ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
5 Baylor over 183 Rice 52.5 to 17.5
26 Arizona State over 212 Texas - San Antonio 45.5 to 14.0
56 Arizona over 224 Hawaii 49.0 to 17.5
6 Clemson over 192 South Carolina State 42.0 to 7.0
40 Florida over 205 North Texas 38.5 to 7.0
96 Kentucky over 209 New Mexico State 49.0 to 24.5
41 North Carolina State over 189 Old Dominion 45.5 to 17.5
98 Southern Illinois over 208 Murray State 49.0 to 24.5
34 Toledo over 171 Fresno State 45.5 to 17.5
50 Washington State over 190 Idaho 52.5 to 21.0
18 Wisconsin over 177 Georgia State 45.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
46 Harvard over 234 Rhode Island 49.0 to 7.0
121 Alcorn State over 248 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 52.5 to 17.5
20 Arkansas over 184 Texas State - San Marcos 52.5 to 21.0
160 Central Arkansas over 207 Northwestern State 38.5 to 24.5
116 The Citadel over 235 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 14.0
62 Georgia Southern over 199 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 14.0
213 Abilene Christian over 254 Houston Baptist 45.5 to 24.5
54 Illinois State over 152 Eastern Illinois 38.5 to 21.0
51 Kansas State over 161 Florida Atlantic 38.5 to 14.0
29 Memphis over 196 Kansas 49.0 to 17.5
44 Western Kentucky over 188 Miami - Ohio 45.5 to 24.5
30 Utah over 128 San Jose State 35.0 to 17.5
49 South Dakota State over 114 California Poly 42.0 to 28.0
25 Tennessee over 119 Ohio 42.0 to 21.0
14 Texas Christian over 107 Iowa State 45.5 to 21.0
38 Navy over 149 Tulane 35.0 to 21.0
81 Youngstown State over 238 Robert Morris 35.0 to 7.0
70-80% chance of victory:
11 Houston over 69 Cincinnati 38.5 to 28.0
91 Maryland over 172 Central Florida 35.0 to 24.5
87 Central Michigan over 148 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 24.5
139 Western Carolina over 247 East Tennessee State 35.0 to 17.5
42 Georgia Tech over 92 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 17.5
28 Iowa over 95 North Dakota State 35.0 to 21.0
13 Louisiana State over 27 Mississippi State 31.5 to 17.5
168 Mercer over 214 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 24.5
10 Michigan over 72 Colorado 38.5 to 21.0
115 Princeton over 232 Lafayette 42.0 to 17.5
106 Liberty over 154 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 24.5
67 Southern Mississippi over 125 Troy State 38.5 to 24.5
4 Stanford over 22 Southern California 35.0 to 21.0
65 Richmond over 176 Stony Brook 24.5 to 14.0
35 Texas Tech over 61 Louisiana Tech 49.0 to 42.0
97 William & Mary over 227 Norfolk State 35.0 to 10.5
60-70% chance of victory:
85 Utah State over 99 Arkansas State 35.0 to 28.0
187 Prairie View over 240 Alabama A&M 38.5 to 31.5
124 Holy Cross over 173 Albany 28.0 to 24.5
47 Miami - Florida over 73 Appalachian State 28.0 to 28.0
21 Auburn over 23 Texas A&M 31.5 to 28.0
129 Eastern Kentucky over 157 Ball State 35.0 to 28.0
140 Bethune - Cookman over 178 Tennessee State 35.0 to 28.0
77 Bowling Green over 105 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 35.0
39 Brigham Young over 37 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 28.0
142 Bryant over 141 Brown 35.0 to 31.5
185 Bucknell over 222 Cornell 28.0 to 17.5
55 Texas over 83 California 42.0 to 38.5
228 Campbell over 231 Presbyterian 24.5 to 14.0
146 Colorado State over 206 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 28.0
150 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 202 Columbia 28.0 to 24.5
89 Virginia over 126 Connecticut 21.0 to 21.0
76 Dartmouth over 112 New Hampshire 31.5 to 24.5
144 Duquesne over 186 Dayton 28.0 to 21.0
52 Northern Iowa over 118 Eastern Washington 38.5 to 31.5
79 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 174 Furman 31.5 to 17.5
204 Hampton over 239 Howard 31.5 to 24.5
53 Western Michigan over 100 Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
163 Grambling over 242 Jackson State 42.0 to 28.0
58 Jacksonville State over 84 Coastal Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
166 Monmouth over 194 Kent State 24.5 to 21.0
88 Sam Houston State over 193 Lamar 45.5 to 31.5
169 Louisiana - Lafayette over 162 South Alabama 28.0 to 28.0
9 Louisville over 7 Florida State 35.0 to 28.0
64 Marshall over 136 Akron 38.5 to 21.0
167 Massachusetts over 191 Florida International 28.0 to 21.0
123 McNeese State over 182 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 24.5
1 Alabama over 8 Mississippi 35.0 to 24.5
32 Georgia over 70 Missouri 21.0 to 17.5
135 Nevada - Reno over 132 Buffalo 31.5 to 28.0
15 North Carolina over 45 James Madison 45.5 to 42.0
217 North Carolina - Charlot over 198 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 38.5
130 South Dakota over 155 North Dakota 28.0 to 28.0
57 San Diego State over 103 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
31 Oklahoma State over 48 Pittsburgh 38.5 to 31.5
131 Oregon State over 215 Idaho State 38.5 to 24.5
71 Penn State over 75 Temple 24.5 to 17.5
111 Pennsylvania over 164 Lehigh 42.0 to 31.5
117 Rutgers over 138 New Mexico 35.0 to 31.5
180 Sacred Heart over 210 Marist 24.5 to 17.5
59 South Carolina over 66 East Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
120 Indiana State over 156 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 28.0
220 Alabama State over 216 Southern 31.5 to 31.5
43 South Florida over 94 Syracuse 35.0 to 28.0
145 Army over 200 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 24.5
245 Texas Southern over 253 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 21.0
133 North Carolina A&T over 101 Tulsa 35.0 to 31.5
110 Villanova over 143 Towson 28.0 to 17.5
63 Virginia Tech over 80 Boston College 21.0 to 17.5
102 Wake Forest over 159 Delaware 17.5 to 14.0
12 Washington over 93 Portland State 42.0 to 21.0
151 Weber State over 218 Sacramento State 38.5 to 24.5
170 Wyoming over 201 California - Davis 31.5 to 28.0
122 Yale over 165 Colgate 38.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
16 Oregon over 36 Nebraska 42.0 to 42.0
237 Incarnate Word over 241 Nicholls State 28.0 to 28.0
82 Northwestern over 60 Duke 24.5 to 21.0
17 Notre Dame over 19 Michigan State 35.0 to 31.5
2 Ohio State over 3 Oklahoma 31.5 to 31.5
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