ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
4 Baylor over 153 Southern Methodist 63.0 to 21.0
84 Coastal Carolina over 240 Florida A&M 49.0 to 10.5
22 Georgia over 241 Nicholls State 56.0 to 10.5
2 Ohio State over 105 Tulsa 56.0 to 21.0
3 Oklahoma over 193 Northeast Louisiana 52.5 to 10.5
76 Southern Mississippi over 250 Savannah State 59.5 to 14.0
14 Washington over 185 Idaho 49.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
1 Alabama over 36 Western Kentucky 45.5 to 24.5
5 Clemson over 130 Troy State 49.0 to 17.5
9 Florida State over 79 Charleston Southern 38.5 to 17.5
15 Houston over 189 Lamar 52.5 to 21.0
58 James Madison over 221 Central Connecticut 52.5 to 17.5
16 Michigan over 177 Central Florida 42.0 to 10.5
6 Mississippi over 156 Wofford 45.5 to 14.0
72 Missouri over 192 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 14.0
39 Nebraska over 164 Wyoming 45.5 to 21.0
49 North Dakota State over 122 Eastern Washington 42.0 to 24.5
10 Oregon over 90 Virginia 49.0 to 28.0
75 Richmond over 225 Norfolk State 42.0 to 14.0
171 Sacred Heart over 251 Valparaiso 45.5 to 14.0
82 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 227 Presbyterian 38.5 to 10.5
62 Texas over 194 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 14.0
26 Texas A&M over 158 Prairie View 49.0 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
203 Northwestern State over 238 Incarnate Word 38.5 to 28.0
102 Maryland over 178 Florida International 35.0 to 24.5
27 Louisville over 88 Syracuse 35.0 to 24.5
73 Air Force over 155 Georgia State 38.5 to 21.0
127 Alcorn State over 228 Alabama State 42.0 to 21.0
77 Appalachian State over 187 Old Dominion 45.5 to 24.5
51 Arizona over 162 Grambling 52.5 to 35.0
32 Arizona State over 34 Texas Tech 49.0 to 45.5
152 Army over 168 Rice 31.5 to 28.0
31 Auburn over 101 Arkansas State 42.0 to 24.5
222 Tennessee Tech over 246 Austin Peay 31.5 to 21.0
20 Boise State over 52 Washington State 42.0 to 28.0
56 Bowling Green over 161 North Dakota 42.0 to 28.0
28 California - Los Angeles over 138 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 21.0
123 California Poly over 173 San Diego 38.5 to 31.5
98 Colorado over 218 Idaho State 45.5 to 24.5
116 Colorado State over 182 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 21.0
186 Dayton over 236 Robert Morris 31.5 to 17.5
166 Monmouth over 244 Delaware State 35.0 to 17.5
54 Duke over 121 Wake Forest 31.5 to 17.5
142 Duquesne over 202 Bucknell 24.5 to 14.0
46 Florida over 87 Kentucky 31.5 to 21.0
172 Fresno State over 215 Sacramento State 38.5 to 31.5
38 Georgia Tech over 165 Mercer 42.0 to 17.5
91 William & Mary over 196 Hampton 35.0 to 21.0
148 Tennessee - Martin over 234 Hawaii 38.5 to 28.0
245 Texas Southern over 254 Houston Baptist 38.5 to 17.5
11 North Carolina over 89 Illinois 38.5 to 28.0
70 Indiana over 160 Ball State 45.5 to 28.0
37 Iowa over 96 Iowa State 35.0 to 21.0
119 Ohio over 184 Kansas 31.5 to 28.0
137 North Carolina A&T over 201 Kent State 28.0 to 14.0
159 Delaware over 232 Lafayette 28.0 to 17.5
131 McNeese State over 169 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 21.0
13 Louisiana State over 55 Jacksonville State 35.0 to 28.0
74 Louisiana Tech over 188 South Carolina State 35.0 to 17.5
71 Marshall over 213 Morgan State 42.0 to 21.0
47 Miami - Florida over 151 Florida Atlantic 42.0 to 17.5
144 Eastern Illinois over 195 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 24.5
67 Minnesota over 108 Indiana State 35.0 to 24.5
19 Mississippi State over 63 South Carolina 35.0 to 21.0
243 Alabama A&M over 252 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 21.0
210 Murray State over 231 Missouri State 38.5 to 35.0
29 Navy over 125 Connecticut 35.0 to 14.0
78 Boston College over 167 Massachusetts 31.5 to 10.5
133 New Mexico over 208 New Mexico State 42.0 to 31.5
214 Elon over 230 North Carolina - Charlot 28.0 to 24.5
44 Northern Iowa over 93 Montana 31.5 to 21.0
145 Bethune - Cookman over 211 North Texas 42.0 to 28.0
43 Illinois State over 85 Northwestern 28.0 to 21.0
12 Notre Dame over 114 Nevada - Reno 45.5 to 21.0
23 Tennessee over 42 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 28.0
191 Tennessee State over 242 Jackson State 35.0 to 21.0
18 Oklahoma State over 99 Central Michigan 42.0 to 24.5
50 Pittsburgh over 68 Penn State 28.0 to 24.5
199 Albany over 223 Rhode Island 24.5 to 21.0
111 Rutgers over 239 Howard 45.5 to 21.0
60 San Diego State over 95 California 38.5 to 35.0
103 Portland State over 120 San Jose State 35.0 to 31.5
57 Georgia Southern over 170 South Alabama 42.0 to 24.5
146 South Dakota over 183 Weber State 28.0 to 17.5
59 South Dakota State over 220 Drake 42.0 to 17.5
24 Southern California over 65 Utah State 35.0 to 24.5
94 Southern Illinois over 157 Southeast Missouri State 42.0 to 28.0
117 Southern Utah over 204 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 17.5
53 South Florida over 86 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
64 Temple over 181 Stony Brook 24.5 to 14.0
8 Texas Christian over 17 Arkansas 42.0 to 28.0
104 The Citadel over 190 Furman 35.0 to 17.5
45 Toledo over 163 Maine 35.0 to 17.5
140 Towson over 147 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 28.0
33 Utah over 41 Brigham Young 31.5 to 24.5
109 Villanova over 174 Lehigh 35.0 to 21.0
150 Western Carolina over 237 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 17.5
97 Western Illinois over 132 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 28.0
66 Western Michigan over 198 North Carolina Central 38.5 to 21.0
25 West Virginia over 83 Youngstown State 35.0 to 24.5
30 Wisconsin over 126 Akron 31.5 to 10.5
50-60% chance of victory:
217 Abilene Christian over 205 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 35.0
106 Samford over 154 Central Arkansas 38.5 to 35.0
40 North Carolina State over 69 East Carolina 35.0 to 35.0
149 Liberty over 179 Jacksonville 31.5 to 31.5
212 Marist over 207 Georgetown 24.5 to 21.0
135 Montana State over 141 Bryant 38.5 to 38.5
233 Morehead State over 219 Virginia Military 38.5 to 35.0
124 Holy Cross over 134 New Hampshire 28.0 to 28.0
80 Cincinnati over 112 Purdue 35.0 to 35.0
197 Southern over 176 Tulane 31.5 to 31.5
100 Middle Tennessee State over 118 Vanderbilt 24.5 to 21.0
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