2016 Week 7 (5-08 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

 164 Brown                     over  246 Stetson                    42.0 to 17.5
 182 Dayton                    over  240 Morehead State             35.0 to 14.0
  35 Toledo                    over  183 Eastern Michigan           49.0 to 24.5
 111 Fordham                   over  191 Lafayette                  42.0 to 24.5
  63 Harvard                   over  181 Cornell                    42.0 to 17.5
  74 Sam Houston State         over  230 Incarnate Word             45.5 to 21.0
  52 Jacksonville State        over  202 Tennessee Tech             45.5 to 17.5
  28 James Madison             over  140 William & Mary             45.5 to 24.5
  12 Texas Christian           over  190 Kansas                     49.0 to 17.5
  69 Montana                   over  253 Mississippi Valley State   56.0 to  3.5
 179 North Carolina Central    over  244 Florida A&M                38.5 to 14.0
   1 Ohio State                over   84 Indiana                    56.0 to 14.0
   3 Michigan                  over  110 Rutgers                    42.0 to 17.5
 143 San Diego                 over  252 Davidson                   45.5 to  7.0
  24 South Florida             over  115 East Carolina              45.5 to 24.5
 141 Tennessee - Martin        over  251 Austin Peay                49.0 to 17.5
  81 Villanova                 over  213 Rhode Island               38.5 to 10.5
  15 Western Michigan          over  133 Northern Illinois          49.0 to 24.5

80-90% chance of victory:

  21 Memphis                   over   93 Temple                     38.5 to 21.0
 122 North Carolina A&T        over  232 Norfolk State              31.5 to 10.5
   9 Clemson                   over  100 Boston College             28.0 to 14.0
  25 Boise State               over  134 New Mexico                 42.0 to 24.5
  83 Tulsa                     over  176 Southern Methodist         42.0 to 28.0
   2 Alabama                   over   36 Arkansas                   35.0 to 21.0
 193 Hampton                   over  245 Delaware State             35.0 to 17.5
  61 Eastern Washington        over  211 Northern Colorado          56.0 to 31.5
  98 New Hampshire             over  220 Elon                       35.0 to 14.0
 187 Florida Atlantic          over  235 North Carolina - Charlot   38.5 to 24.5
 128 Holy Cross                over  204 Bucknell                   31.5 to 21.0
 180 Monmouth                  over  237 Howard                     31.5 to 21.0
  55 North Dakota State        over  210 Missouri State             38.5 to 14.0
   6 Houston                   over   60 Navy                       35.0 to 21.0
 109 Marshall                  over  209 North Texas                38.5 to 24.5
 108 Ohio                      over  207 Bowling Green              42.0 to 24.5
  40 Oklahoma State            over   89 Iowa State                 42.0 to 28.0
  44 California                over  123 Oregon State               45.5 to 35.0
 130 Pennsylvania              over  223 Central Connecticut        38.5 to 17.5
 195 Prairie View              over  234 Alabama State              38.5 to 28.0
 145 Saint Francis - Pennsylv  over  239 Robert Morris              28.0 to 14.0
  62 San Diego State           over  147 Nevada - Las Vegas         42.0 to 21.0
 126 Southern Utah             over  201 California - Davis         42.0 to 24.5
  72 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  167 Mercer                     35.0 to 17.5
  11 Texas A&M                 over   27 Tennessee                  35.0 to 24.5
  42 Utah                      over   68 Arizona                    31.5 to 21.0
 205 Virginia Military         over  241 East Tennessee State       28.0 to 17.5
 112 Western Illinois          over  155 Indiana State              38.5 to 28.0
  49 Air Force                 over  150 Wyoming                    38.5 to 24.5
  79 Dartmouth                 over  189 Yale                       35.0 to 17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  85 Central Florida           over  136 Tulane                     35.0 to 24.5
 101 Akron                     over  170 Miami - Ohio               38.5 to 24.5
 200 Alcorn State              over  243 Alabama A&M                38.5 to 24.5
  88 Central Michigan          over  137 Ball State                 35.0 to 24.5
 161 Georgia State             over  199 Texas State - San Marcos   35.0 to 28.0
 218 Jacksonville              over  236 Campbell                   31.5 to 21.0
  90 Lehigh                    over  117 Colgate                    42.0 to 31.5
 148 Montana State             over  169 Northern Arizona           38.5 to 31.5
 163 Nevada - Reno             over  184 Fresno State               31.5 to 21.0
  10 Oklahoma                  over   59 Texas                      42.0 to 28.0
 125 North Dakota              over  212 Sacramento State           31.5 to 21.0
 233 Morgan State              over  249 Savannah State             31.5 to 21.0
  73 Southern Mississippi      over  177 Texas - San Antonio        35.0 to 24.5
 224 Drake                     over  248 Valparaiso                 35.0 to 21.0

60-70% chance of victory:

  80 Georgia Southern          over  138 Arkansas State             35.0 to 28.0
  71 Louisiana Tech            over   77 Western Kentucky           38.5 to 31.5
 173 Lamar                     over  229 Abilene Christian          42.0 to 35.0
  87 Richmond                  over  120 Albany                     28.0 to 28.0
  45 Arizona State             over   34 California - Los Angeles   35.0 to 31.5
 185 Buffalo                   over  171 Kent State                 24.5 to 24.5
  91 Utah State                over  159 Colorado State             28.0 to 21.0
 127 Delaware                  over  153 Maine                      24.5 to 17.5
  75 Duke                      over  102 Army                       31.5 to 24.5
 154 Eastern Illinois          over  158 Tennessee State            28.0 to 28.0
 152 Eastern Kentucky          over  165 Southeast Missouri State   24.5 to 21.0
  14 Louisiana State           over   51 Florida                    21.0 to 17.5
 106 Samford                   over  175 Furman                     31.5 to 24.5
 214 Gardner - Webb            over  225 Presbyterian               21.0 to 14.0
 118 Princeton                 over  198 Georgetown                 31.5 to 24.5
 114 Illinois                  over  151 Purdue                     31.5 to 24.5
  67 Youngstown State          over  129 Illinois State             31.5 to 24.5
  32 Kansas State              over   31 Texas Tech                 45.5 to 42.0
  41 Michigan State            over   39 Brigham Young              28.0 to 21.0
  37 Iowa                      over   86 Minnesota                  31.5 to 24.5
  16 Auburn                    over   47 Mississippi State          28.0 to 24.5
 188 Stephen F. Austin         over  226 Nicholls State             38.5 to 35.0
  18 North Carolina            over   29 Virginia Tech              38.5 to 35.0
 194 Northeast Louisiana       over  192 Idaho                      35.0 to 28.0
 156 Old Dominion              over  166 Massachusetts              31.5 to 28.0
   5 Washington                over   38 Oregon                     42.0 to 31.5
  50 Pittsburgh                over   46 Georgia Tech               31.5 to 28.0
 174 San Jose State            over  168 Hawaii                     35.0 to 28.0
  56 Georgia                   over   99 South Carolina             24.5 to 21.0
 172 South Carolina State      over  206 Bethune - Cookman          28.0 to 21.0
  58 Northern Iowa             over  119 South Dakota               35.0 to 24.5
 142 McNeese State             over  196 Southeast Louisiana        24.5 to 21.0
  20 Southern California       over   22 Colorado                   35.0 to 28.0
  53 South Dakota State        over   96 Southern Illinois          38.5 to 35.0
  13 Stanford                  over   26 Washington State           31.5 to 24.5
 222 Texas - El Paso           over  217 Florida International      24.5 to 21.0
 121 Towson                    over  186 Stony Brook                24.5 to 17.5
  97 Wake Forest               over  113 Syracuse                   28.0 to 21.0
 135 Wofford                   over  178 Western Carolina           28.0 to 24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

 228 Butler                    over  227 Marist                     24.5 to 24.5
  95 Cincinnati                over  124 Connecticut                24.5 to 21.0
  94 Vanderbilt                over  104 Kentucky                   28.0 to 24.5
  19 Miami - Florida           over    8 Florida State              35.0 to 35.0
  48 North Carolina State      over   43 Notre Dame                 38.5 to 38.5
  76 Penn State                over   65 Maryland                   31.5 to 31.5
 219 Columbia                  over  231 Wagner                     21.0 to 17.5
 131 Portland State            over  157 Weber State                35.0 to 35.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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