory:

 114 Toledo                    over  110 Bowling Green              35.0 to 31.5
  51 Duke                      over   69 North Carolina             38.5 to 35.0
 107 Arkansas State            over  166 Texas State - San Marcos   31.5 to 28.0
  13 Kansas State              over   45 West Virginia              31.5 to 31.5
 162 Rice                      over  185 Texas - El Paso            31.5 to 28.0
 120 San Diego State           over  130 Air Force                  28.0 to 24.5
 111 Albany                    over   85 Stony Brook                24.5 to 21.0
 209 Alabama A&M               over  237 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      31.5 to 28.0
 112 Bucknell                  over  116 Colgate                    28.0 to 24.5
  32 California - Los Angeles  over   29 Southern California        31.5 to 28.0
 115 Pennsylvania              over  182 Cornell                    28.0 to 21.0
 121 Holy Cross                over  171 Georgetown                 24.5 to 21.0
 203 Howard                    over  204 Hampton                    31.5 to 28.0
 208 Idaho State               over  217 Weber State                35.0 to 31.5
  57 Michigan                  over   84 Maryland                   28.0 to 24.5
 190 Middle Tennessee State    over  200 Florida Atlantic           31.5 to 28.0
 131 Tennessee State           over  214 Murray State               35.0 to 28.0
 108 Nevada - Reno             over  103 Fresno State               35.0 to 31.5
 218 North Carolina - Charlot  over  236 Morehead State             52.5 to 42.0
 176 North Texas               over  205 Florida International      28.0 to 24.5
  73 Pittsburgh                over  104 Syracuse                   28.0 to 21.0
  78 Northwestern              over  169 Purdue                     31.5 to 24.5
  99 San Diego                 over  134 California Poly            31.5 to 28.0
 167 Stephen F. Austin         over  172 Northwestern State         35.0 to 35.0
 243 Valparaiso                over  246 Davidson                   35.0 to 28.0
  24 Miami - Florida           over   98 Virginia                   31.5 to 24.5
 135 Wofford                   over  188 Mercer                     38.5 to 31.5

50-60% chance of victory:

 198 Akron                     over  177 Massachusetts              28.0 to 28.0
  21 Mississippi               over   44 Arkansas                   24.5 to 24.5
 195 California - Davis        over  180 Sacramento State           31.5 to 31.5
 124 Western Michigan          over  138 Central Michigan           28.0 to 28.0
 109 Texas Tech                over  140 Iowa State                 35.0 to 35.0
 113 Appalachian State         over  153 Louisiana - Lafayette      31.5 to 31.5
  86 Lehigh                    over  102 Lafayette                  28.0 to 28.0
 233 Northern Colorado         over  223 North Dakota               24.5 to 24.5
  20 Louisville                over   36 Notre Dame                 28.0 to 28.0
 119 Louisiana Tech            over  159 Old Dominion               38.5 to 35.0
  47 Dartmouth                 over   76 Princeton                  31.5 to 31.5
  15 Missouri                  over   61 Tennessee                  31.5 to 28.0
 148 Indiana State             over  183 Western Illinois           24.5 to 24.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net