2015 Week 11 (3-7 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  42 Appalachian State         over  118 Arkansas State             42.0 to 24.5
   1 Baylor                    over   63 Kansas State               49.0 to 31.5
  76 Air Force                 over  156 Army                       38.5 to 21.0
 146 Southeast Missouri State  over  245 Austin Peay                35.0 to 10.5
 227 Butler                    over  249 Valparaiso                 42.0 to 21.0
 112 California Poly           over  223 Sacramento State           42.0 to 21.0
  83 Coastal Carolina          over  228 Gardner - Webb             35.0 to  7.0
  26 Harvard                   over  205 Columbia                   35.0 to  3.5
  59 Dartmouth                 over  233 Cornell                    42.0 to  7.0
  52 William & Mary            over  198 Elon                       31.5 to 10.5
  12 Florida                   over  103 Vanderbilt                 28.0 to  3.5
 142 Grambling                 over  242 Texas Southern             49.0 to 24.5
 195 Hampton                   over  235 Florida A&M                35.0 to 17.5
 183 Jacksonville              over  253 Davidson                   49.0 to  7.0
 152 Lamar                     over  244 Nicholls State             45.5 to 17.5
  60 Louisiana Tech            over  216 North Texas                49.0 to 17.5
 201 Marist                    over  243 Stetson                    35.0 to 14.0
  25 Wisconsin                 over  114 Maryland                   31.5 to 14.0
  15 Michigan                  over  115 Rutgers                    38.5 to 14.0
  43 Utah State                over  178 New Mexico                 38.5 to 21.0
 230 Norfolk State             over  250 Savannah State             38.5 to 14.0
   9 Ohio State                over   84 Minnesota                  38.5 to 14.0
   3 Oklahoma                  over   81 Iowa State                 45.5 to 14.0
   6 Southern California       over   70 Arizona                    45.5 to 24.5
 160 Stony Brook               over  237 Howard                     35.0 to 10.5
  88 Texas                     over  207 Kansas                     35.0 to 10.5
  95 The Citadel               over  217 Virginia Military          45.5 to 21.0
  55 Western Kentucky          over  187 Florida Atlantic           45.5 to 21.0
  85 Youngstown State          over  236 Missouri State             45.5 to 10.5

80-90% chance of victory:

  28 Bowling Green             over  124 Ohio                       42.0 to 24.5
 117 Buffalo                   over  204 Kent State                 28.0 to 17.5
  69 Western Michigan          over  157 Ball State                 38.5 to 21.0
  40 Brigham Young             over  138 San Jose State             35.0 to 21.0
  49 Temple                    over  132 Southern Methodist         35.0 to 21.0
 155 Rice                      over  222 Texas - El Paso            38.5 to 28.0
 239 Alabama A&M               over  251 Mississippi Valley State   31.5 to 14.0
 123 Alcorn State              over  179 Prairie View               49.0 to 35.0
 203 Southern                  over  248 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      42.0 to 24.5
 145 Bethune - Cookman         over  197 Morgan State               38.5 to 28.0
 147 San Diego                 over  229 Campbell                   28.0 to 14.0
 141 Central Arkansas          over  173 Stephen F. Austin          38.5 to 24.5
   2 Clemson                   over   19 Florida State              35.0 to 21.0
  10 Stanford                  over  113 Colorado                   38.5 to 21.0
 162 Delaware                  over  218 Albany                     24.5 to 14.0
 104 Eastern Kentucky          over  148 Tennessee - Martin         42.0 to 28.0
 144 Florida International     over  231 North Carolina - Charlot   35.0 to 14.0
  99 Fordham                   over  213 Bucknell                   38.5 to 21.0
  48 Georgia                   over   94 Kentucky                   38.5 to 21.0
  11 Houston                   over   58 Cincinnati                 45.5 to 28.0
 127 Montana                   over  226 Idaho State                38.5 to 24.5
  27 Iowa                      over   92 Indiana                    38.5 to 28.0
 164 Liberty                   over  224 Presbyterian               24.5 to 10.5
  50 Louisville                over   91 Syracuse                   35.0 to 21.0
  20 Memphis                   over   46 Navy                       38.5 to 28.0
  62 Miami - Florida           over   96 Virginia                   35.0 to 24.5
  13 Mississippi               over   44 Arkansas                   31.5 to 21.0
 209 North Carolina Central    over  246 Delaware State             31.5 to 14.0
  47 North Dakota State        over   87 Western Illinois           35.0 to 21.0
  72 Portland State            over  200 Northern Colorado          42.0 to 21.0
  75 Northern Iowa             over  102 Indiana State              28.0 to 17.5
  38 California - Los Angeles  over  133 Oregon State               35.0 to 21.0
 121 Villanova                 over  202 Rhode Island               28.0 to 14.0
 232 Robert Morris             over  247 East Tennessee State       24.5 to  7.0
 177 Southeast Louisiana       over  240 Incarnate Word             35.0 to 10.5
  18 Tennessee                 over   78 South Carolina             38.5 to 21.0
 199 Tennessee State           over  211 Murray State               35.0 to 24.5
  32 Texas A&M                 over   57 Auburn                     38.5 to 28.0
 168 Texas State - San Marcos  over  219 New Mexico State           49.0 to 35.0
 130 Troy State                over  189 Northeast Louisiana        31.5 to 21.0
  98 Tulsa                     over  191 Central Florida            38.5 to 24.5
 140 Bryant                    over  241 Wagner                     38.5 to 17.5
 172 Weber State               over  215 California - Davis         31.5 to 21.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  39 Toledo                    over   65 Northern Illinois          31.5 to 24.5
  16 Mississippi State         over   90 Missouri                   21.0 to 14.0
   5 Alabama                   over   14 Louisiana State            31.5 to 21.0
  67 Jacksonville State        over  135 Eastern Illinois           35.0 to 24.5
 184 Colgate                   over  238 Lafayette                  28.0 to 17.5
 166 Dayton                    over  212 Morehead State             31.5 to 21.0
 136 Nevada - Las Vegas        over  193 Hawaii                     28.0 to 21.0
   7 Notre Dame                over   45 Pittsburgh                 31.5 to 24.5
 180 Texas - San Antonio       over  214 Old Dominion               35.0 to 24.5
 108 Connecticut               over  169 Tulane                     28.0 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

 137 Nevada - Reno             over  176 Fresno State               35.0 to 31.5
  37 North Carolina State      over   77 Boston College             24.5 to 21.0
 151 Saint Francis - Pennsylv  over  192 Central Connecticut        31.5 to 28.0
  68 East Carolina             over   66 South Florida              31.5 to 28.0
 120 Eastern Washington        over  128 Northern Arizona           45.5 to 35.0
 150 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  181 Georgia State              35.0 to 31.5
 208 Alabama State             over  234 Jackson State              31.5 to 28.0
  97 Charleston Southern       over  196 Kennesaw State             45.5 to 31.5
 134 Holy Cross                over  190 Lehigh                     31.5 to 28.0
 119 Towson                    over  170 Maine                      24.5 to 21.0
 143 Akron                     over  153 Massachusetts              24.5 to 24.5
 116 McNeese State             over   93 Sam Houston State          28.0 to 28.0
  89 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  167 Mercer                     28.0 to 21.0
 210 Miami - Ohio              over  186 Eastern Michigan           38.5 to 35.0
 107 Montana State             over   82 Southern Utah              38.5 to 35.0
  22 Michigan State            over   61 Nebraska                   35.0 to 28.0
  86 Richmond                  over  126 New Hampshire              35.0 to 31.5
  17 North Carolina            over   29 Duke                       31.5 to 24.5
  74 Northwestern              over   64 Penn State                 17.5 to 17.5
 206 Northwestern State        over  220 Abilene Christian          38.5 to 35.0
  34 Oregon                    over   31 California                 45.5 to 42.0
 100 Purdue                    over  110 Illinois                   31.5 to 28.0
 182 Sacred Heart              over  175 Duquesne                   21.0 to 21.0
 188 South Alabama             over  185 Idaho                      35.0 to 31.5
 125 North Carolina A&T        over  158 South Carolina State       21.0 to 17.5
  79 Southern Illinois         over  131 South Dakota               31.5 to 28.0
  51 South Dakota State        over   54 Illinois State             28.0 to 24.5
  23 Washington                over   24 Utah                       24.5 to 21.0
  53 Washington State          over   56 Arizona State              35.0 to 35.0
 154 Western Carolina          over  165 Furman                     24.5 to 24.5
  33 West Virginia             over   35 Texas Tech                 45.5 to 38.5
 129 Colorado State            over  159 Wyoming                    31.5 to 24.5
 161 Yale                      over  149 Brown                      28.0 to 28.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 109 Marshall                  over  106 Middle Tennessee State     31.5 to 31.5
   8 Oklahoma State            over    4 Texas Christian            42.0 to 42.0
 111 Pennsylvania              over  101 Princeton                  35.0 to 35.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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