ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
41 Brigham Young over 145 Connecticut 31.5 to 10.5
55 Harvard over 209 Georgetown 42.0 to 10.5
85 Appalachian State over 214 Wyoming 38.5 to 17.5
134 Eastern Illinois over 247 Austin Peay 42.0 to 10.5
24 Boise State over 153 Hawaii 42.0 to 10.5
159 Brown over 233 Rhode Island 31.5 to 14.0
118 California Poly over 213 Idaho State 42.0 to 21.0
6 Ohio State over 78 Indiana 45.5 to 24.5
53 Jacksonville State over 252 Mississippi Valley State 59.5 to 3.5
11 Louisiana State over 210 Eastern Michigan 56.0 to 10.5
77 Marshall over 202 Old Dominion 49.0 to 24.5
14 Michigan State over 129 Purdue 45.5 to 17.5
150 Alcorn State over 246 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 45.5 to 21.0
71 New Hampshire over 212 Elon 35.0 to 10.5
132 McNeese State over 250 Nicholls State 45.5 to 10.5
9 Florida State over 120 Wake Forest 38.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
89 Southeast Louisiana over 185 Lamar 45.5 to 24.5
220 Alabama State over 243 Texas Southern 28.0 to 17.5
82 Temple over 211 North Carolina - Charlot 38.5 to 17.5
26 Memphis over 146 South Florida 38.5 to 21.0
116 Arkansas State over 206 Idaho 45.5 to 28.0
30 Auburn over 121 San Jose State 42.0 to 21.0
38 California over 88 Washington State 45.5 to 35.0
13 California - Los Angeles over 54 Arizona State 35.0 to 24.5
61 Coastal Carolina over 232 Alabama A&M 49.0 to 17.5
18 Oregon over 99 Colorado 45.5 to 28.0
158 Duquesne over 227 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 14.0
133 Liberty over 218 Georgia State 35.0 to 21.0
8 Georgia Tech over 35 North Carolina 42.0 to 28.0
149 Jacksonville over 238 Morehead State 45.5 to 21.0
188 Kent State over 215 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 17.5
94 Fordham over 204 Lafayette 35.0 to 24.5
48 Louisiana Tech over 128 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 28.0
27 Michigan over 100 Maryland 31.5 to 17.5
1 Baylor over 28 Texas Tech 59.5 to 42.0
167 New Mexico over 221 New Mexico State 45.5 to 28.0
67 Georgia Southern over 155 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 21.0
107 Sam Houston State over 195 Stephen F. Austin 45.5 to 31.5
62 Penn State over 136 Army 35.0 to 17.5
123 Princeton over 242 Columbia 45.5 to 17.5
196 Sacramento State over 236 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 24.5
237 Florida A&M over 249 Savannah State 35.0 to 21.0
157 Southeast Missouri State over 219 Murray State 42.0 to 31.5
63 East Carolina over 144 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 28.0
7 Texas Christian over 59 Texas 42.0 to 21.0
47 Houston over 125 Tulsa 45.5 to 31.5
176 Bucknell over 226 Virginia Military 35.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
60 Toledo over 112 Ball State 35.0 to 28.0
122 Montana over 200 California - Davis 35.0 to 21.0
84 William & Mary over 179 Delaware 24.5 to 14.0
208 Northwestern State over 245 Incarnate Word 31.5 to 17.5
57 James Madison over 117 Stony Brook 31.5 to 21.0
75 Kentucky over 126 Eastern Kentucky 35.0 to 24.5
105 Nevada - Reno over 127 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 24.5
44 Northwestern over 79 Minnesota 21.0 to 14.0
108 Richmond over 164 Maine 28.0 to 17.5
169 San Diego over 222 Marist 31.5 to 14.0
137 Southern Mississippi over 190 North Texas 38.5 to 28.0
20 Stanford over 33 Arizona 35.0 to 24.5
171 Dayton over 244 Stetson 38.5 to 17.5
29 Tennessee over 46 Arkansas 31.5 to 21.0
106 Central Florida over 175 Tulane 24.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
40 Miami - Florida over 80 Cincinnati 38.5 to 31.5
163 Colgate over 231 Cornell 28.0 to 17.5
189 Weber State over 199 Southern Utah 24.5 to 21.0
104 Ohio over 141 Akron 21.0 to 17.5
216 Drake over 239 Campbell 24.5 to 17.5
138 Central Arkansas over 193 Abilene Christian 45.5 to 35.0
66 Northern Illinois over 98 Central Michigan 28.0 to 21.0
10 Clemson over 19 Notre Dame 31.5 to 24.5
248 Valparaiso over 251 Davidson 31.5 to 28.0
198 Morgan State over 240 Delaware State 31.5 to 24.5
32 Duke over 49 Boston College 24.5 to 17.5
181 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 225 East Tennessee State 28.0 to 21.0
2 Mississippi over 31 Florida 31.5 to 24.5
5 Georgia over 4 Alabama 35.0 to 28.0
151 North Carolina A&T over 197 Hampton 24.5 to 24.5
156 Holy Cross over 160 Albany 28.0 to 21.0
223 Norfolk State over 241 Howard 21.0 to 14.0
43 Nebraska over 76 Illinois 38.5 to 31.5
42 Illinois State over 52 Northern Iowa 35.0 to 28.0
96 Iowa State over 142 Kansas 31.5 to 21.0
178 Grambling over 235 Jackson State 45.5 to 38.5
115 Yale over 177 Lehigh 38.5 to 31.5
135 Florida International over 172 Massachusetts 28.0 to 24.5
73 Middle Tennessee State over 102 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 17.5
58 Missouri over 50 South Carolina 21.0 to 21.0
103 Indiana State over 131 Missouri State 28.0 to 28.0
124 Bryant over 184 Monmouth 28.0 to 28.0
65 Navy over 74 Air Force 31.5 to 28.0
154 Bethune - Cookman over 205 North Carolina Central 31.5 to 24.5
34 North Carolina State over 37 Louisville 31.5 to 28.0
97 Montana State over 174 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 31.5
161 Portland State over 201 North Dakota 28.0 to 21.0
21 Oklahoma over 12 West Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
16 Oklahoma State over 22 Kansas State 31.5 to 28.0
92 Dartmouth over 191 Pennsylvania 35.0 to 21.0
64 Western Kentucky over 111 Rice 38.5 to 35.0
140 San Diego State over 148 Fresno State 35.0 to 28.0
86 Youngstown State over 119 South Dakota 28.0 to 24.5
51 South Dakota State over 70 North Dakota State 35.0 to 31.5
17 Texas A&M over 25 Mississippi State 31.5 to 28.0
165 Texas - San Antonio over 192 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 31.5
182 Troy State over 186 South Alabama 31.5 to 28.0
81 Utah State over 87 Colorado State 28.0 to 24.5
45 Virginia Tech over 56 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 24.5
217 Wagner over 229 Robert Morris 24.5 to 17.5
194 Western Carolina over 234 Presbyterian 24.5 to 17.5
23 Wisconsin over 39 Iowa 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
83 Bowling Green over 113 Buffalo 35.0 to 35.0
162 South Carolina State over 168 Furman 24.5 to 21.0
180 Mercer over 147 Wofford 28.0 to 24.5
170 Tennessee - Martin over 207 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 28.0
110 Western Illinois over 95 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 28.0
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