ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
55 Utah State over 161 Wyoming 38.5 to 14.0
42 Appalachian State over 149 Troy State 38.5 to 14.0
67 Cincinnati over 169 Central Florida 42.0 to 21.0
231 Campbell over 253 Davidson 35.0 to 14.0
154 Bethune - Cookman over 245 Delaware State 38.5 to 17.5
167 Duquesne over 241 Wagner 31.5 to 7.0
118 North Carolina A&T over 236 Florida A&M 38.5 to 17.5
19 Florida State over 90 Syracuse 42.0 to 17.5
165 Lamar over 252 Houston Baptist 49.0 to 17.5
40 Illinois State over 110 Indiana State 42.0 to 24.5
26 Iowa over 121 Maryland 38.5 to 17.5
3 Oklahoma over 186 Kansas 49.0 to 10.5
14 Memphis over 175 Tulane 52.5 to 17.5
60 South Dakota State over 233 Missouri State 45.5 to 14.0
23 Boise State over 141 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 21.0
109 New Hampshire over 209 Rhode Island 42.0 to 17.5
50 Western Kentucky over 211 Old Dominion 49.0 to 24.5
181 Prairie View over 248 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 52.5 to 28.0
112 Princeton over 235 Cornell 42.0 to 17.5
86 Richmond over 213 Albany 38.5 to 17.5
96 Southern Mississippi over 223 Texas - El Paso 45.5 to 21.0
193 Tennessee State over 244 Austin Peay 35.0 to 10.5
15 Utah over 136 Oregon State 42.0 to 14.0
36 Wisconsin over 100 Rutgers 31.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
83 Western Michigan over 180 Eastern Michigan 49.0 to 28.0
75 Georgia Southern over 164 Texas State - San Marcos 45.5 to 28.0
114 Buffalo over 217 Miami - Ohio 38.5 to 21.0
58 Louisiana Tech over 146 Rice 42.0 to 31.5
43 Louisville over 130 Wake Forest 28.0 to 14.0
108 McNeese State over 224 Abilene Christian 38.5 to 17.5
51 Arkansas over 145 Tennessee - Martin 38.5 to 21.0
116 Arkansas State over 192 Georgia State 42.0 to 24.5
32 California - Los Angeles over 117 Colorado 42.0 to 21.0
27 Duke over 74 Miami - Florida 35.0 to 21.0
107 Eastern Washington over 187 Weber State 45.5 to 28.0
25 Harvard over 70 Dartmouth 31.5 to 17.5
92 Air Force over 183 Hawaii 28.0 to 17.5
18 Houston over 89 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 14.0
13 Michigan over 99 Minnesota 24.5 to 10.5
234 Jackson State over 251 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 21.0
133 Eastern Illinois over 204 Murray State 38.5 to 28.0
208 Alabama State over 238 Alabama A&M 31.5 to 21.0
115 Marshall over 230 North Carolina - Charlot 38.5 to 17.5
2 Clemson over 39 North Carolina State 35.0 to 24.5
106 Montana State over 196 North Dakota 42.0 to 28.0
65 Northern Iowa over 128 South Dakota 28.0 to 17.5
47 Nebraska over 122 Purdue 38.5 to 28.0
126 Samford over 182 Furman 35.0 to 21.0
174 South Carolina State over 191 Hampton 24.5 to 17.5
155 Southeast Missouri State over 221 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 21.0
194 Stephen F. Austin over 237 Incarnate Word 35.0 to 21.0
157 San Diego over 243 Stetson 38.5 to 14.0
140 Stony Brook over 210 Elon 24.5 to 7.0
101 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 151 Western Carolina 35.0 to 17.5
28 Texas A&M over 76 South Carolina 35.0 to 21.0
87 The Citadel over 176 Mercer 38.5 to 24.5
119 Villanova over 166 Maine 24.5 to 10.5
22 Georgia Tech over 104 Virginia 38.5 to 24.5
6 Stanford over 56 Washington State 38.5 to 28.0
147 Yale over 218 Columbia 31.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
7 Texas Christian over 20 West Virginia 42.0 to 31.5
93 Fordham over 185 Colgate 38.5 to 28.0
246 Howard over 247 Savannah State 35.0 to 24.5
31 Tennessee over 79 Kentucky 35.0 to 28.0
148 Louisiana - Lafayette over 184 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 21.0
205 Northwestern State over 242 Nicholls State 38.5 to 28.0
160 Texas - San Antonio over 222 North Texas 31.5 to 24.5
81 Penn State over 78 Illinois 24.5 to 17.5
77 Portland State over 125 Montana 35.0 to 24.5
173 Wofford over 212 Virginia Military 31.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
21 North Carolina over 45 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 28.0
61 East Carolina over 124 Connecticut 31.5 to 24.5
69 Central Michigan over 139 Akron 24.5 to 17.5
11 Mississippi over 53 Auburn 35.0 to 28.0
156 Ball State over 153 Massachusetts 35.0 to 31.5
129 Brown over 137 Pennsylvania 35.0 to 28.0
5 Southern California over 33 California 38.5 to 31.5
135 Central Arkansas over 170 Southeast Louisiana 28.0 to 21.0
71 Coastal Carolina over 102 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 24.5
103 Colorado State over 88 San Diego State 28.0 to 24.5
172 Dayton over 162 Jacksonville 21.0 to 21.0
138 Florida International over 200 Florida Atlantic 24.5 to 21.0
120 Holy Cross over 144 Bryant 28.0 to 21.0
66 Texas over 97 Iowa State 28.0 to 24.5
85 Jacksonville State over 84 Eastern Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
206 Bucknell over 240 Lafayette 21.0 to 14.0
189 Lehigh over 197 Georgetown 28.0 to 24.5
202 Marist over 219 Butler 28.0 to 17.5
215 Morehead State over 227 Drake 28.0 to 24.5
52 Navy over 68 South Florida 31.5 to 21.0
190 Idaho over 226 New Mexico State 42.0 to 35.0
201 North Carolina Central over 229 Norfolk State 24.5 to 17.5
152 Northern Arizona over 188 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 24.5
220 Presbyterian over 225 Gardner - Webb 10.5 to 10.5
150 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 179 Sacred Heart 35.0 to 28.0
143 Alcorn State over 171 Southern 42.0 to 38.5
59 North Dakota State over 72 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 31.5
111 Tulsa over 131 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 38.5
113 Southern Utah over 105 California Poly 28.0 to 28.0
8 Notre Dame over 54 Temple 31.5 to 24.5
10 Oklahoma State over 35 Texas Tech 45.5 to 42.0
123 Towson over 158 Delaware 24.5 to 17.5
38 Washington over 49 Arizona 35.0 to 28.0
80 Western Illinois over 82 Youngstown State 28.0 to 24.5
57 William & Mary over 41 James Madison 35.0 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
46 Arizona State over 34 Oregon 35.0 to 35.0
73 Boston College over 48 Virginia Tech 21.0 to 17.5
214 Central Connecticut over 207 Robert Morris 21.0 to 21.0
198 Kennesaw State over 168 Monmouth 49.0 to 49.0
17 Florida over 30 Georgia 28.0 to 24.5
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