Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 2 8.64 14.0-1.0 5.4-9.6 IA SEC Alabama 2 1 8.23 14.0-1.0 5.8-9.2 IA ACC Clemson 3 1 6.41 12.0-2.0 5.6-8.4 IA PAC_12 Stanford 4 2 6.04 12.0-2.0 6.0-8.0 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 5 3 5.77 12.0-1.0 6.2-6.8 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 6 2 5.48 12.0-2.0 6.5-7.5 IA Big_Ten Iowa 7 3 5.45 11.0-2.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 8 3 5.40 11.0-2.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Texas Christian 9 3 4.89 13.0-1.0 8.1-5.9 IA Amer_Athl Houston 10 4 4.86 11.0-3.0 6.1-7.9 IA ACC North Carolina 11 4 4.82 10.0-3.0 5.2-7.8 IA Indep Notre Dame 12 5 4.64 10.0-3.0 5.4-7.6 IA SEC Mississippi 13 6 4.55 10.0-3.0 5.5-7.5 IA PAC_12 Utah 14 6 4.43 10.0-3.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 15 5 4.42 9.0-3.0 4.6-7.4 IA SEC Louisiana State 16 6 4.38 10.0-3.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 17 6 4.26 10.0-4.0 5.7-8.3 IA SEC Florida 18 6 4.18 10.0-3.0 5.8-7.2 IA ACC Florida State 19 6 4.09 10.0-3.0 5.9-7.1 IA SEC Georgia 20 5 4.02 10.0-3.0 6.0-7.0 IA Big_Ten Michigan 21 5 4.01 11.0-2.0 7.0-6.0 IA Amer_Athl Navy 22 5 3.97 10.0-3.0 6.0-7.0 IA Big_12 Baylor 23 5 3.79 9.0-4.0 5.2-7.8 IA PAC_12 Oregon 24 5 3.52 9.0-4.0 5.5-7.5 IA SEC Mississippi State 25 5 3.51 12.0-2.0 8.5-5.5 IA CUSA Western Kentucky 26 6 3.23 9.0-4.0 5.8-7.2 IA PAC_12 Washington State 27 6 3.08 10.0-3.0 6.9-6.1 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 28 8 3.05 9.0-4.0 5.9-7.1 IA SEC Tennessee 29 8 2.99 10.0-2.0 7.0-5.0 IA MAC Toledo 30 8 2.96 8.0-5.0 5.0-8.0 IA SEC Arkansas 31 9 2.87 8.0-5.0 5.1-7.9 IA PAC_12 California 32 10 2.71 9.0-4.0 6.3-6.7 IA Indep Brigham Young 33 10 2.68 8.0-5.0 5.3-7.7 IA ACC Miami - Florida 34 10 2.68 8.0-6.0 5.3-8.7 IA PAC_12 Southern California 35 10 2.66 8.0-5.0 5.3-7.7 IA ACC Pittsburgh 36 11 2.65 8.0-5.0 5.4-7.6 IA SEC Texas A&M 37 11 2.57 11.0-3.0 8.4-5.6 IA MWC San Diego State 38 10 2.51 8.0-5.0 5.5-7.5 IA ACC Louisville 39 9 2.42 8.0-5.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_12 West Virginia 40 9 2.41 8.0-5.0 5.6-7.4 IA PAC_12 California - Los Angeles 41 11 2.35 10.0-4.0 7.6-6.4 IA Amer_Athl Temple 42 11 2.33 9.0-4.0 6.7-6.3 IA Amer_Athl Memphis 43 12 2.26 11.0-2.0 8.7-4.3 IA Sun_Belt Appalachian State 44 10 2.25 7.0-6.0 4.8-8.2 IA SEC Auburn 45 11 2.01 10.0-4.0 8.0-6.0 IA MAC Bowling Green 46 9 1.93 7.0-6.0 5.1-7.9 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 47 10 1.69 7.0-6.0 5.3-7.7 IA PAC_12 Washington 48 9 1.49 9.0-4.0 7.5-5.5 IA MWC Boise State 49 9 1.43 8.0-5.0 6.6-6.4 IA ACC Duke 50 12 1.23 9.0-4.0 7.8-5.2 IA Sun_Belt Georgia Southern 51 12 1.16 8.0-5.0 6.8-6.2 IA Amer_Athl South Florida 52 12 1.15 7.0-6.0 5.8-7.2 IA PAC_12 Arizona 53 11 1.15 7.0-6.0 5.8-7.2 IA ACC Virginia Tech 54 11 1.05 9.0-4.0 7.9-5.1 IA CUSA Louisiana Tech 55 12 1.04 10.0-3.0 9.0-4.0 IA CUSA Marshall 56 11 0.99 8.0-5.0 7.0-6.0 IA MAC Western Michigan 57 11 0.92 6.0-7.0 5.1-7.9 IA PAC_12 Arizona State 58 11 0.90 7.0-6.0 6.1-6.9 IA ACC North Carolina State 59 10 0.89 7.0-6.0 6.1-6.9 IA Big_Ten Penn State 60 14 0.81 9.0-4.0 8.2-4.8 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 61 11 0.45 6.0-7.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_12 Kansas State 62 12 0.39 8.0-6.0 7.6-6.4 IA MWC Air Force 63 12 0.37 9.0-5.0 8.6-5.4 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 64 13 0.23 7.0-6.0 6.8-6.2 IA Amer_Athl Cincinnati 65 11 0.22 5.0-7.0 4.8-7.2 IA Big_12 Texas 66 12 0.15 6.0-7.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 67 13 0.13 8.0-6.0 7.9-6.1 IA MAC Northern Illinois 68 16 0.07 8.0-5.0 7.9-5.1 IA MAC Ohio 69 13 -0.10 6.0-7.0 6.1-6.9 IA Big_Ten Indiana 70 13 -0.25 6.0-7.0 6.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Nebraska 71 13 -0.31 5.0-7.0 5.3-6.7 IA SEC Missouri 72 11 -0.35 8.0-5.0 8.4-4.6 IA MAC Akron 73 12 -0.35 7.0-6.0 7.4-5.6 IA MAC Central Michigan 74 11 -0.38 5.0-7.0 5.4-6.6 IA Big_Ten Illinois 75 13 -0.40 6.0-7.0 6.4-6.6 IA Amer_Athl Connecticut 76 14 -0.52 5.0-7.0 5.5-6.5 IA SEC Kentucky 77 12 -0.60 4.0-8.0 4.6-7.4 IA ACC Virginia 78 13 -0.61 6.0-7.0 6.6-6.4 IA MWC Utah State 79 12 -0.76 7.0-6.0 7.8-5.2 IA CUSA Middle Tennessee State 80 11 -0.83 7.0-6.0 7.8-5.2 IA MWC Nevada - Reno 81 11 -0.86 7.0-6.0 7.9-5.1 IA MWC Colorado State 82 10 -0.95 7.0-6.0 8.0-5.0 IA MWC New Mexico 83 9 -1.07 6.0-7.0 7.1-5.9 IA MWC San Jose State 84 9 -1.13 4.0-8.0 5.1-6.9 IA SEC Vanderbilt 85 9 -1.19 6.0-7.0 7.2-5.8 IA Amer_Athl Tulsa 86 9 -1.22 5.0-7.0 6.2-5.8 IA Amer_Athl East Carolina 87 9 -1.28 3.0-9.0 4.3-7.7 IA Big_12 Iowa State 88 9 -1.42 4.0-8.0 5.4-6.6 IA ACC Syracuse 89 9 -1.64 4.0-8.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Rutgers 90 11 -1.73 3.0-9.0 4.7-7.3 IA Big_Ten Maryland 91 12 -1.74 3.0-9.0 4.7-7.3 IA ACC Georgia Tech 92 14 -1.91 3.0-9.0 4.9-7.1 IA SEC South Carolina 93 14 -2.08 5.0-7.0 7.1-4.9 IA Sun_Belt South Alabama 94 15 -2.12 6.0-7.0 8.1-4.9 IA Sun_Belt Georgia State 95 12 -2.16 4.0-9.0 6.2-6.8 IA PAC_12 Colorado 96 11 -2.17 3.0-9.0 5.2-6.8 IA ACC Wake Forest 97 12 -2.44 3.0-9.0 5.4-6.6 IA ACC Boston College 98 14 -2.48 5.0-7.0 7.5-4.5 IA CUSA Florida International 99 12 -2.51 5.0-7.0 7.5-4.5 IA CUSA Rice 100 10 -2.61 5.0-7.0 7.6-4.4 IA MAC Buffalo 101 11 -2.74 2.0-*** 4.7-7.3 IA PAC_12 Oregon State 102 13 -2.83 5.0-7.0 7.8-4.2 IA CUSA Old Dominion 103 12 -2.86 4.0-8.0 6.9-5.1 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 104 12 -2.98 5.0-7.0 8.0-4.0 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 105 9 -3.11 2.0-*** 5.1-6.9 IA Big_Ten Purdue 106 9 -3.23 3.0-9.0 6.2-5.8 IA MWC Fresno State 107 8 -3.23 3.0-9.0 6.2-5.8 IA Amer_Athl Tulane 108 9 -3.25 4.0-8.0 7.2-4.8 IA Sun_Belt Idaho 109 8 -3.30 2.0-*** 5.3-6.7 IA Amer_Athl Southern Methodist 110 8 -3.60 3.0-9.0 6.6-5.4 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 111 8 -3.86 4.0-8.0 7.9-4.1 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 112 8 -3.87 3.0-9.0 6.9-5.1 IA MAC Ball State 113 11 -4.18 3.0-*** 7.2-5.8 IA MWC Hawaii 114 12 -4.21 3.0-9.0 7.2-4.8 IA MAC Kent State 115 13 -4.21 3.0-9.0 7.2-4.8 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 116 12 -4.26 3.0-9.0 7.3-4.7 IA Sun_Belt Texas State - San Marcos 117 12 -4.27 3.0-9.0 7.3-4.7 IA CUSA Texas - San Antonio 118 10 -4.33 0.0-*** 4.3-7.7 IA Big_12 Kansas 119 10 -4.45 3.0-9.0 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Massachusetts 120 11 -4.47 3.0-9.0 7.5-4.5 IA Sun_Belt New Mexico State 121 11 -4.54 3.0-9.0 7.5-4.5 IA CUSA Florida Atlantic 122 11 -4.57 2.0-*** 6.6-5.4 IA MWC Wyoming 123 6 -5.05 2.0-*** 7.1-4.9 IA Indep Army 124 6 -5.50 1.0-*** 6.5-5.5 IA CUSA North Texas 125 6 -5.86 2.0-*** 7.9-5.1 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 126 5 -6.01 2.0-*** 8.0-4.0 IA CUSA North Carolina - Charlot 127 4 -6.30 0.0-*** 6.3-5.7 IA Amer_Athl Central Florida 128 3 -6.39 1.0-*** 7.4-4.6 IA MAC Eastern Michigan
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 4 5.88 13.0-2.0 7.1-7.9 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota State 2 8 4.45 13.0-2.0 8.6-6.4 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 3 6 3.73 10.0-3.0 6.3-6.7 IAA Missouri_V Illinois State 4 6 3.23 9.0-1.0 5.8-4.2 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 5 11 2.97 10.0-4.0 7.0-7.0 IAA Colonial Richmond 6 9 2.91 9.0-1.0 6.1-3.9 IAA Ivy Harvard 7 12 2.63 9.0-4.0 6.4-6.6 IAA Colonial William & Mary 8 13 2.52 9.0-5.0 6.5-7.5 IAA Missouri_V Northern Iowa 9 18 2.31 9.0-1.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Southland McNeese State 10 15 2.11 9.0-3.0 6.9-5.1 IAA Colonial James Madison 11 17 2.04 9.0-3.0 7.0-5.0 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 12 11 1.93 7.0-3.0 5.1-4.9 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 13 13 1.92 9.0-2.0 7.1-3.9 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 14 13 1.88 8.0-4.0 6.1-5.9 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota State 15 21 1.88 10.0-2.0 8.1-3.9 IAA Pioneer Dayton 16 14 1.83 7.0-6.0 5.2-7.8 IAA Missouri_V Western Illinois 17 11 1.83 9.0-3.0 7.2-4.8 IAA Patriot Fordham 18 12 1.83 8.0-3.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 19 14 1.75 9.0-5.0 7.2-6.8 IAA Patriot Colgate 20 14 1.72 8.0-4.0 6.3-5.7 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 21 16 1.52 9.0-4.0 7.5-5.5 IAA Southern The Citadel 22 20 1.39 10.0-4.0 8.6-5.4 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 23 18 1.27 9.0-3.0 7.7-4.3 IAA Big_South Coastal Carolina 24 12 1.20 8.0-2.0 6.8-3.2 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 25 12 1.16 7.0-4.0 5.8-5.2 IAA Colonial Towson 26 13 1.11 9.0-3.0 7.9-4.1 IAA SWAC Grambling 27 14 1.07 8.0-5.0 6.9-6.1 IAA Big_Sky Montana 28 16 0.89 7.0-4.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Big_Sky Southern Utah 29 14 0.80 6.0-4.0 5.2-4.8 IAA Ivy Yale 30 14 0.75 8.0-2.0 7.2-2.8 IAA SWAC Prairie View 31 21 0.62 7.0-2.0 6.4-2.6 IAA Pioneer San Diego 32 20 0.61 7.0-2.0 6.4-2.6 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 33 10 0.50 6.0-4.0 5.5-4.5 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 34 15 0.48 6.0-4.0 5.5-4.5 IAA Southern Western Carolina 35 15 0.45 7.0-5.0 6.5-5.5 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 36 16 0.41 7.0-4.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Big_Sky North Dakota 37 14 0.36 6.0-5.0 5.6-5.4 IAA Colonial Villanova 38 17 0.12 6.0-4.0 5.9-4.1 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 39 17 0.10 8.0-4.0 7.9-4.1 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 40 17 0.10 6.0-4.0 5.9-4.1 IAA NE Duquesne 41 18 0.06 5.0-6.0 4.9-6.1 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota 42 21 0.05 7.0-4.0 6.9-4.1 IAA Southland Central Arkansas 43 16 0.04 6.0-5.0 6.0-5.0 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 44 18 0.01 7.0-5.0 7.0-5.0 IAA Colonial New Hampshire 45 16 -0.08 6.0-5.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Patriot Lehigh 46 14 -0.11 7.0-3.0 7.1-2.9 IAA MEAC North Carolina Central 47 16 -0.21 5.0-5.0 5.2-4.8 IAA Ivy Brown 48 18 -0.26 5.0-6.0 5.3-5.7 IAA Missouri_V Indiana State 49 17 -0.32 6.0-4.0 6.3-3.7 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 50 16 -0.50 6.0-5.0 6.5-4.5 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 51 15 -0.51 5.0-6.0 5.5-5.5 IAA Missouri_V Youngstown State 52 13 -0.56 5.0-5.0 5.6-4.4 IAA Ivy Princeton 53 17 -0.63 6.0-5.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Big_South Liberty 54 14 -0.66 6.0-5.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 55 18 -0.68 6.0-4.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 56 12 -0.79 6.0-5.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 57 12 -0.88 5.0-5.0 5.9-4.1 IAA Colonial Stony Brook 58 13 -0.93 7.0-4.0 7.9-3.1 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 59 13 -0.99 5.0-5.0 6.0-4.0 IAA Southern Samford 60 12 -1.19 6.0-5.0 7.2-3.8 IAA SWAC Southern 61 12 -1.41 5.0-5.0 6.4-3.6 IAA NE Sacred Heart 62 14 -1.62 4.0-7.0 5.6-5.4 IAA Colonial Delaware 63 10 -1.63 4.0-6.0 5.6-4.4 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 64 16 -1.64 4.0-7.0 5.6-5.4 IAA Colonial Elon 65 18 -1.66 5.0-6.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Big_South Monmouth 66 14 -1.70 5.0-5.0 6.7-3.3 IAA MEAC Hampton 67 17 -1.71 5.0-5.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Big_Sky Northern Colorado 68 15 -1.78 4.0-6.0 5.8-4.2 IAA NE Bryant 69 15 -1.85 5.0-6.0 6.9-4.1 IAA Southern Wofford 70 16 -1.90 4.0-7.0 5.9-5.1 IAA Big_Sky California Poly 71 17 -1.95 4.0-7.0 5.9-5.1 IAA Southern Furman 72 19 -2.01 4.0-5.0 6.0-3.0 IAA Pioneer Butler 73 17 -2.02 3.0-5.0 5.0-3.0 IAA Big_South Kennesaw State 74 17 -2.05 4.0-6.0 6.1-3.9 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 75 21 -2.08 5.0-5.0 7.1-2.9 IAA Southland Incarnate Word 76 18 -2.10 4.0-7.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Patriot Georgetown 77 17 -2.18 5.0-5.0 7.2-2.8 IAA SWAC Alabama State 78 22 -2.20 5.0-6.0 7.2-3.8 IAA Pioneer Marist 79 17 -2.23 3.0-8.0 5.2-5.8 IAA Missouri_V Southern Illinois 80 22 -2.24 4.0-6.0 6.2-3.8 IAA Southland Lamar 81 16 -2.39 4.0-7.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 82 16 -2.53 3.0-7.0 5.5-4.5 IAA NE Central Connecticut 83 13 -2.55 4.0-6.0 6.5-3.5 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 84 22 -2.59 4.0-6.0 6.6-3.4 IAA Pioneer Drake 85 20 -2.67 4.0-7.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Southland Northwestern State 86 16 -2.69 3.0-8.0 5.7-5.3 IAA Colonial Albany 87 14 -2.72 5.0-6.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Southern Mercer 88 13 -2.81 5.0-6.0 7.8-3.2 IAA MEAC Morgan State 89 14 -2.84 3.0-7.0 5.8-4.2 IAA NE Robert Morris 90 16 -2.96 4.0-7.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 91 13 -3.02 4.0-7.0 7.0-4.0 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 92 13 -3.02 4.0-7.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Patriot Bucknell 93 11 -3.06 3.0-8.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Colonial Maine 94 8 -3.30 2.0-8.0 5.3-4.7 IAA Ivy Columbia 95 13 -3.43 3.0-6.0 6.4-2.6 IAA Pioneer Campbell 96 11 -3.65 3.0-7.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 97 8 -3.80 2.0-8.0 5.8-4.2 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 98 9 -3.86 0.0-*** 3.9-6.1 IAA Missouri_V Missouri State 99 12 -3.93 3.0-8.0 6.9-4.1 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 100 16 -3.94 3.0-7.0 6.9-3.1 IAA Southland Southeast Louisiana 101 10 -3.97 1.0-9.0 5.0-5.0 IAA Ivy Cornell 102 15 -4.34 0.0-7.0 4.3-2.7 IAA Indep East Tennessee State 103 16 -4.35 3.0-8.0 7.3-3.7 IAA Southland Nicholls State 104 14 -4.37 2.0-7.0 6.4-2.6 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 105 14 -4.38 1.0-*** 5.4-5.6 IAA Colonial Rhode Island 106 16 -4.39 3.0-8.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Southland Abilene Christian 107 13 -4.45 2.0-9.0 6.5-4.5 IAA Southern Virginia Military 108 13 -4.59 1.0-9.0 5.6-4.4 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 109 13 -4.60 3.0-8.0 7.6-3.4 IAA SWAC Jackson State 110 10 -4.80 1.0-9.0 5.8-4.2 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 111 11 -4.83 2.0-9.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Big_Sky California - Davis 112 9 -4.86 1.0-*** 5.9-5.1 IAA Patriot Lafayette 113 12 -4.95 1.0-8.0 6.0-3.0 IAA Pioneer Stetson 114 10 -5.07 2.0-9.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Big_South Presbyterian 115 10 -5.08 1.0-8.0 6.1-2.9 IAA Pioneer Davidson 116 9 -5.46 1.0-9.0 6.5-3.5 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 117 6 -5.47 1.0-9.0 6.5-3.5 IAA MEAC Delaware State 118 6 -5.68 1.0-9.0 6.7-3.3 IAA MEAC Savannah State 119 6 -5.69 1.0-*** 6.7-4.3 IAA NE Wagner 120 7 -5.86 1.0-9.0 6.9-3.1 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 121 6 -6.03 1.0-*** 7.0-4.0 IAA MEAC Howard 122 6 -6.07 1.0-*** 7.1-3.9 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 123 6 -6.16 1.0-*** 7.2-3.8 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 124 5 -6.57 0.0-*** 6.6-4.4 IAA Ohio_V Austin Peay 125 5 -6.87 0.0-*** 6.9-3.1 IAA Southland Houston Baptist
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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