ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
45 Toledo over 148 Ohio 42.0 to 21.0
209 Bethune - Cookman over 249 Delaware State 38.5 to 17.5
163 Dayton over 229 Stetson 35.0 to 14.0
63 Middle Tennessee State over 215 Florida International 45.5 to 21.0
119 Grambling over 252 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 52.5 to 14.0
143 Southern Utah over 232 Idaho State 38.5 to 21.0
66 Jacksonville State over 161 Eastern Illinois 42.0 to 21.0
36 James Madison over 216 Rhode Island 52.5 to 17.5
170 Lamar over 248 Houston Baptist 42.0 to 14.0
91 Liberty over 194 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 14.0
58 Louisiana Tech over 183 Rice 45.5 to 24.5
2 Michigan over 79 Michigan State 42.0 to 17.5
106 North Carolina A&T over 233 Florida A&M 42.0 to 14.0
3 Ohio State over 35 Northwestern 38.5 to 10.5
14 Oklahoma over 184 Kansas 52.5 to 17.5
87 Coastal Carolina over 237 Presbyterian 35.0 to 14.0
73 California Poly over 230 Sacramento State 45.5 to 17.5
86 Sam Houston State over 241 Texas Southern 45.5 to 21.0
174 Southeast Missouri State over 244 Austin Peay 38.5 to 14.0
11 Texas A&M over 207 New Mexico State 59.5 to 14.0
120 The Citadel over 247 East Tennessee State 38.5 to 7.0
5 Louisville over 93 Virginia 45.5 to 24.5
85 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 197 Western Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
74 Youngstown State over 153 Indiana State 35.0 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
94 Akron over 222 Buffalo 38.5 to 24.5
17 Southern California over 46 California 45.5 to 35.0
83 Air Force over 192 Fresno State 38.5 to 24.5
111 Albany over 218 Elon 31.5 to 10.5
132 Arkansas State over 205 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 21.0
92 Central Michigan over 158 Kent State 31.5 to 21.0
76 Charleston Southern over 190 Bucknell 38.5 to 21.0
95 Colgate over 159 Holy Cross 38.5 to 28.0
55 Western Kentucky over 187 Florida Atlantic 42.0 to 28.0
43 Georgia Tech over 77 Duke 31.5 to 21.0
21 Houston over 71 Central Florida 42.0 to 24.5
39 Lehigh over 136 Fordham 49.0 to 31.5
102 San Diego over 223 Marist 31.5 to 17.5
182 McNeese State over 225 Abilene Christian 42.0 to 28.0
34 Memphis over 64 Tulsa 45.5 to 35.0
65 Missouri over 99 Kentucky 38.5 to 28.0
140 Tennessee State over 204 Murray State 38.5 to 28.0
90 New Hampshire over 151 Stony Brook 24.5 to 14.0
56 North Carolina State over 133 Boston College 28.0 to 14.0
109 North Dakota over 150 Weber State 35.0 to 24.5
15 Washington State over 98 Oregon State 38.5 to 24.5
135 Pennsylvania over 201 Brown 35.0 to 21.0
147 Portland State over 193 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 28.0
30 Penn State over 144 Purdue 38.5 to 24.5
104 Southern Mississippi over 166 Marshall 42.0 to 35.0
28 Texas Christian over 51 Texas Tech 52.5 to 42.0
152 Old Dominion over 228 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 24.5
126 William & Mary over 156 Maine 28.0 to 17.5
12 Wisconsin over 33 Nebraska 28.0 to 17.5
25 Boise State over 118 Wyoming 38.5 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
217 Jacksonville over 251 Davidson 38.5 to 24.5
165 Duquesne over 185 Bryant 35.0 to 24.5
50 South Dakota State over 155 Illinois State 31.5 to 24.5
26 Kansas State over 88 Iowa State 31.5 to 21.0
128 Southern Illinois over 196 Missouri State 38.5 to 28.0
115 South Alabama over 149 Georgia State 28.0 to 21.0
52 Temple over 116 Cincinnati 31.5 to 24.5
4 Washington over 42 Utah 35.0 to 21.0
141 Wofford over 179 Mercer 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
113 Georgia Southern over 82 Appalachian State 24.5 to 21.0
18 Virginia Tech over 40 Pittsburgh 35.0 to 31.5
38 South Florida over 47 Navy 38.5 to 31.5
69 San Diego State over 105 Utah State 24.5 to 21.0
154 Southern over 200 Alcorn State 38.5 to 35.0
44 Stanford over 81 Arizona 24.5 to 21.0
214 Columbia over 206 Yale 24.5 to 21.0
114 Princeton over 162 Cornell 31.5 to 28.0
224 Drake over 240 Campbell 28.0 to 21.0
124 East Carolina over 125 Connecticut 28.0 to 21.0
137 Eastern Michigan over 173 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 24.5
48 Eastern Washington over 62 Montana 45.5 to 42.0
177 South Carolina State over 220 Hampton 21.0 to 17.5
101 New Mexico over 138 Hawaii 38.5 to 38.5
67 Minnesota over 103 Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
208 Stephen F. Austin over 234 Incarnate Word 42.0 to 38.5
202 Prairie View over 239 Jackson State 31.5 to 28.0
199 Georgetown over 203 Lafayette 24.5 to 24.5
172 Massachusetts over 213 Wagner 31.5 to 28.0
6 Auburn over 20 Mississippi 31.5 to 31.5
70 Mississippi State over 96 Samford 35.0 to 31.5
175 Monmouth over 180 Kennesaw State 42.0 to 35.0
231 Alabama State over 243 Alabama A&M 31.5 to 24.5
24 Florida over 68 Georgia 24.5 to 21.0
238 Norfolk State over 236 Morgan State 24.5 to 21.0
54 Northern Iowa over 61 North Dakota State 21.0 to 17.5
212 Northwestern State over 221 Nicholls State 35.0 to 28.0
22 Miami - Florida over 53 Notre Dame 28.0 to 28.0
10 West Virginia over 29 Oklahoma State 35.0 to 31.5
60 Oregon over 49 Arizona State 45.5 to 42.0
139 Sacred Heart over 145 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 21.0
160 Nevada - Las Vegas over 198 San Jose State 31.5 to 28.0
245 Howard over 250 Savannah State 28.0 to 28.0
31 Tennessee over 100 South Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
117 South Dakota over 123 Western Illinois 38.5 to 35.0
110 Central Arkansas over 168 Southeast Louisiana 28.0 to 24.5
19 Baylor over 37 Texas 35.0 to 31.5
142 Texas - San Antonio over 134 North Texas 28.0 to 24.5
235 Butler over 246 Valparaiso 31.5 to 24.5
80 Wake Forest over 107 Army 21.0 to 14.0
50-60% chance of victory:
127 Dartmouth over 108 Harvard 21.0 to 21.0
169 Delaware over 146 Towson 24.5 to 24.5
7 Clemson over 13 Florida State 31.5 to 31.5
75 Indiana over 78 Maryland 31.5 to 31.5
226 Robert Morris over 210 Central Connecticut 21.0 to 21.0
157 Eastern Kentucky over 167 Tennessee - Martin 31.5 to 31.5
112 Southern Methodist over 130 Tulane 28.0 to 28.0
171 Furman over 195 Virginia Military 28.0 to 28.0
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