9 Jan 2018: Current model rankings (NCAA Div IA & IAA) for the 2017 season

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  4  12  8.8  7.4 Alabama                  128 46   0  7.3  5.3 Mercer                  
  2  5  13  9.2  6.9 Georgia                  129 55   0  7.5  5.1 Buffalo                 
  3 10  12 10.2  5.8 Oklahoma                 130 36   0  7.3  5.3 Wofford                 
  4 10  11  9.4  6.4 Penn State               131 43   0  7.1  5.5 Montana State           
  5  6  11  8.6  7.1 Clemson                  132 66   0  7.0  5.6 Rutgers                 
  6  7  11  9.2  6.5 Ohio State               133 41   0  7.6  5.0 Southern Mississippi    
  7  7  10  8.6  6.9 Wisconsin                134 35   0  7.9  4.6 Monmouth                
  8  7  10  8.6  6.9 Auburn                   135 46   0  7.2  5.4 Tulane                  
  9 11  10  9.9  5.5 Oklahoma State           136 62   0  8.4  4.1 Northeast Louisiana     
 10  8   9  8.3  6.9 North Dakota State       137 22   0  7.1  5.4 Elon                    
 11  8   9  8.6  6.6 Washington               138 34   0  7.4  5.1 Middle Tennessee State  
 12 41   9  9.6  5.6 Central Florida          139 46   0  6.7  5.8 Brigham Young           
 13 13   8  8.4  6.6 Texas Christian          140 43   0  6.8  5.6 Columbia                
 14 10   8  8.6  6.3 Stanford                 141 74   0  7.4  5.1 Duquesne                
 15 21   8  8.7  6.1 Notre Dame               142 71   0  7.3  5.1 Grambling               
 16 12   8  9.0  5.8 South Dakota State       143 28   0  6.6  5.9 Texas - San Antonio     
 17 23   7  7.8  6.9 Virginia Tech            144 49   0  7.8  4.6 Nevada - Las Vegas      
 18 28   8  8.5  6.3 Iowa                     145 70   0  6.8  5.6 Harvard                 
 19 10   8  8.1  6.7 Louisiana State          146 51   0  7.7  4.7 Florida International   
 20 11   8  9.1  5.7 Louisville               147 49   0  7.7  4.6 Western Carolina        
 21 47   8  9.6  5.2 Memphis                  148 36   0  7.3  5.0 Central Connecticut     
 22 15   7  8.2  6.4 James Madison            149 62   0  7.0  5.3 Illinois                
 23 31   7  8.4  6.2 Miami - Florida          150 42   0  6.4  6.0 Albany                  
 24 41   7  7.9  6.6 Iowa State               151 81   0  7.5  4.8 Southeast Louisiana     
 25 37   7  8.2  6.3 Mississippi State        152 55   0  7.5  4.8 Austin Peay             
 26 35   7  8.6  5.9 North Carolina State     153 43   0  7.1  5.1 Tennessee State         
 27 56   7  9.1  5.4 Wake Forest              154 48  -1  7.4  4.7 New Mexico State        
 28 24   6  7.9  6.6 Michigan State           155 52  -1  7.5  4.7 Liberty                 
 29 25   6  7.8  6.6 Texas                    156 89  -1  6.7  5.5 McNeese State           
 30 34   6  8.2  6.3 Northwestern             157 35  -1  7.3  4.8 Georgia Southern        
 31 17   6  8.2  6.2 Florida State            158 46  -1  7.0  5.2 Miami - Ohio            
 32 46   6  8.1  6.3 Boston College           159 31  -1  6.3  6.0 Tennessee - Martin      
 33 44   6  9.2  5.2 Missouri                 160 62  -1  7.3  4.8 Alcorn State            
 34 20   6  8.2  6.1 Kansas State             161 37  -1  6.8  5.4 Towson                  
 35 40   6  8.0  6.3 Duke                     162 48  -1  7.4  4.6 Oregon State            
 36 19   6  7.9  6.4 Michigan                 163 50  -1  7.3  4.7 Coastal Carolina        
 37 17   6  8.7  5.6 Oregon                   164 31  -1  7.5  4.5 Missouri State          
 38 74   6  8.7  5.6 Florida Atlantic         165 17  -1  7.2  4.9 Rhode Island            
 39 29   6  8.5  5.7 Boise State              166 26  -1  6.8  5.3 Southeast Missouri State
 40 14   6  8.0  6.2 Utah                     167 43  -1  8.4  3.5 Lehigh                  
 41 17   6  8.2  6.1 Southern California      168 46  -1  8.0  4.0 East Carolina           
 42 46   6  8.4  5.8 Georgia Tech             169 55  -1  6.5  5.5 William & Mary          
 43 69   5  7.8  6.4 Purdue                   170 32  -2  7.0  4.9 North Dakota            
 44 31   5  9.0  5.1 Texas A&M                171 38  -2  6.9  5.1 Cincinnati              
 45 45   5  9.4  4.7 Arizona                  172 27  -2  7.0  4.9 Alabama - Birmingham    
 46 33   5  7.9  6.2 South Carolina           173 25  -2  7.3  4.6 Western Kentucky        
 47 36   5  8.1  6.0 Navy                     174 38  -2  7.6  4.2 Bryant                  
 48 33   5  8.6  5.4 South Florida            175 51  -2  7.0  4.9 Connecticut             
 49 28   5  7.8  6.2 Northern Iowa            176 52  -2  7.0  4.9 Holy Cross              
 50 39   5  8.7  5.3 Texas Tech               177 38  -2  7.7  4.2 Bowling Green           
 51 22   5  8.2  5.8 Western Illinois         178 37  -2  6.7  5.2 Idaho                   
 52 63   5  8.3  5.6 Indiana                  179 28  -2  6.7  5.2 Georgia State           
 53 42   5  8.3  5.6 Washington State         180 27  -2  7.0  4.9 Eastern Kentucky        
 54 51   5  8.4  5.4 West Virginia            181 54  -2  6.6  5.2 Charleston Southern     
 55 39   4  7.6  6.2 Weber State              182 55  -2  6.9  4.9 Nicholls State          
 56 29   4  8.6  5.2 South Dakota             183 61  -2  6.7  5.1 Bethune - Cookman       
 57 30   4  7.5  6.2 Yale                     184 47  -2  7.2  4.6 Kansas                  
 58 68   4  8.1  5.6 Army                     185 27  -2  7.3  4.4 Northern Colorado       
 59 18   4  7.8  5.9 Appalachian State        186 27  -2  6.7  5.1 Akron                   
 60 61   4  8.0  5.7 Pittsburgh               187 56  -2  6.5  5.3 Tennessee - Chattanooga 
 61 35   4  7.7  6.1 Youngstown State         188 21  -2  6.9  4.9 New Mexico              
 62 37   4  8.5  5.2 Arizona State            189 48  -2  6.7  5.0 The Citadel             
 63 48   4  8.0  5.7 Troy State               190 61  -2  7.3  4.4 Southern                
 64 66   4  7.6  6.1 Fresno State             191 31  -2  7.1  4.6 Hawaii                  
 65 44   4  8.7  5.0 Mississippi              192 63  -3  7.1  4.6 Sacred Heart            
 66 49   4  8.4  5.3 Ohio                     193 65  -2  5.9  5.8 Saint Francis - Pennsylv
 67 41   4  8.0  5.7 California               194 45  -3  6.4  5.3 North Carolina Central  
 68 45   3  8.5  5.1 California - Los Angeles 195 25  -3  7.3  4.2 Louisiana - Lafayette   
 69 28   3  7.8  5.8 San Diego State          196 37  -3  6.4  5.2 Cornell                 
 70 29   3  8.2  5.4 Southern Utah            197 20  -3  7.5  4.0 Idaho State             
 71 31   3  8.1  5.4 Richmond                 198 15  -3  6.3  5.3 South Alabama           
 72 50   3  7.7  5.8 Temple                   199 25  -3  6.9  4.7 Old Dominion            
 73 37   3  7.6  5.9 Jacksonville State       200 27  -3  6.7  4.9 Eastern Illinois        
 74 32   3  7.6  5.8 Houston                  201 61  -3  7.0  4.5 Prairie View            
 75 58   3  7.5  5.9 Florida                  202 92  -3  6.5  5.0 Drake                   
 76 63   3  8.0  5.5 North Carolina           203 52  -3  6.6  4.8 California Poly         
 77 30   3  7.4  6.1 Illinois State           204 39  -4  7.1  4.3 Howard                  
 78 54   3  7.6  5.8 San Diego                205 66  -3  7.0  4.4 Fordham                 
 79 52   2  7.3  6.0 Kennesaw State           206 27  -3  6.4  5.0 Wagner                  
 80 28   2  7.6  5.7 Stony Brook              207 **  -3  6.2  5.3 Dayton                  
 81 45   3  8.7  4.7 Princeton                208 47  -4  6.8  4.4 Northwestern State      
 82 48   2  7.7  5.6 Colorado                 209 92  -4  6.5  4.7 Butler                  
 83 33   2  8.2  5.1 Toledo                   210 49  -4  5.9  5.3 South Carolina State    
 84 58   2  8.2  5.1 Syracuse                 211 31  -5  6.6  4.5 Florida A&M             
 85 57   2  7.8  5.5 Kentucky                 212 95  -5  6.7  4.3 Campbell                
 86 39   2  6.9  6.3 Villanova                213 26  -5  6.7  4.3 Rice                    
 87 36   2  8.3  4.9 Eastern Washington       214 26  -5  6.8  4.3 Texas State - San Marcos
 88 53   2  8.3  4.9 Arkansas                 215 36  -5  6.1  5.0 Hampton                 
 89 35   2  7.8  5.4 Louisiana Tech           216 16  -5  6.6  4.4 Murray State            
 90 41   2  8.2  5.0 Colorado State           217 14  -5  6.4  4.6 Tennessee Tech          
 91 38   2  8.0  5.2 Furman                   218 14  -5  6.4  4.6 Norfolk State           
 92 52   2  6.9  6.2 Wyoming                  219 83  -5  6.7  4.2 Valparaiso              
 93 55   2  7.9  5.3 Baylor                   220 23  -5  6.9  4.0 San Jose State          
 94 58   2  8.3  4.8 Nebraska                 221 34  -5  6.0  4.9 Gardner - Webb          
 95 40   1  7.2  5.9 Minnesota                222 49  -5  5.7  5.2 Bucknell                
 96 52   1  7.6  5.4 Northern Illinois        223 14  -5  6.2  4.7 East Tennessee State    
 97 41   1  7.7  5.3 Utah State               224 66  -6  6.3  4.5 Abilene Christian       
 98 61   1  8.2  4.8 Massachusetts            225 26  -5  6.2  4.7 Presbyterian            
 99 52   1  8.8  4.2 Sam Houston State        226 52  -5  5.6  5.4 Alabama State           
100 38   1  8.1  4.9 Arkansas State           227 16  -6  6.1  4.8 Kent State              
101 72   1  7.4  5.6 Central Arkansas         228 22  -6  6.7  4.1 Savannah State          
102 19   1  7.5  5.5 Maine                    229 33  -6  7.2  3.5 Portland State          
103 32   1  7.1  5.9 Delaware                 230 44  -6  5.9  5.0 Brown                   
104 48   1  8.3  4.7 Sacramento State         231 17  -6  6.2  4.5 North Carolina - Charlot
105 45   1  7.9  5.0 Montana                  232 57  -6  6.3  4.5 Stephen F. Austin       
106 49   1  7.6  5.3 Vanderbilt               233 33  -6  6.6  4.1 Indiana State           
107 26   1  8.1  4.8 Western Michigan         234 17  -6  6.1  4.6 Texas - El Paso         
108 38   1  7.5  5.4 Marshall                 235 14  -6  6.7  3.9 Ball State              
109 44   1  7.0  5.9 New Hampshire            236 37  -7  5.6  5.0 Lafayette               
110 42   1  7.4  5.6 Samford                  237 15  -7  6.6  3.8 Morgan State            
111 55   1  7.4  5.5 Tennessee                238 27  -7  6.1  4.3 Alabama A&M             
112 55   1  7.0  5.9 Colgate                  239 50  -7  6.2  4.1 Marist                  
113 52   1  7.9  4.9 Central Michigan         240 37  -7  5.4  5.0 Georgetown              
114 55   1  7.1  5.7 North Carolina A&T       241 17  -8  5.5  4.8 Robert Morris           
115 60   1  7.9  4.9 Maryland                 242 40  -7  5.2  5.1 Jackson State           
116 34   1  7.9  4.9 Air Force                243 65  -8  6.4  3.7 Jacksonville            
117 47   1  7.5  5.3 Virginia                 244 18  -8  5.8  4.4 Texas Southern          
118 66   1  8.5  4.2 North Texas              245 10  -8  6.2  3.9 Delaware State          
119 38   0  7.5  5.3 Southern Illinois        246 13  -8  6.4  3.7 Arkansas - Pine Bluff   
120 51   0  8.4  4.3 Southern Methodist       247 40  -9  6.6  3.2 Incarnate Word          
121 30   0  8.0  4.8 California - Davis       248 46  -9  6.0  3.9 Lamar                   
122 32   0  7.7  5.1 Northern Arizona         249 49  -9  5.5  4.4 Stetson                 
123 59   0  7.5  5.3 Eastern Michigan         250 12  -9  5.4  4.4 Virginia Military       
124 36   0  7.5  5.2 Pennsylvania             251 37 -10  6.4  3.1 Morehead State          
125 63   0  7.2  5.5 Dartmouth                252  7 -10  6.2  3.3 Mississippi Valley State
126 40   0  7.9  4.8 Tulsa                    253 26 -11  5.7  3.6 Davidson                
127 45   0  7.8  4.8 Nevada - Reno            254  7 -11  5.3  3.9 Houston Baptist         

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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