2014 Bowl Games Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  18 North Dakota State        over   67 Sam Houston State          31.5 to 21.0
  25 New Hampshire             over   65 Illinois State             38.5 to 31.5
  60 Utah State                over  191 Texas - El Paso            31.5 to 21.0
   1 Texas Christian           over   37 Mississippi                35.0 to 21.0

70-80% chance of victory:

 103 Fresno State              over  166 Rice                       35.0 to 28.0
  28 Central Florida           over   70 North Carolina State       28.0 to 24.5
  24 Arizona State             over   72 Duke                       35.0 to 31.5
   9 Louisiana State           over   44 Notre Dame                 28.0 to 21.0
  19 Stanford                  over   75 Maryland                   28.0 to 21.0

60-70% chance of victory:

 134 Western Michigan          over  144 Air Force                  28.0 to 28.0
 105 Nevada - Reno             over  142 Louisiana - Lafayette      35.0 to 31.5
 129 Bowling Green             over  199 South Alabama              31.5 to 24.5
  41 Brigham Young             over   79 Memphis                    31.5 to 28.0
  85 San Diego State           over  109 Navy                       28.0 to 28.0
 132 Western Kentucky          over  155 Central Michigan           35.0 to 31.5
  97 Louisiana Tech            over  137 Illinois                   35.0 to 31.5
  71 North Carolina            over  115 Rutgers                    35.0 to 31.5
  43 Boston College            over   58 Penn State                 21.0 to 21.0
  15 Southern California       over   35 Nebraska                   35.0 to 28.0
  40 Cincinnati                over   55 Virginia Tech              24.5 to 24.5
  36 Arkansas                  over   51 Texas                      24.5 to 21.0
  16 Georgia                   over   21 Louisville                 31.5 to 31.5
  12 Boise State               over   39 Arizona                    35.0 to 31.5
  20 Georgia Tech              over   22 Mississippi State          31.5 to 31.5
   3 Ohio State                over    4 Alabama                    35.0 to 31.5
  14 Wisconsin                 over   34 Auburn                     31.5 to 28.0
   7 Baylor                    over    6 Michigan State             38.5 to 35.0
  27 Missouri                  over   52 Minnesota                  28.0 to 24.5
   2 Oregon                    over    5 Florida State              38.5 to 35.0
  48 Pittsburgh                over   64 Houston                    28.0 to 28.0
  13 Kansas State              over   32 California - Los Angeles   35.0 to 28.0
  17 Florida                   over   56 East Carolina              31.5 to 28.0
 101 Toledo                    over  124 Arkansas State             35.0 to 35.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  57 Utah                      over   77 Colorado State             31.5 to 28.0
  74 Marshall                  over   49 Northern Illinois          35.0 to 35.0
  26 South Carolina            over   45 Miami - Florida            28.0 to 28.0
   8 Oklahoma                  over   11 Clemson                    28.0 to 28.0
  23 Texas A&M                 over   31 West Virginia              35.0 to 31.5
  30 Oklahoma State            over   46 Washington                 31.5 to 31.5
  42 Iowa                      over   59 Tennessee                  28.0 to 28.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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