ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
31 Tulsa over 157 Cincinnati 42.0 to 21.0
25 Brigham Young over 126 Utah State 38.5 to 14.0
7 Clemson over 101 South Carolina 38.5 to 10.5
78 Coastal Carolina over 225 Hampton 42.0 to 14.0
65 Indiana over 147 Purdue 45.5 to 28.0
22 Kansas State over 158 Kansas 42.0 to 10.5
11 Louisville over 85 Kentucky 49.0 to 24.5
37 Western Kentucky over 184 Marshall 45.5 to 28.0
18 Miami - Florida over 82 Duke 35.0 to 17.5
83 Appalachian State over 191 New Mexico State 38.5 to 21.0
32 Northwestern over 146 Illinois 35.0 to 14.0
110 Old Dominion over 201 Florida International 38.5 to 21.0
23 Pittsburgh over 131 Syracuse 49.0 to 28.0
6 Southern California over 38 Notre Dame 35.0 to 21.0
24 Stanford over 208 Rice 42.0 to 3.5
35 Temple over 136 East Carolina 42.0 to 21.0
91 Troy State over 243 Texas State - San Marcos 45.5 to 17.5
28 Virginia Tech over 92 Virginia 38.5 to 17.5
12 Wisconsin over 51 Minnesota 31.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
115 Ohio over 169 Akron 35.0 to 24.5
178 Bowling Green over 216 Buffalo 35.0 to 24.5
21 North Carolina over 68 North Carolina State 31.5 to 21.0
47 Louisiana Tech over 152 Southern Mississippi 45.5 to 31.5
19 Western Michigan over 57 Toledo 38.5 to 28.0
2 Alabama over 13 Auburn 31.5 to 14.0
14 Florida State over 41 Florida 28.0 to 17.5
80 Arkansas State over 168 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 21.0
99 Maryland over 200 Rutgers 35.0 to 17.5
117 Middle Tennessee State over 209 Florida Atlantic 45.5 to 28.0
87 Grambling over 144 Southern 42.0 to 28.0
1 Ohio State over 3 Michigan 31.5 to 21.0
9 Penn State over 56 Michigan State 38.5 to 21.0
33 San Diego State over 77 Colorado State 35.0 to 21.0
94 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 145 Weber State 31.5 to 21.0
114 Texas - San Antonio over 194 North Carolina - Charlot 38.5 to 24.5
75 Villanova over 133 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 28.0 to 10.5
74 Youngstown State over 132 Samford 31.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
73 Arizona State over 127 Arizona 38.5 to 31.5
64 Baylor over 81 Texas Tech 49.0 to 42.0
10 Colorado over 34 Utah 31.5 to 21.0
40 Mississippi over 70 Mississippi State 42.0 to 31.5
86 Richmond over 119 North Carolina A&T 38.5 to 28.0
45 Navy over 98 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 28.0
153 North Texas over 218 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
116 Central Michigan over 139 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 31.5
137 Miami - Ohio over 143 Ball State 28.0 to 24.5
15 Louisiana State over 26 Texas A&M 21.0 to 21.0
43 Boise State over 84 Air Force 35.0 to 31.5
30 Iowa over 49 Nebraska 24.5 to 17.5
100 Northern Illinois over 170 Kent State 31.5 to 24.5
20 Houston over 46 Memphis 31.5 to 28.0
59 Arkansas over 96 Missouri 38.5 to 35.0
4 Washington over 8 Washington State 35.0 to 31.5
48 California - Los Angeles over 79 California 42.0 to 38.5
88 San Diego over 104 California Poly 35.0 to 28.0
66 Georgia over 54 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 24.5
186 Hawaii over 172 Massachusetts 31.5 to 28.0
123 South Alabama over 149 Idaho 28.0 to 28.0
27 West Virginia over 50 Iowa State 28.0 to 24.5
142 Nevada - Las Vegas over 176 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 31.5
42 Lehigh over 90 New Hampshire 35.0 to 31.5
188 South Carolina State over 189 Bethune - Cookman 24.5 to 21.0
44 South Florida over 60 Central Florida 42.0 to 31.5
29 Tennessee over 61 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 24.5
95 Wake Forest over 112 Boston College 17.5 to 14.0
72 Charleston Southern over 107 Wofford 28.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
53 Texas over 36 Texas Christian 28.0 to 28.0
108 Central Arkansas over 103 Illinois State 24.5 to 24.5
195 Connecticut over 154 Tulane 17.5 to 17.5
175 San Jose State over 207 Fresno State 24.5 to 24.5
76 Wyoming over 102 New Mexico 42.0 to 42.0
71 Oregon State over 62 Oregon 38.5 to 38.5
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