ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
163 Alcorn State over 252 Mississippi Valley State 45.5 to 14.0
53 Michigan over 186 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 14.0
43 Minnesota over 204 Kent State 35.0 to 10.5
4 Ohio State over 96 Northern Illinois 52.5 to 21.0
19 Oklahoma over 158 Tulsa 52.5 to 17.5
3 Oregon over 218 Georgia State 63.0 to 10.5
103 Richmond over 228 Virginia Military 49.0 to 21.0
18 Texas A&M over 101 Nevada - Reno 45.5 to 24.5
2 Texas Christian over 205 Southern Methodist 52.5 to 7.0
128 Vanderbilt over 248 Austin Peay 38.5 to 7.0
88 Washington State over 196 Wyoming 45.5 to 24.5
12 Wisconsin over 201 Troy State 52.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
164 South Carolina State over 231 Florida A&M 31.5 to 10.5
33 Arizona State over 159 New Mexico 49.0 to 21.0
38 Boise State over 127 Idaho State 49.0 to 28.0
193 Abilene Christian over 253 Houston Baptist 59.5 to 17.5
184 Akron over 251 Savannah State 42.0 to 17.5
78 Central Florida over 199 Furman 35.0 to 14.0
64 Coastal Carolina over 119 Western Illinois 38.5 to 24.5
36 Illinois State over 131 Eastern Illinois 38.5 to 24.5
73 Fordham over 240 Columbia 49.0 to 14.0
26 Utah over 125 Fresno State 38.5 to 24.5
7 Georgia over 40 South Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
92 Indiana State over 185 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 21.0
68 Jacksonville State over 179 Tennessee State 35.0 to 17.5
71 James Madison over 135 Albany 38.5 to 24.5
41 Marshall over 233 Norfolk State 42.0 to 10.5
65 Cincinnati over 208 Miami - Ohio 42.0 to 21.0
9 Michigan State over 80 Air Force 42.0 to 21.0
22 Mississippi State over 162 Northwestern State 42.0 to 17.5
25 Missouri over 178 Connecticut 35.0 to 7.0
213 Morgan State over 253 Houston Baptist 52.5 to 17.5
55 North Dakota State over 200 North Dakota 42.0 to 17.5
42 Oklahoma State over 171 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 10.5
56 Harvard over 232 Rhode Island 42.0 to 10.5
35 Tennessee over 188 Western Carolina 45.5 to 17.5
57 Villanova over 166 Delaware 35.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
210 Alabama State over 224 Grambling 38.5 to 24.5
28 Arizona over 169 Northern Arizona 42.0 to 21.0
29 Memphis over 120 Bowling Green 45.5 to 31.5
17 California - Los Angeles over 45 Brigham Young 35.0 to 24.5
122 Ball State over 229 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 24.5
147 Wofford over 216 Idaho 35.0 to 21.0
14 Kansas State over 49 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 21.0
174 Texas - El Paso over 226 New Mexico State 38.5 to 28.0
61 North Carolina State over 146 Old Dominion 45.5 to 31.5
82 Sam Houston State over 197 Lamar 49.0 to 28.0
108 San Diego State over 173 South Alabama 28.0 to 14.0
206 Southern over 238 Jackson State 42.0 to 28.0
93 Syracuse over 130 Central Michigan 28.0 to 17.5
149 Texas State - San Marcos over 194 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 24.5
39 Washington over 77 Utah State 24.5 to 14.0
97 Youngstown State over 152 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
139 Charleston Southern over 202 East Tennessee State 28.0 to 17.5
15 Clemson over 32 Louisville 28.0 to 24.5
11 Florida State over 31 Boston College 31.5 to 31.5
215 Hampton over 234 Howard 35.0 to 28.0
23 Arkansas over 52 Texas Tech 38.5 to 31.5
123 Wake Forest over 160 Army 28.0 to 24.5
48 Northern Iowa over 102 California Poly 28.0 to 24.5
104 Yale over 191 Colgate 38.5 to 28.0
67 Colorado State over 98 Colorado 35.0 to 31.5
153 Bucknell over 227 Cornell 31.5 to 21.0
37 Duke over 51 Northwestern 28.0 to 24.5
59 Eastern Washington over 110 Montana State 52.5 to 42.0
134 North Carolina A&T over 220 Elon 28.0 to 17.5
124 Buffalo over 148 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 31.5
109 Dartmouth over 211 Georgetown 31.5 to 21.0
150 Hawaii over 214 California - Davis 28.0 to 21.0
246 Incarnate Word over 249 Nicholls State 31.5 to 24.5
87 Indiana over 84 Western Kentucky 42.0 to 38.5
46 Iowa over 63 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 24.5
34 Florida over 72 Kentucky 31.5 to 24.5
143 Princeton over 161 Lafayette 31.5 to 28.0
79 Montana over 113 Liberty 31.5 to 28.0
16 Louisiana State over 13 Auburn 31.5 to 28.0
106 Sacred Heart over 230 Marist 31.5 to 14.0
90 Maryland over 142 South Florida 31.5 to 21.0
86 Temple over 181 Massachusetts 35.0 to 21.0
27 Miami - Florida over 24 Nebraska 38.5 to 31.5
121 Middle Tennessee State over 180 North Carolina - Charlot 38.5 to 31.5
76 Navy over 62 East Carolina 38.5 to 35.0
69 North Carolina over 66 Illinois 38.5 to 35.0
89 Rice over 141 North Texas 35.0 to 28.0
10 Georgia Tech over 30 Notre Dame 38.5 to 35.0
83 Southeast Louisiana over 145 Ohio 31.5 to 21.0
95 Oregon State over 132 San Jose State 31.5 to 21.0
74 Penn State over 91 Rutgers 28.0 to 21.0
203 Prairie View over 237 Alabama A&M 42.0 to 31.5
222 Presbyterian over 239 Campbell 28.0 to 21.0
50 Virginia Tech over 118 Purdue 28.0 to 21.0
85 Samford over 70 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 28.0
198 Drake over 172 South Dakota 24.5 to 21.0
8 Southern California over 20 Stanford 28.0 to 17.5
209 Southern Utah over 223 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 21.0
133 McNeese State over 177 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 31.5
58 New Hampshire over 129 Stony Brook 24.5 to 21.0
175 Mercer over 219 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 28.0
54 Texas over 47 California 35.0 to 31.5
81 Toledo over 105 Iowa State 38.5 to 28.0
140 Maine over 187 Tulane 24.5 to 14.0
165 Wagner over 170 Monmouth 31.5 to 24.5
167 Sacramento State over 212 Weber State 35.0 to 31.5
116 Western Michigan over 207 Murray State 45.5 to 35.0
50-60% chance of victory:
1 Mississippi over 5 Alabama 28.0 to 28.0
243 Texas Southern over 245 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 31.5 to 31.5
115 Missouri State over 114 Arkansas State 31.5 to 31.5
144 Brown over 117 Bryant 31.5 to 28.0
192 Dayton over 138 Duquesne 28.0 to 28.0
168 Florida International over 189 North Carolina Central 28.0 to 24.5
94 Georgia Southern over 107 The Citadel 31.5 to 31.5
183 Lehigh over 190 Pennsylvania 31.5 to 31.5
157 Holy Cross over 182 Towson 24.5 to 24.5
100 William & Mary over 75 Virginia 24.5 to 24.5
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