ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
96 Air Force over 170 Fresno State 42.0 to 24.5
2 Alabama over 31 Tennessee 38.5 to 21.0
72 Jacksonville State over 245 Austin Peay 49.0 to 7.0
1 Baylor over 104 Iowa State 59.5 to 21.0
14 Boise State over 189 Wyoming 49.0 to 10.5
44 Brigham Young over 242 Wagner 45.5 to 7.0
58 Dartmouth over 233 Columbia 42.0 to 7.0
202 Marist over 252 Davidson 38.5 to 10.5
100 Fordham over 183 Lehigh 42.0 to 28.0
126 Grambling over 251 Mississippi Valley State 56.0 to 17.5
137 Holy Cross over 237 Lafayette 35.0 to 14.0
142 Southeast Louisiana over 253 Houston Baptist 49.0 to 7.0
93 Marshall over 223 North Texas 49.0 to 14.0
40 Toledo over 159 Massachusetts 38.5 to 17.5
109 McNeese State over 206 Northwestern State 38.5 to 17.5
165 Mercer over 222 Virginia Military 42.0 to 24.5
24 Michigan State over 87 Indiana 42.0 to 24.5
110 Montana State over 247 East Tennessee State 49.0 to 14.0
51 Navy over 185 Tulane 42.0 to 17.5
18 North Carolina over 108 Virginia 42.0 to 21.0
131 North Carolina A&T over 241 Howard 38.5 to 10.5
64 Northern Illinois over 188 Eastern Michigan 52.5 to 21.0
16 Oklahoma State over 172 Kansas 45.5 to 10.5
145 Sacred Heart over 224 Central Connecticut 35.0 to 17.5
90 Sam Houston State over 244 Nicholls State 56.0 to 14.0
78 Western Michigan over 215 Miami - Ohio 42.0 to 17.5
62 William & Mary over 180 Hampton 38.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
29 Utah State over 120 San Diego State 31.5 to 17.5
21 Memphis over 107 Tulsa 49.0 to 31.5
161 Bethune - Cookman over 232 Norfolk State 28.0 to 14.0
28 Houston over 154 Central Florida 38.5 to 21.0
71 Cincinnati over 112 Connecticut 31.5 to 21.0
143 Brown over 231 Cornell 31.5 to 21.0
162 Dayton over 225 Butler 28.0 to 10.5
171 South Carolina State over 243 Delaware State 24.5 to 10.5
149 Eastern Illinois over 214 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 21.0
94 Eastern Kentucky over 195 Tennessee State 35.0 to 17.5
139 Florida International over 204 Old Dominion 35.0 to 21.0
33 Harvard over 103 Princeton 42.0 to 21.0
37 Wisconsin over 79 Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
43 Illinois State over 86 Western Illinois 38.5 to 21.0
236 Jackson State over 246 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 38.5 to 28.0
35 James Madison over 101 Richmond 42.0 to 28.0
49 Bowling Green over 176 Kent State 38.5 to 21.0
39 Louisville over 75 Boston College 21.0 to 14.0
26 Mississippi State over 69 Kentucky 31.5 to 21.0
63 Coastal Carolina over 181 Monmouth 38.5 to 28.0
135 Montana over 194 North Dakota 31.5 to 17.5
46 Nebraska over 70 Northwestern 28.0 to 21.0
97 Eastern Washington over 205 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 28.0
13 Ohio State over 85 Rutgers 38.5 to 24.5
121 South Dakota over 226 Missouri State 38.5 to 21.0
83 South Florida over 129 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 24.5
144 Tennessee - Martin over 209 Murray State 45.5 to 28.0
47 North Carolina State over 124 Wake Forest 28.0 to 17.5
89 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 186 Wofford 28.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
59 Appalachian State over 65 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 24.5
50 Arizona over 61 Washington State 42.0 to 35.0
68 Central Michigan over 152 Ball State 35.0 to 24.5
122 Southern Utah over 208 California - Davis 31.5 to 21.0
88 New Hampshire over 169 Delaware 31.5 to 21.0
102 The Citadel over 168 Furman 28.0 to 21.0
19 Louisiana State over 41 Western Kentucky 42.0 to 28.0
133 Nevada - Reno over 190 Hawaii 28.0 to 17.5
113 Southern Mississippi over 219 North Carolina - Charlot 38.5 to 24.5
9 Oklahoma over 27 Texas Tech 45.5 to 35.0
134 San Jose State over 178 New Mexico 35.0 to 24.5
4 Stanford over 25 Washington 28.0 to 17.5
106 Samford over 175 Western Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
116 Arkansas State over 146 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 31.5
32 California - Los Angeles over 36 California 42.0 to 35.0
52 Arkansas over 54 Auburn 24.5 to 21.0
141 Bryant over 157 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 28.0
199 Bucknell over 200 Georgetown 21.0 to 17.5
115 Ohio over 136 Buffalo 28.0 to 24.5
114 California Poly over 92 Portland State 31.5 to 31.5
230 Campbell over 227 Morehead State 31.5 to 24.5
158 Jacksonville over 229 Drake 28.0 to 17.5
125 Charleston Southern over 216 Gardner - Webb 21.0 to 10.5
10 Florida State over 22 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 31.5
163 Northeast Louisiana over 198 Idaho 31.5 to 28.0
220 Abilene Christian over 240 Incarnate Word 31.5 to 28.0
67 North Dakota State over 105 Indiana State 31.5 to 28.0
153 Lamar over 150 Central Arkansas 38.5 to 35.0
167 Liberty over 203 Kennesaw State 49.0 to 45.5
66 Louisiana Tech over 82 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 28.0
127 Stony Brook over 174 Maine 17.5 to 14.0
80 Penn State over 118 Maryland 24.5 to 21.0
3 Clemson over 45 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 24.5
12 Mississippi over 23 Texas A&M 38.5 to 31.5
177 Troy State over 211 New Mexico State 38.5 to 31.5
164 Northern Arizona over 193 Weber State 31.5 to 21.0
123 Oregon State over 117 Colorado 31.5 to 31.5
147 Rice over 160 Army 31.5 to 28.0
173 Duquesne over 207 Robert Morris 21.0 to 17.5
55 South Dakota State over 74 Northern Iowa 28.0 to 21.0
5 Southern California over 11 Utah 31.5 to 24.5
84 Southern Illinois over 76 Youngstown State 31.5 to 28.0
48 Pittsburgh over 99 Syracuse 31.5 to 24.5
56 Kansas State over 73 Texas 28.0 to 28.0
187 Florida Atlantic over 218 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 28.0
179 Southern over 239 Texas Southern 38.5 to 28.0
166 Texas State - San Marcos over 192 South Alabama 38.5 to 35.0
111 Villanova over 132 Towson 24.5 to 21.0
81 Missouri over 95 Vanderbilt 14.0 to 10.5
42 Virginia Tech over 34 Duke 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
60 Temple over 57 East Carolina 31.5 to 31.5
201 North Carolina Central over 197 Morgan State 28.0 to 28.0
130 Yale over 140 Pennsylvania 31.5 to 31.5
212 Idaho State over 235 Sacramento State 31.5 to 31.5
248 Stetson over 250 Valparaiso 31.5 to 31.5
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