ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
5 Louisville over 77 Duke 45.5 to 21.0
25 Memphis over 133 Tulane 42.0 to 21.0
236 Alabama State over 253 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 10.5
19 Baylor over 176 Kansas 49.0 to 14.0
18 Boise State over 146 Colorado State 45.5 to 14.0
157 Duquesne over 238 Robert Morris 31.5 to 10.5
9 Florida State over 86 Wake Forest 38.5 to 14.0
100 Fordham over 190 Yale 45.5 to 28.0
6 Houston over 80 Tulsa 49.0 to 24.5
43 Jacksonville State over 249 Austin Peay 59.5 to 7.0
15 Louisiana State over 96 Southern Mississippi 42.0 to 17.5
65 Montana over 225 Sacramento State 45.5 to 14.0
76 Louisiana Tech over 179 Massachusetts 42.0 to 21.0
196 North Carolina Central over 250 Savannah State 38.5 to 14.0
33 Iowa over 150 Purdue 35.0 to 17.5
67 Sam Houston State over 232 Abilene Christian 59.5 to 28.0
29 South Florida over 119 Connecticut 35.0 to 17.5
35 Toledo over 214 Bowling Green 52.5 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
28 Brigham Young over 69 Mississippi State 35.0 to 21.0
63 San Diego State over 182 Fresno State 38.5 to 21.0
21 Western Michigan over 90 Akron 45.5 to 31.5
197 Alcorn State over 239 Texas Southern 35.0 to 21.0
95 Army over 192 Lafayette 31.5 to 21.0
7 Clemson over 45 North Carolina State 35.0 to 21.0
101 Dartmouth over 137 Towson 31.5 to 17.5
228 Butler over 252 Davidson 35.0 to 21.0
64 Coastal Carolina over 205 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 21.0
70 Lehigh over 200 Georgetown 38.5 to 24.5
47 Georgia over 97 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 17.5
41 Georgia Tech over 94 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 21.0
215 Nicholls State over 251 Houston Baptist 38.5 to 21.0
175 South Carolina State over 243 Howard 35.0 to 21.0
183 Idaho over 211 New Mexico State 42.0 to 35.0
30 Nebraska over 68 Indiana 38.5 to 31.5
153 Southern over 241 Jackson State 42.0 to 28.0
170 Lamar over 212 Northwestern State 35.0 to 24.5
57 Air Force over 144 New Mexico 42.0 to 28.0
169 Northern Arizona over 226 Idaho State 42.0 to 24.5
118 Ohio over 174 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 28.0
12 Oklahoma over 24 Kansas State 38.5 to 28.0
39 Utah over 115 Oregon State 31.5 to 17.5
142 Pennsylvania over 223 Columbia 28.0 to 10.5
116 Princeton over 188 Brown 38.5 to 24.5
99 Samford over 185 Virginia Military 42.0 to 24.5
235 Stetson over 247 Valparaiso 35.0 to 24.5
172 Stony Brook over 219 Rhode Island 28.0 to 14.0
14 Virginia Tech over 127 Syracuse 42.0 to 24.5
3 Alabama over 27 Tennessee 38.5 to 24.5
66 Troy State over 148 Georgia State 35.0 to 17.5
1 Ohio State over 17 Wisconsin 31.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
81 Appalachian State over 158 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 24.5
163 Monmouth over 229 Presbyterian 24.5 to 17.5
108 North Carolina A&T over 204 Bethune - Cookman 31.5 to 21.0
123 Ball State over 203 Buffalo 31.5 to 24.5
130 San Diego over 220 Drake 31.5 to 21.0
194 Furman over 242 East Tennessee State 24.5 to 14.0
199 Hampton over 234 Morgan State 31.5 to 17.5
72 Harvard over 149 Holy Cross 38.5 to 28.0
109 Liberty over 202 Kennesaw State 45.5 to 31.5
136 Marshall over 177 Florida Atlantic 42.0 to 28.0
16 Miami - Florida over 42 North Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
121 Western Illinois over 208 Missouri State 35.0 to 21.0
221 Marist over 240 Morehead State 31.5 to 21.0
151 Tennessee - Martin over 216 Murray State 42.0 to 31.5
37 James Madison over 113 New Hampshire 38.5 to 31.5
54 Texas over 93 Iowa State 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
50 Navy over 106 East Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
23 Southern California over 60 Arizona 31.5 to 28.0
8 Mississippi over 36 Arkansas 35.0 to 31.5
248 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 246 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 31.5
102 Colgate over 195 Bucknell 28.0 to 21.0
209 California - Davis over 206 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 31.5
224 Central Connecticut over 227 Wagner 28.0 to 21.0
89 Central Florida over 84 Temple 31.5 to 28.0
20 Colorado over 40 Arizona State 38.5 to 31.5
245 Delaware State over 244 Florida A&M 24.5 to 24.5
38 Florida over 49 Missouri 24.5 to 14.0
155 Hawaii over 147 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 31.5
107 South Dakota over 161 Indiana State 42.0 to 38.5
178 Dayton over 213 Jacksonville 28.0 to 24.5
73 Maryland over 85 Minnesota 31.5 to 24.5
165 Mercer over 181 Western Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
145 Kent State over 184 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 21.0
59 Michigan State over 56 Northwestern 21.0 to 17.5
92 Middle Tennessee State over 75 Western Kentucky 38.5 to 38.5
217 Florida International over 230 North Carolina - Charlot 31.5 to 28.0
114 North Dakota over 124 Southern Utah 28.0 to 24.5
58 North Dakota State over 48 South Dakota State 31.5 to 28.0
193 Northeast Louisiana over 210 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 31.5
91 Central Michigan over 120 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 31.5
78 California Poly over 139 Portland State 38.5 to 31.5
134 Texas - San Antonio over 189 Rice 31.5 to 24.5
126 Illinois over 166 Rutgers 28.0 to 24.5
162 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 164 Bryant 28.0 to 28.0
173 Nevada - Reno over 198 San Jose State 28.0 to 24.5
186 Southeast Louisiana over 201 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 31.5
156 Tennessee State over 138 Eastern Kentucky 31.5 to 24.5
159 Eastern Illinois over 187 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 28.0
32 Texas Tech over 26 West Virginia 45.5 to 45.5
71 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 112 The Citadel 31.5 to 24.5
51 Pittsburgh over 82 Virginia 35.0 to 31.5
13 Washington State over 34 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 24.5
167 Weber State over 171 Montana State 31.5 to 28.0
128 William & Mary over 132 Delaware 24.5 to 21.0
61 Youngstown State over 74 Northern Iowa 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
110 South Alabama over 141 Arkansas State 31.5 to 31.5
143 Sacred Heart over 154 Cornell 28.0 to 24.5
152 Illinois State over 104 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
111 Albany over 140 Maine 24.5 to 24.5
160 McNeese State over 135 Central Arkansas 28.0 to 28.0
31 Stanford over 52 Notre Dame 28.0 to 28.0
87 Richmond over 83 Villanova 28.0 to 24.5
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