2016 Bowl Games Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  90 Grambling                 over  180 North Carolina Central     35.0 to 21.0
  43 Tulsa                     over  119 Central Michigan           42.0 to 31.5
  33 Brigham Young             over   89 Wyoming                    38.5 to 24.5
  69 Colorado State            over  118 Idaho                      38.5 to 28.0
  49 Mississippi State         over  135 Miami - Ohio               38.5 to 21.0
  35 Temple                    over  103 Wake Forest                24.5 to 14.0
  12 Washington State          over   46 Minnesota                  35.0 to 24.5
  32 Utah                      over   78 Indiana                    35.0 to 24.5
  73 Air Force                 over  143 South Alabama              35.0 to 24.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  30 Eastern Washington        over   51 Youngstown State           31.5 to 24.5
 121 Army                      over  183 North Texas                28.0 to 21.0
  38 South Florida             over  112 South Carolina             38.5 to 28.0
   4 Michigan                  over   10 Florida State              35.0 to 24.5
   2 Ohio State                over    5 Clemson                    35.0 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

   7 James Madison             over   24 North Dakota State         31.5 to 28.0
  70 Central Florida           over   96 Arkansas State             28.0 to 24.5
  52 Toledo                    over   80 Appalachian State          31.5 to 28.0
  87 New Mexico                over  120 Texas - San Antonio        35.0 to 31.5
  23 Houston                   over   50 San Diego State            31.5 to 24.5
 130 Southern Mississippi      over  142 Louisiana - Lafayette      31.5 to 28.0
  26 Western Kentucky          over   40 Memphis                    38.5 to 38.5
  42 Navy                      over   62 Louisiana Tech             42.0 to 38.5
 114 Old Dominion              over  138 Eastern Michigan           35.0 to 31.5
  94 Troy State                over  116 Ohio                       24.5 to 24.5
  93 Middle Tennessee State    over  177 Hawaii                     42.0 to 35.0
  41 Boise State               over   66 Baylor                     35.0 to 31.5
  27 Pittsburgh                over   39 Northwestern               35.0 to 35.0
  19 Virginia Tech             over   58 Arkansas                   35.0 to 28.0
  36 Texas Christian           over   59 Georgia                    28.0 to 21.0
  34 Tennessee                 over   57 Nebraska                   35.0 to 31.5
   1 Alabama                   over    3 Washington                 28.0 to 21.0
  45 Georgia Tech              over   61 Kentucky                   35.0 to 31.5
  14 Louisiana State           over   15 Louisville                 31.5 to 28.0
   6 Oklahoma                  over   11 Auburn                     35.0 to 31.5
  22 Iowa                      over   44 Florida                    21.0 to 17.5
   8 Southern California       over    9 Penn State                 31.5 to 28.0
  13 Wisconsin                 over   25 Western Michigan           31.5 to 24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

 102 Boston College            over  101 Maryland                   21.0 to 21.0
  53 Vanderbilt                over   60 North Carolina State       21.0 to 21.0
  17 Miami - Florida           over   20 West Virginia              28.0 to 28.0
  21 Kansas State              over   28 Texas A&M                  28.0 to 28.0
  16 Colorado                  over   18 Oklahoma State             31.5 to 31.5
  31 Stanford                  over   29 North Carolina             24.5 to 24.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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