2016 Week 6 (29 Sep - 1 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

   5 Houston                   over  124 Connecticut                38.5 to  7.0
  35 Texas Tech                over  193 Kansas                     56.0 to 28.0
   1 Alabama                   over  111 Kentucky                   52.5 to 10.5
  26 Auburn                    over  191 Northeast Louisiana        42.0 to 10.5
  18 Boise State               over  101 Utah State                 38.5 to 21.0
  76 Eastern Washington        over  201 California - Davis         52.5 to 28.0
  71 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  244 East Tennessee State       38.5 to  7.0
  67 Troy State                over  196 Idaho                      42.0 to 24.5
  32 James Madison             over  147 Delaware                   45.5 to 21.0
 113 Liberty                   over  237 Robert Morris              31.5 to 10.5
  60 Louisiana Tech            over  223 Texas - El Paso            49.0 to 14.0
   2 Ohio State                over  104 Rutgers                    49.0 to 10.5
 120 Portland State            over  226 Idaho State                45.5 to 24.5
  69 Southern Mississippi      over  189 Rice                       42.0 to 21.0
  59 Western Kentucky          over  251 Houston Baptist            59.5 to 14.0

80-90% chance of victory:

  56 Harvard                   over  207 Georgetown                 38.5 to 10.5
 239 Alabama State             over  248 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      35.0 to 21.0
  92 Appalachian State         over  159 Georgia State              35.0 to 17.5
 102 Boston College            over  153 Buffalo                    28.0 to 14.0
  38 California - Los Angeles  over   61 Arizona                    35.0 to 24.5
  66 Coastal Carolina          over  107 Charleston Southern        31.5 to 21.0
  42 Colorado                  over  121 Oregon State               38.5 to 21.0
  87 Villanova                 over  212 Elon                       28.0 to 10.5
 115 Indiana State             over  233 Missouri State             42.0 to 17.5
  14 Baylor                    over   96 Iowa State                 38.5 to 21.0
 238 Jackson State             over  253 Mississippi Valley State   35.0 to 14.0
  93 Maryland                  over  125 Purdue                     35.0 to 24.5
 151 McNeese State             over  220 Nicholls State             38.5 to 17.5
 236 Morehead State            over  250 Valparaiso                 38.5 to 24.5
 224 Morgan State              over  247 Delaware State             38.5 to 21.0
  28 Arkansas                  over  187 Alcorn State               42.0 to 21.0
  27 Nebraska                  over  116 Illinois                   38.5 to 17.5
 157 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  214 New Mexico State           42.0 to 31.5
 227 Norfolk State             over  241 Howard                     28.0 to 17.5
  99 Middle Tennessee State    over  200 North Texas                38.5 to 24.5
  34 Notre Dame                over  105 Syracuse                   45.5 to 28.0
 136 Brown                     over  232 Rhode Island               38.5 to 24.5
  74 Richmond                  over  135 Towson                     35.0 to 24.5
 144 Montana State             over  229 Sacramento State           35.0 to 24.5
  54 San Diego State           over  158 South Alabama              35.0 to 17.5
  12 Texas A&M                 over   86 South Carolina             31.5 to 17.5
  88 Temple                    over  161 Southern Methodist         35.0 to 21.0
  70 Youngstown State          over  126 South Dakota               38.5 to 24.5

70-80% chance of victory:

 137 North Carolina A&T        over  192 Hampton                    28.0 to 17.5
 156 Central Arkansas          over  219 Abilene Christian          38.5 to 28.0
 228 Murray State              over  246 Austin Peay                35.0 to 24.5
 118 Colgate                   over  206 Cornell                    35.0 to 21.0
 140 Colorado State            over  173 Wyoming                    31.5 to 24.5
  90 East Carolina             over  122 Central Florida            35.0 to 24.5
   6 Florida State             over   17 North Carolina             45.5 to 35.0
 133 Nevada - Reno             over  190 Hawaii                     31.5 to 21.0
  29 Michigan State            over   85 Indiana                    38.5 to 28.0
  22 Iowa                      over   68 Northwestern               24.5 to 14.0
 130 Holy Cross                over  202 Lafayette                  31.5 to 24.5
   4 Michigan                  over   16 Wisconsin                  31.5 to 21.0
  50 North Carolina State      over  100 Wake Forest                31.5 to 17.5
  80 California Poly           over  155 North Dakota               35.0 to 28.0
  63 Northern Iowa             over   97 Southern Illinois          35.0 to 24.5
 149 Grambling                 over  176 Prairie View               42.0 to 38.5
  89 Sam Houston State         over  185 Stephen F. Austin          45.5 to 31.5
 138 Eastern Kentucky          over  205 Tennessee Tech             31.5 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  47 Brigham Young             over   31 Toledo                     28.0 to 24.5
   9 Washington                over    7 Stanford                   28.0 to 24.5
 132 Ball State                over  129 Northern Illinois          31.5 to 28.0
 184 Bethune - Cookman         over  194 North Carolina Central     35.0 to 28.0
 177 Bowling Green             over  183 Eastern Michigan           42.0 to 38.5
 174 San Diego                 over  217 Butler                     31.5 to 24.5
  39 Utah                      over   52 California                 42.0 to 38.5
  30 Western Michigan          over   73 Central Michigan           35.0 to 31.5
  40 South Florida             over   83 Cincinnati                 35.0 to 31.5
   3 Louisville                over   11 Clemson                    35.0 to 31.5
 123 Princeton                 over  211 Columbia                   28.0 to 17.5
  72 Dartmouth                 over  127 Pennsylvania               35.0 to 17.5
 245 Stetson                   over  252 Davidson                   31.5 to 24.5
 199 Dayton                    over  216 Drake                      24.5 to 17.5
  62 Duke                      over   84 Virginia                   35.0 to 28.0
 242 Florida A&M               over  249 Savannah State             31.5 to 21.0
 186 Florida Atlantic          over  221 Florida International      24.5 to 24.5
 165 Furman                    over  209 Kennesaw State             38.5 to 28.0
  37 Georgia Tech              over   33 Miami - Florida            28.0 to 24.5
 109 Akron                     over  180 Kent State                 31.5 to 24.5
 188 Southeast Louisiana       over  197 Lamar                      28.0 to 24.5
  23 Louisiana State           over   45 Missouri                   24.5 to 17.5
 225 Marist                    over  234 Campbell                   24.5 to 17.5
 108 Ohio                      over  162 Miami - Ohio               35.0 to 28.0
  10 Mississippi               over   15 Memphis                    38.5 to 35.0
 110 Fordham                   over  195 Monmouth                   35.0 to 28.0
  78 Montana                   over  106 Southern Utah              31.5 to 24.5
 160 Nevada - Las Vegas        over  169 Fresno State               38.5 to 35.0
  98 New Hampshire             over  117 William & Mary             31.5 to 24.5
 141 New Mexico                over  164 San Jose State             31.5 to 28.0
 178 Old Dominion              over  230 North Carolina - Charlot   35.0 to 31.5
  64 North Dakota State        over  103 Illinois State             31.5 to 24.5
 134 Northern Arizona          over  203 Northern Colorado          42.0 to 31.5
  44 Oklahoma State            over   55 Texas                      38.5 to 31.5
  75 Penn State                over   82 Minnesota                  31.5 to 24.5
  53 Pittsburgh                over   94 Marshall                   45.5 to 31.5
 112 Samford                   over  145 Wofford                    31.5 to 21.0
  65 South Dakota State        over   79 Western Illinois           35.0 to 28.0
  24 Southern California       over   41 Arizona State              38.5 to 31.5
 170 Tennessee State           over  146 Tennessee - Martin         35.0 to 28.0
  13 Texas Christian           over    8 Oklahoma                   35.0 to 31.5
 240 Texas Southern            over  243 Alabama A&M                28.0 to 21.0
 198 Texas State - San Marcos  over  231 Incarnate Word             35.0 to 28.0
  49 Florida                   over   91 Vanderbilt                 21.0 to 14.0
 172 Mercer                    over  210 Virginia Military          31.5 to 28.0
 142 Sacred Heart              over  235 Wagner                     35.0 to 17.5
 119 The Citadel               over  154 Western Carolina           35.0 to 28.0
  21 West Virginia             over   36 Kansas State               31.5 to 24.5
 114 Lehigh                    over  167 Yale                       35.0 to 28.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  58 Air Force                 over   46 Navy                       28.0 to 28.0
  48 Georgia                   over   19 Tennessee                  28.0 to 28.0
 181 Duquesne                  over  204 Jacksonville               28.0 to 28.0
 168 Maine                     over  150 Bryant                     21.0 to 21.0
 131 Tulane                    over  171 Massachusetts              28.0 to 28.0
 163 Southeast Missouri State  over  139 Eastern Illinois           28.0 to 28.0
  25 Oregon                    over   43 Washington State           38.5 to 38.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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