ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
59 Toledo over 151 Ball State 42.0 to 21.0
32 Boise State over 153 Nevada - Las Vegas 49.0 to 24.5
38 Eastern Washington over 155 Portland State 52.5 to 35.0
2 Alabama over 102 Tennessee - Chattanooga 49.0 to 7.0
75 Appalachian State over 194 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 17.5
207 Prairie View over 253 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 45.5 to 21.0
8 Auburn over 237 Alabama A&M 56.0 to 7.0
29 Brigham Young over 156 Massachusetts 45.5 to 14.0
93 San Diego over 234 Campbell 35.0 to 10.5
96 Colgate over 215 Georgetown 31.5 to 10.5
113 Samford over 249 East Tennessee State 38.5 to 14.0
64 Georgia over 169 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 10.5
142 Harvard over 217 Yale 38.5 to 17.5
17 James Madison over 238 Elon 56.0 to 7.0
33 Texas over 179 Kansas 38.5 to 17.5
77 Kentucky over 232 Austin Peay 52.5 to 24.5
55 Lehigh over 192 Lafayette 45.5 to 24.5
3 Michigan over 80 Indiana 49.0 to 14.0
1 Ohio State over 63 Michigan State 42.0 to 17.5
99 Youngstown State over 202 Missouri State 31.5 to 14.0
84 Montana over 182 Montana State 42.0 to 21.0
9 Wisconsin over 154 Purdue 42.0 to 14.0
14 Penn State over 188 Rutgers 45.5 to 17.5
91 South Carolina over 212 Western Carolina 38.5 to 17.5
191 South Carolina State over 242 Savannah State 31.5 to 14.0
158 Southern over 251 Mississippi Valley State 56.0 to 17.5
15 Florida State over 121 Syracuse 45.5 to 24.5
19 Texas A&M over 129 Texas - San Antonio 45.5 to 17.5
85 Grambling over 240 Texas Southern 42.0 to 14.0
6 Clemson over 90 Wake Forest 31.5 to 10.5
5 Washington over 74 Arizona State 49.0 to 21.0
16 Western Michigan over 216 Buffalo 52.5 to 10.5
112 Wofford over 205 Virginia Military 35.0 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
4 Louisville over 41 Houston 42.0 to 31.5
60 Troy State over 108 Arkansas State 35.0 to 24.5
48 Memphis over 146 Cincinnati 31.5 to 21.0
198 Alcorn State over 246 Jackson State 35.0 to 17.5
120 Army over 247 Morgan State 35.0 to 14.0
104 California Poly over 164 Northern Colorado 42.0 to 24.5
78 Charleston Southern over 139 Kennesaw State 49.0 to 38.5
229 Morehead State over 252 Davidson 38.5 to 28.0
111 Old Dominion over 208 Florida Atlantic 38.5 to 24.5
51 Georgia Tech over 94 Virginia 35.0 to 24.5
143 Weber State over 224 Idaho State 38.5 to 24.5
45 Iowa over 127 Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
68 Jacksonville State over 140 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 17.5
12 Louisiana State over 44 Florida 24.5 to 10.5
167 McNeese State over 222 Lamar 31.5 to 21.0
195 Bethune - Cookman over 228 Florida A&M 31.5 to 21.0
50 Nebraska over 98 Maryland 35.0 to 21.0
25 North Carolina over 100 The Citadel 38.5 to 24.5
107 North Carolina A&T over 201 North Carolina Central 31.5 to 21.0
110 Middle Tennessee State over 200 North Carolina - Charlot 42.0 to 31.5
62 Princeton over 163 Dartmouth 28.0 to 14.0
148 Towson over 221 Rhode Island 31.5 to 21.0
76 Air Force over 187 San Jose State 35.0 to 21.0
47 North Dakota State over 118 South Dakota 31.5 to 21.0
30 Tennessee over 88 Missouri 42.0 to 28.0
46 Temple over 134 Tulane 31.5 to 17.5
22 Utah over 70 Oregon 45.5 to 31.5
70-80% chance of victory:
95 Coastal Carolina over 117 Liberty 35.0 to 28.0
106 Albany over 166 Stony Brook 24.5 to 14.0
135 Boston College over 172 Connecticut 21.0 to 10.5
26 Stanford over 69 California 38.5 to 28.0
196 California - Davis over 218 Sacramento State 35.0 to 28.0
10 Southern California over 40 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 21.0
150 Duquesne over 204 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 24.5
152 Pennsylvania over 185 Cornell 31.5 to 24.5
57 Navy over 122 East Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
220 Hampton over 231 Norfolk State 24.5 to 14.0
243 Howard over 250 Delaware State 35.0 to 28.0
209 New Mexico State over 230 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 31.5
79 Oregon State over 114 Arizona 35.0 to 28.0
35 Pittsburgh over 61 Duke 38.5 to 28.0
67 Sam Houston State over 86 Central Arkansas 42.0 to 31.5
43 South Florida over 101 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 35.0
210 Stephen F. Austin over 233 Northwestern State 35.0 to 28.0
132 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 193 Wagner 28.0 to 21.0
31 San Diego State over 81 Wyoming 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
125 Kent State over 199 Bowling Green 31.5 to 24.5
116 Central Michigan over 119 Ohio 28.0 to 24.5
115 Northern Illinois over 123 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 31.5
52 Baylor over 34 Kansas State 31.5 to 31.5
203 Brown over 213 Columbia 24.5 to 17.5
103 Fordham over 161 Bucknell 31.5 to 28.0
53 Central Florida over 42 Tulsa 38.5 to 38.5
89 Colorado State over 92 New Mexico 35.0 to 31.5
87 Villanova over 145 Delaware 21.0 to 14.0
175 Eastern Kentucky over 168 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
162 Marshall over 206 Florida International 31.5 to 24.5
177 Gardner - Webb over 190 Monmouth 24.5 to 21.0
124 Georgia Southern over 165 Georgia State 24.5 to 21.0
235 Incarnate Word over 241 Houston Baptist 31.5 to 28.0
49 Texas Tech over 82 Iowa State 42.0 to 38.5
225 Jacksonville over 223 Marist 35.0 to 31.5
83 New Hampshire over 133 Maine 28.0 to 24.5
136 Furman over 184 Mercer 31.5 to 28.0
24 Northwestern over 58 Minnesota 28.0 to 24.5
138 Utah State over 176 Nevada - Reno 24.5 to 21.0
21 Miami - Florida over 65 North Carolina State 24.5 to 21.0
109 Northern Arizona over 141 Southern Utah 35.0 to 28.0
56 Northern Iowa over 71 South Dakota State 31.5 to 24.5
214 Rice over 211 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 28.0
189 Sacred Heart over 171 Bryant 28.0 to 24.5
178 Southeast Missouri State over 183 Tennessee State 28.0 to 24.5
130 Southern Illinois over 128 Western Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
219 Drake over 227 Stetson 28.0 to 24.5
159 Tennessee Tech over 181 Murray State 35.0 to 28.0
20 Texas Christian over 23 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 31.5
27 Mississippi over 73 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 24.5
72 Richmond over 137 William & Mary 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
180 Southeast Louisiana over 174 Nicholls State 28.0 to 28.0
7 Washington State over 13 Colorado 31.5 to 31.5
197 Fresno State over 173 Hawaii 28.0 to 28.0
66 Mississippi State over 54 Arkansas 31.5 to 31.5
160 North Texas over 149 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 28.0
36 Notre Dame over 28 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 28.0
11 Oklahoma over 18 West Virginia 35.0 to 35.0
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