2016 Week 2 (1-5 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  46 Illinois State            over  251 Valparaiso                 66.5 to 17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

 163 Central Arkansas          over  254 Houston Baptist            59.5 to 17.5
  33 Louisville                over  227 North Carolina - Charlot   56.0 to 21.0
   4 Baylor                    over  201 Northwestern State         66.5 to 28.0
  18 Michigan State            over  190 Furman                     49.0 to 17.5
  60 Georgia Southern          over  250 Savannah State             66.5 to 21.0
  36 Iowa                      over  194 Miami - Ohio               49.0 to 17.5
  68 James Madison             over  231 Morehead State             63.0 to 31.5
  59 Miami - Florida           over  240 Florida A&M                52.5 to 21.0
  20 Michigan                  over  175 Hawaii                     49.0 to 17.5
  14 Mississippi State         over  176 South Alabama              56.0 to 24.5
  12 Oregon                    over  213 California - Davis         63.0 to 28.0

60-70% chance of victory:

  99 Central Michigan          over  223 Presbyterian               35.0 to 21.0
  77 Cincinnati                over  142 Tennessee - Martin         49.0 to 38.5
 179 Delaware                  over  244 Delaware State             42.0 to 17.5
  73 Indiana                   over  173 Florida International      49.0 to 35.0
 126 Montana State             over  183 Idaho                      56.0 to 45.5
 108 The Citadel               over  171 Mercer                     38.5 to 35.0
  70 Minnesota                 over  128 Oregon State               42.0 to 28.0
 148 Nevada - Las Vegas        over  241 Jackson State              45.5 to 31.5
 181 Stony Brook               over  156 North Dakota               31.5 to 24.5
  21 Tennessee                 over   76 Appalachian State          45.5 to 31.5
 153 Wofford                   over  218 Tennessee Tech             38.5 to 31.5
  27 Utah                      over  103 Southern Utah              42.0 to 28.0
  69 Utah State                over  178 Weber State                42.0 to 24.5
  54 South Carolina            over  110 Vanderbilt                 31.5 to 28.0
 113 Wake Forest               over  166 Tulane                     35.0 to 24.5
  37 Western Kentucky          over  160 Rice                       56.0 to 35.0
  91 Youngstown State          over  136 Duquesne                   38.5 to 31.5
  43 Toledo                    over   90 Arkansas State             45.5 to 38.5
 133 Buffalo                   over  200 Albany                     38.5 to 31.5
 216 Central Connecticut       over  232 Lafayette                  35.0 to 28.0
 206 Eastern Michigan          over  252 Mississippi Valley State   45.5 to 31.5
 151 Georgia State             over  159 Ball State                 38.5 to 35.0
   7 Stanford                  over   56 Kansas State               45.5 to 28.0
  89 Syracuse                  over  162 Colgate                    38.5 to 31.5
  57 Temple                    over  158 Army                       42.0 to 24.5
  71 Air Force                 over  221 Abilene Christian          52.5 to 28.0
 131 Akron                     over  220 Virginia Military          42.0 to 28.0
  31 Arizona State             over  123 Northern Arizona           52.5 to 35.0
  15 Arkansas                  over   74 Louisiana Tech             49.0 to 31.5
   3 Clemson                   over   25 Auburn                     42.0 to 35.0
  53 Duke                      over  187 North Carolina Central     45.5 to 28.0
  78 East Carolina             over  144 Western Carolina           45.5 to 31.5
 208 Elon                      over  236 Gardner - Webb             31.5 to 17.5
  45 Florida                   over  165 Massachusetts              45.5 to 17.5
  94 Southern Illinois         over  155 Florida Atlantic           42.0 to 35.0
 211 Georgetown                over  253 Davidson                   45.5 to 21.0
   2 Oklahoma                  over   19 Houston                    45.5 to 38.5
  95 Illinois                  over  198 Murray State               49.0 to 35.0
 118 Indiana State             over  228 Butler                     45.5 to 31.5
  44 Northern Iowa             over   92 Iowa State                 38.5 to 28.0
 217 Kennesaw State            over  249 East Tennessee State       49.0 to 31.5
  88 Kentucky                  over   82 Southern Mississippi       42.0 to 38.5
  87 Coastal Carolina          over  184 Lamar                      49.0 to 35.0
 172 Lehigh                    over  170 Monmouth                   42.0 to 38.5
  22 Boise State               over  157 Louisiana - Lafayette      49.0 to 28.0
 107 Maryland                  over  238 Howard                     49.0 to 28.0
  32 Memphis                   over  154 Southeast Missouri State   49.0 to 31.5
 104 Middle Tennessee State    over  242 Alabama A&M                49.0 to 24.5
  97 Montana                   over  150 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   42.0 to 31.5
 134 Holy Cross                over  215 Morgan State               38.5 to 28.0
   1 Alabama                   over   16 Southern California        42.0 to 31.5
  35 Navy                      over  109 Fordham                    49.0 to 38.5
  34 Georgia Tech              over   75 Boston College             31.5 to 24.5
  39 Nebraska                  over  164 Fresno State               56.0 to 31.5
 193 Southern                  over  203 Northeast Louisiana        42.0 to 35.0
  80 Northwestern              over   65 Western Michigan           35.0 to 31.5
 119 Ohio                      over  188 Texas State - San Marcos   42.0 to 28.0
   5 Ohio State                over   42 Bowling Green              52.5 to 31.5
  23 Oklahoma State            over  204 Southeast Louisiana        52.5 to 24.5
  67 Penn State                over  199 Kent State                 38.5 to 14.0
  50 Pittsburgh                over  102 Villanova                  35.0 to 31.5
  58 San Diego State           over  117 New Hampshire              38.5 to 31.5
  62 South Florida             over  138 Towson                     38.5 to 31.5
 169 Sacred Heart              over  247 Stetson                    45.5 to 28.0
 195 Tennessee State           over  248 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      49.0 to 24.5
   8 Texas Christian           over   61 South Dakota State         45.5 to 31.5
 202 Texas - El Paso           over  210 New Mexico State           45.5 to 38.5
  40 Texas Tech                over  189 Stephen F. Austin          63.0 to 38.5
 137 Troy State                over  245 Austin Peay                45.5 to 24.5
  41 Virginia Tech             over  147 Liberty                    45.5 to 24.5
  17 Washington                over  106 Rutgers                    45.5 to 24.5
  52 Washington State          over  127 Eastern Washington         52.5 to 38.5
  26 West Virginia             over   66 Missouri                   35.0 to 24.5
  86 Northern Illinois         over  177 Wyoming                    42.0 to 31.5
 161 Prairie View              over  246 Texas Southern             52.5 to 35.0
  13 Notre Dame                over   64 Texas                      38.5 to 35.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 125 Connecticut               over  168 Maine                      28.0 to 24.5
  98 Western Illinois          over  141 Eastern Illinois           35.0 to 35.0
 143 South Dakota              over  139 New Mexico                 35.0 to 35.0
  47 North Carolina State      over   81 William & Mary             42.0 to 38.5
 101 Colorado State            over  100 Colorado                   35.0 to 35.0
 120 Nevada - Reno             over  124 California Poly            42.0 to 38.5
 174 South Carolina State      over  180 Central Florida            31.5 to 28.0
 197 Kansas                    over  219 Rhode Island               31.5 to 31.5
 207 Marist                    over  205 Bucknell                   28.0 to 24.5
  38 Brigham Young             over   49 Arizona                    45.5 to 42.0
  11 North Carolina            over   24 Georgia                    38.5 to 38.5
 152 Southern Methodist        over  209 North Texas                38.5 to 35.0
  10 Louisiana State           over   28 Wisconsin                  31.5 to 28.0
 191 Hampton                   over  196 Old Dominion               38.5 to 35.0
 132 Eastern Kentucky          over  122 Purdue                     38.5 to 38.5
  29 Texas A&M                 over   30 California - Los Angeles   38.5 to 35.0
 185 Texas - San Antonio       over  225 Alabama State              35.0 to 31.5
 115 Tulsa                     over  111 San Jose State             42.0 to 42.0
  79 Richmond                  over   84 Virginia                   38.5 to 35.0
 129 Alcorn State              over  149 Bethune - Cookman          42.0 to 42.0
   6 Mississippi               over    9 Florida State              35.0 to 35.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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