2015 Week 5 (24-26 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

   3 Alabama                   over  154 Northeast Louisiana        42.0 to  7.0
   2 Baylor                    over   84 Rice                       56.0 to 28.0
  97 Colorado                  over  251 Nicholls State             56.0 to 14.0
 130 Eastern Kentucky          over  248 Austin Peay                42.0 to  3.5
   4 Georgia                   over  200 Southern                   59.5 to 21.0
  85 Georgia Southern          over  212 Idaho                      45.5 to 24.5
  54 Marshall                  over  201 Kent State                 38.5 to 17.5
  11 Michigan State            over  115 Central Michigan           42.0 to 14.0
   1 Mississippi               over  124 Vanderbilt                 45.5 to 10.5
 224 Alabama State             over  252 Mississippi Valley State   35.0 to 14.0
  24 Nebraska                  over  160 Southern Mississippi       49.0 to 21.0
  81 New Hampshire             over  216 Central Connecticut        38.5 to 17.5
  17 Notre Dame                over  189 Massachusetts              49.0 to 14.0
   5 Ohio State                over  123 Western Michigan           49.0 to 17.5
   6 Oregon                    over   27 Utah                       42.0 to 24.5
 106 Sam Houston State         over  253 Houston Baptist            59.5 to 10.5
  45 South Dakota State        over  237 Robert Morris              49.0 to 10.5
  78 Western Kentucky          over  219 Miami - Ohio               45.5 to 21.0

80-90% chance of victory:

  30 Memphis                   over   79 Cincinnati                 45.5 to 31.5
  14 Stanford                  over   95 Oregon State               28.0 to 14.0
 169 Bethune - Cookman         over  250 Savannah State             49.0 to 14.0
  93 Fordham                   over  153 Monmouth                   38.5 to 24.5
 171 Furman                    over  232 Virginia Military          42.0 to 21.0
  67 Houston                   over  143 Texas State - San Marcos   45.5 to 24.5
  51 Iowa                      over  157 North Texas                38.5 to 14.0
 112 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  185 Akron                      31.5 to 21.0
  48 Louisiana Tech            over  150 Florida International      38.5 to 17.5
 159 Maine                     over  234 Rhode Island               28.0 to 10.5
 190 Morgan State              over  239 Howard                     38.5 to 24.5
  47 North Carolina            over  176 Delaware                   35.0 to 17.5
  39 Northwestern              over  126 Ball State                 35.0 to 17.5
  62 Penn State                over  129 San Diego State            24.5 to 10.5
  65 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  225 Presbyterian               31.5 to 10.5
  64 Eastern Washington        over  183 Sacramento State           52.5 to 38.5
  49 North Carolina State      over  151 South Alabama              35.0 to 21.0
  52 South Carolina            over  100 Central Florida            28.0 to 17.5
  59 James Madison             over  162 Southern Methodist         42.0 to 21.0
  15 Texas A&M                 over   35 Arkansas                   35.0 to 24.5
 184 San Diego                 over  245 Valparaiso                 38.5 to 17.5
  25 West Virginia             over   86 Maryland                   42.0 to 24.5
  26 Wisconsin                 over  139 Hawaii                     35.0 to 14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  72 Villanova                 over  192 Pennsylvania               38.5 to 17.5
  32 Boise State               over   69 Virginia                   31.5 to 24.5
  42 Boston College            over   76 Northern Illinois          31.5 to 17.5
 218 Drake                     over  243 Stetson                    38.5 to 17.5
   9 Georgia Tech              over   41 Duke                       35.0 to 28.0
 186 Tennessee State           over  235 Florida A&M                31.5 to 17.5
 103 Montana                   over  179 Northern Arizona           35.0 to 21.0
 209 North Dakota              over  202 California - Davis         28.0 to 21.0
  13 Louisiana State           over   87 Syracuse                   28.0 to 14.0
 173 Texas - El Paso           over  247 Incarnate Word             38.5 to 14.0
  74 Colorado State            over  177 Texas - San Antonio        35.0 to 21.0
 146 Wofford                   over  220 Gardner - Webb             31.5 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

 199 Abilene Christian         over  198 Stephen F. Austin          42.0 to 38.5
 231 Alabama A&M               over  246 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      38.5 to 24.5
 140 Albany                    over  149 Duquesne                   24.5 to 24.5
  21 Arizona                   over   18 California - Los Angeles   35.0 to 31.5
   8 Southern California       over   40 Arizona State              35.0 to 28.0
  22 Auburn                    over   19 Mississippi State          31.5 to 28.0
 111 Buffalo                   over  104 Nevada - Reno              31.5 to 31.5
 226 Butler                    over  238 Campbell                   31.5 to 24.5
  57 Coastal Carolina          over  119 Bryant                     38.5 to 24.5
 217 Georgetown                over  241 Columbia                   28.0 to 17.5
  68 Navy                      over  144 Connecticut                28.0 to 21.0
 194 Dayton                    over  233 Kennesaw State             59.5 to 49.0
  38 Virginia Tech             over   71 East Carolina              31.5 to 28.0
 168 Army                      over  211 Eastern Michigan           31.5 to 28.0
 167 Towson                    over  221 Elon                       24.5 to 17.5
  33 Florida                   over   28 Tennessee                  31.5 to 24.5
  58 Harvard                   over  148 Brown                      35.0 to 14.0
 152 Holy Cross                over  191 Colgate                    24.5 to 17.5
  70 Illinois                  over   89 Middle Tennessee State     38.5 to 31.5
 236 Jackson State             over  244 Texas Southern             31.5 to 21.0
  31 Missouri                  over   66 Kentucky                   28.0 to 21.0
  44 Louisville                over   88 Samford                    31.5 to 24.5
 145 Jacksonville              over  223 Marist                     31.5 to 21.0
  73 Minnesota                 over  116 Ohio                       24.5 to 14.0
 242 Morehead State            over  249 Davidson                   42.0 to 35.0
 178 Nevada - Las Vegas        over  164 Idaho State                31.5 to 31.5
 196 Weber State               over  227 Northern Colorado          24.5 to 21.0
 175 Northwestern State        over  147 Central Arkansas           35.0 to 35.0
 197 Prairie View              over  204 Grambling                  45.5 to 42.0
 113 Appalachian State         over  138 Old Dominion               38.5 to 31.5
 141 Princeton                 over  165 Lehigh                     38.5 to 31.5
  94 Bowling Green             over  125 Purdue                     38.5 to 35.0
  91 Rutgers                   over  131 Kansas                     35.0 to 24.5
 136 San Jose State            over  134 Fresno State               35.0 to 31.5
  98 Southern Illinois         over  114 Liberty                    31.5 to 28.0
  53 Jacksonville State        over  155 Tennessee - Martin         38.5 to 21.0
  23 Oklahoma State            over   56 Texas                      28.0 to 24.5
   7 Texas Christian           over   34 Texas Tech                 45.5 to 38.5
 121 The Citadel               over  156 Charleston Southern        31.5 to 21.0
  80 Toledo                    over   96 Arkansas State             38.5 to 31.5
 193 Wagner                    over  213 Lafayette                  24.5 to 17.5
  82 Indiana                   over  127 Wake Forest                31.5 to 28.0
  37 Washington                over   43 California                 38.5 to 31.5
 101 William & Mary            over  120 Stony Brook                21.0 to 17.5
 170 New Mexico                over  195 Wyoming                    31.5 to 31.5
 108 Yale                      over  230 Cornell                    49.0 to 24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

 117 Dartmouth                 over  105 Sacred Heart               28.0 to 28.0
  55 Michigan                  over   29 Brigham Young              24.5 to 24.5
 118 Montana State             over  102 California Poly            35.0 to 35.0
 215 Murray State              over  210 Tennessee Tech             35.0 to 35.0
 207 Hampton                   over  229 Norfolk State              21.0 to 21.0
 172 Florida Atlantic          over  206 North Carolina - Charlot   31.5 to 31.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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