Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 3 6.79 12.0-1.0 5.2-7.8 IA SEC Alabama 2 1 7.74 13.0-1.0 5.3-8.7 IA SEC Georgia 3 2 6.73 12.0-2.0 5.3-8.7 IA ACC Clemson 4 3 6.50 13.0-1.0 6.5-7.5 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 5 2 6.50 12.0-2.0 5.5-8.5 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 6 4 6.04 12.0-2.0 6.0-8.0 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 7 5 5.99 13.0-0.0 7.0-6.0 IA Amer_Athl Central Florida 8 6 5.77 11.0-3.0 5.2-8.8 IA PAC_12 Southern California 9 3 5.39 11.0-3.0 5.6-8.4 IA Big_12 Texas Christian 10 3 5.17 11.0-2.0 5.8-7.2 IA Big_Ten Penn State 11 4 5.06 10.0-3.0 4.9-8.1 IA Indep Notre Dame 12 6 5.05 10.0-4.0 4.9-9.1 IA SEC Auburn 13 4 4.89 10.0-3.0 5.1-7.9 IA ACC Miami - Florida 14 3 4.74 10.0-3.0 5.3-7.7 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 15 4 4.74 10.0-3.0 5.3-7.7 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 16 4 4.24 10.0-3.0 5.8-7.2 IA PAC_12 Washington 17 10 3.95 9.0-4.0 5.1-7.9 IA SEC Mississippi State 18 8 3.77 9.0-4.0 5.2-7.8 IA ACC North Carolina State 19 9 3.71 10.0-3.0 6.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 20 10 3.69 11.0-3.0 7.3-6.7 IA MWC Boise State 21 7 3.57 9.0-4.0 5.4-7.6 IA SEC Louisiana State 22 7 3.56 9.0-4.0 5.4-7.6 IA PAC_12 Washington State 23 6 3.49 9.0-5.0 5.5-8.5 IA PAC_12 Stanford 24 9 3.45 9.0-4.0 5.6-7.4 IA SEC South Carolina 25 7 3.35 9.0-4.0 5.7-7.3 IA ACC Virginia Tech 26 8 3.07 8.0-5.0 4.9-8.1 IA Big_12 Iowa State 27 10 3.02 10.0-3.0 7.0-6.0 IA Amer_Athl Memphis 28 14 2.76 8.0-5.0 5.2-7.8 IA ACC Wake Forest 29 12 2.63 10.0-2.0 7.4-4.6 IA Amer_Athl South Florida 30 19 2.63 8.0-5.0 5.4-7.6 IA Big_Ten Iowa 31 15 2.61 10.0-3.0 7.4-5.6 IA Indep Army 32 10 2.56 11.0-2.0 8.4-4.6 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 33 10 2.47 8.0-5.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_Ten Michigan 34 10 2.47 11.0-3.0 8.5-5.5 IA MAC Toledo 35 10 2.47 10.0-4.0 7.5-6.5 IA MWC Fresno State 36 13 2.39 10.0-3.0 7.6-5.4 IA MWC San Diego State 37 14 2.33 8.0-5.0 5.7-7.3 IA Big_12 Kansas State 38 10 2.09 11.0-3.0 8.9-5.1 IA CUSA Florida Atlantic 39 10 1.91 8.0-5.0 6.1-6.9 IA ACC Louisville 40 9 1.67 7.0-6.0 5.3-7.7 IA ACC Boston College 41 12 1.58 7.0-6.0 5.4-7.6 IA ACC Florida State 42 14 1.57 7.0-6.0 5.4-7.6 IA Big_12 Texas 43 11 1.56 7.0-6.0 5.4-7.6 IA PAC_12 Arizona State 44 9 1.54 7.0-6.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_12 West Virginia 45 9 1.50 7.0-6.0 5.5-7.5 IA PAC_12 Oregon 46 10 1.48 7.0-6.0 5.5-7.5 IA SEC Texas A&M 47 14 1.37 7.0-6.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_Ten Purdue 48 10 1.36 7.0-6.0 5.6-7.4 IA ACC Duke 49 10 1.23 7.0-6.0 5.8-7.2 IA PAC_12 Utah 50 8 1.14 6.0-7.0 4.9-8.1 IA PAC_12 California - Los Angeles 51 9 1.13 6.0-7.0 4.9-8.1 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 52 8 1.08 5.0-6.0 3.9-7.1 IA ACC Georgia Tech 53 9 1.08 7.0-6.0 5.9-7.1 IA SEC Kentucky 54 10 1.04 7.0-6.0 6.0-7.0 IA PAC_12 Arizona 55 9 0.64 6.0-6.0 5.4-6.6 IA SEC Mississippi 56 13 0.57 9.0-5.0 8.4-5.6 IA CUSA North Texas 57 11 0.55 7.0-5.0 6.4-5.6 IA Amer_Athl Houston 58 12 0.55 6.0-7.0 5.5-7.5 IA ACC Virginia 59 18 0.42 9.0-4.0 8.6-4.4 IA Sun_Belt Appalachian State 60 15 0.41 7.0-6.0 6.6-6.4 IA SEC Missouri 61 15 0.34 7.0-6.0 6.7-6.3 IA Amer_Athl Navy 62 14 0.24 5.0-7.0 4.8-7.2 IA PAC_12 California 63 14 0.22 9.0-4.0 8.8-4.2 IA MAC Ohio 64 13 0.21 8.0-5.0 7.8-5.2 IA MAC Northern Illinois 65 13 0.20 5.0-7.0 4.8-7.2 IA ACC Pittsburgh 66 14 0.18 7.0-6.0 6.8-6.2 IA Amer_Athl Temple 67 12 0.15 8.0-5.0 7.9-5.1 IA MWC Wyoming 68 15 0.00 7.0-6.0 7.0-6.0 IA Amer_Athl Southern Methodist 69 18 -0.02 8.0-5.0 8.0-5.0 IA MAC Central Michigan 70 11 -0.22 5.0-7.0 5.2-6.8 IA Big_Ten Indiana 71 10 -0.28 4.0-8.0 4.3-7.7 IA Big_Ten Maryland 72 13 -0.29 8.0-5.0 8.3-4.7 IA CUSA Florida International 73 12 -0.33 4.0-7.0 4.3-6.7 IA SEC Florida 74 12 -0.34 5.0-7.0 5.3-6.7 IA SEC Vanderbilt 75 14 -0.38 8.0-5.0 8.4-4.6 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 76 11 -0.50 5.0-7.0 5.5-6.5 IA PAC_12 Colorado 77 18 -0.57 8.0-5.0 8.6-4.4 IA CUSA Marshall 78 17 -0.69 7.0-6.0 7.7-5.3 IA MWC Colorado State 79 18 -0.70 7.0-5.0 7.7-4.3 IA Sun_Belt Georgia State 80 14 -0.73 4.0-8.0 4.7-7.3 IA ACC Syracuse 81 15 -0.75 4.0-8.0 4.8-7.2 IA SEC Arkansas 82 18 -0.89 8.0-5.0 8.9-4.1 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 83 16 -0.92 4.0-8.0 4.9-7.1 IA Big_Ten Nebraska 84 17 -0.93 7.0-7.0 7.9-6.1 IA MAC Akron 85 15 -0.95 5.0-7.0 5.9-6.1 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 86 14 -1.11 4.0-8.0 5.1-6.9 IA SEC Tennessee 87 23 -1.12 7.0-5.0 8.1-3.9 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 88 14 -1.23 5.0-7.0 6.2-5.8 IA Amer_Athl Tulane 89 13 -1.26 4.0-8.0 5.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Rutgers 90 12 -1.27 5.0-7.0 6.3-5.7 IA MWC Air Force 91 12 -1.27 6.0-6.0 7.3-4.7 IA MAC Western Michigan 92 13 -1.29 7.0-6.0 8.3-4.7 IA Sun_Belt New Mexico State 93 13 -1.40 7.0-6.0 8.4-4.6 IA CUSA Louisiana Tech 94 14 -1.51 6.0-6.0 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Buffalo 95 11 -1.51 6.0-5.0 7.5-3.5 IA CUSA Texas - San Antonio 96 13 -1.58 7.0-6.0 8.6-4.4 IA CUSA Middle Tennessee State 97 15 -1.83 6.0-7.0 7.8-5.2 IA MWC Utah State 98 11 -1.89 3.0-9.0 4.9-7.1 IA ACC North Carolina 99 13 -2.18 5.0-7.0 7.2-4.8 IA CUSA Old Dominion 100 14 -2.20 5.0-7.0 7.2-4.8 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 101 10 -2.34 5.0-7.0 7.3-4.7 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 102 10 -2.35 5.0-7.0 7.3-4.7 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 103 10 -2.35 3.0-8.0 5.4-5.6 IA Amer_Athl Connecticut 104 14 -2.57 4.0-8.0 6.6-5.4 IA Amer_Athl Cincinnati 105 15 -2.61 4.0-8.0 6.6-5.4 IA Indep Massachusetts 106 11 -2.81 2.0-9.0 4.8-6.2 IA Amer_Athl East Carolina 107 12 -2.90 4.0-9.0 6.9-6.1 IA Indep Brigham Young 108 12 -2.91 4.0-8.0 6.9-5.1 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 109 12 -2.94 5.0-7.0 7.9-4.1 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 110 21 -2.99 6.0-7.0 9.0-4.0 IA CUSA Western Kentucky 111 11 -3.20 2.0-*** 5.2-6.8 IA Big_Ten Illinois 112 12 -3.29 4.0-8.0 7.3-4.7 IA Sun_Belt South Alabama 113 8 -3.45 3.0-9.0 6.4-5.6 IA MWC Nevada - Reno 114 9 -3.49 4.0-8.0 7.5-4.5 IA Sun_Belt Idaho 115 9 -3.53 3.0-9.0 6.5-5.5 IA MWC New Mexico 116 7 -3.69 1.0-*** 4.7-7.3 IA PAC_12 Oregon State 117 7 -3.71 1.0-*** 4.7-7.3 IA Big_12 Baylor 118 7 -3.73 1.0-*** 4.7-7.3 IA Big_12 Kansas 119 7 -4.02 3.0-9.0 7.0-5.0 IA MWC Hawaii 120 6 -4.18 2.0-*** 6.2-5.8 IA Amer_Athl Tulsa 121 7 -4.40 3.0-9.0 7.4-4.6 IA Sun_Belt Coastal Carolina 122 6 -4.61 2.0-*** 6.6-5.4 IA Sun_Belt Georgia Southern 123 5 -4.68 2.0-*** 6.7-5.3 IA MAC Kent State 124 5 -4.76 2.0-*** 6.8-5.2 IA MAC Bowling Green 125 6 -5.00 2.0-*** 7.0-6.0 IA MWC San Jose State 126 6 -5.38 2.0-*** 7.4-4.6 IA MAC Ball State 127 6 -5.49 2.0-*** 7.5-4.5 IA Sun_Belt Texas State - San Marcos 128 5 -6.19 1.0-*** 7.2-4.8 IA CUSA Rice 129 4 -6.30 1.0-*** 7.3-4.7 IA CUSA North Carolina - Charlot 130 2 -7.11 0.0-*** 7.1-4.9 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 3 5.80 13.0-1.0 7.2-6.8 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota State 2 3 5.79 13.0-0.0 7.2-5.8 IAA Colonial James Madison 3 6 5.21 11.0-2.0 5.8-7.2 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota State 4 7 3.58 9.0-1.0 5.4-4.6 IAA Ivy Yale 5 8 3.30 10.0-3.0 6.7-6.3 IAA Colonial Stony Brook 6 9 3.29 10.0-3.0 6.7-6.3 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 7 12 3.23 12.0-2.0 8.8-5.2 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 8 10 3.08 11.0-2.0 7.9-5.1 IAA Big_South Kennesaw State 9 10 2.87 11.0-0.0 8.1-2.9 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 10 12 2.62 10.0-2.0 7.4-4.6 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 11 12 2.41 8.0-4.0 5.6-6.4 IAA Missouri_V Western Illinois 12 12 2.40 8.0-2.0 5.6-4.4 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 13 12 2.36 9.0-3.0 6.6-5.4 IAA Big_Sky Southern Utah 14 12 2.33 8.0-4.0 5.7-6.3 IAA Colonial Elon 15 12 2.31 8.0-2.0 5.7-4.3 IAA Ivy Columbia 16 12 2.24 8.0-5.0 5.8-7.2 IAA Missouri_V Northern Iowa 17 14 2.13 10.0-3.0 7.9-5.1 IAA Southern Wofford 18 14 1.96 9.0-3.0 7.0-5.0 IAA Big_South Monmouth 19 15 1.93 9.0-5.0 7.1-6.9 IAA Colonial New Hampshire 20 15 1.83 8.0-5.0 6.2-6.8 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota 21 16 1.71 10.0-2.0 8.3-3.7 IAA Southland Central Arkansas 22 12 1.52 7.0-4.0 5.5-5.5 IAA Colonial Delaware 23 12 1.42 7.0-4.0 5.6-5.4 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 24 12 1.36 10.0-2.0 8.6-3.4 IAA SWAC Grambling 25 14 1.33 9.0-3.0 7.7-4.3 IAA Pioneer San Diego 26 12 0.86 7.0-4.0 6.1-4.9 IAA NE Central Connecticut 27 15 0.76 7.0-4.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Southern Samford 28 17 0.74 8.0-2.0 7.3-2.7 IAA Southland McNeese State 29 14 0.73 6.0-5.0 5.3-5.7 IAA Missouri_V Illinois State 30 13 0.58 6.0-5.0 5.4-5.6 IAA Missouri_V Youngstown State 31 12 0.52 8.0-4.0 7.5-4.5 IAA Ohio_V Austin Peay 32 14 0.51 6.0-5.0 5.5-5.5 IAA Colonial Richmond 33 16 0.46 7.0-5.0 6.5-5.5 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 34 14 0.46 5.0-4.0 4.5-4.5 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 35 16 0.40 8.0-5.0 7.6-5.4 IAA Southern Furman 36 16 0.28 7.0-4.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Big_Sky Montana 37 18 0.04 6.0-4.0 6.0-4.0 IAA NE Duquesne 38 17 0.01 7.0-4.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 39 16 0.01 7.0-4.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Patriot Colgate 40 22 -0.02 8.0-4.0 8.0-4.0 IAA Southland Nicholls State 41 15 -0.08 7.0-4.0 7.1-3.9 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 42 20 -0.26 6.0-4.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Pioneer Drake 43 16 -0.45 5.0-6.0 5.4-5.6 IAA Colonial Villanova 44 18 -0.50 5.0-5.0 5.5-4.5 IAA Ivy Princeton 45 18 -0.55 6.0-5.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Big_South Liberty 46 18 -0.63 6.0-5.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 47 17 -0.68 5.0-5.0 5.7-4.3 IAA Ivy Harvard 48 18 -0.73 4.0-6.0 4.7-5.3 IAA Colonial Maine 49 19 -0.79 5.0-6.0 5.8-5.2 IAA Colonial Towson 50 18 -0.83 7.0-4.0 7.8-3.2 IAA MEAC Howard 51 20 -0.86 5.0-6.0 5.9-5.1 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 52 18 -0.88 6.0-4.0 6.9-3.1 IAA MEAC North Carolina Central 53 18 -0.90 5.0-5.0 5.9-4.1 IAA NE Bryant 54 18 -0.96 6.0-4.0 7.0-3.0 IAA SWAC Southern 55 20 -1.01 7.0-5.0 8.0-4.0 IAA Southern Western Carolina 56 19 -1.04 5.0-6.0 6.0-5.0 IAA Southern Mercer 57 19 -1.08 5.0-6.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Big_Sky California - Davis 58 21 -1.10 5.0-4.0 6.1-2.9 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 59 16 -1.17 5.0-5.0 6.2-3.8 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 60 16 -1.19 5.0-5.0 6.2-3.8 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 61 15 -1.46 4.0-7.0 5.5-5.5 IAA Missouri_V Southern Illinois 62 15 -1.54 6.0-5.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 63 13 -1.72 4.0-7.0 5.7-5.3 IAA Colonial Albany 64 21 -1.75 6.0-5.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Southland Southeast Louisiana 65 16 -1.78 5.0-7.0 6.8-5.2 IAA Patriot Lehigh 66 18 -1.83 5.0-5.0 6.8-3.2 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 67 14 -1.84 6.0-5.0 7.8-3.2 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 68 15 -1.89 5.0-5.0 6.9-3.1 IAA SWAC Prairie View 69 16 -1.92 4.0-5.0 5.9-3.1 IAA Pioneer Butler 70 15 -1.93 5.0-6.0 6.9-4.1 IAA Patriot Bucknell 71 14 -1.96 3.0-8.0 5.0-6.0 IAA Missouri_V Missouri State 72 14 -1.99 4.0-6.0 6.0-4.0 IAA Southern The Citadel 73 14 -2.00 3.0-7.0 5.0-5.0 IAA Ivy Cornell 74 14 -2.12 5.0-5.0 7.1-2.9 IAA MEAC Hampton 75 15 -2.22 4.0-5.0 6.2-2.8 IAA SWAC Alabama State 76 15 -2.27 4.0-7.0 6.3-4.7 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 77 14 -2.33 4.0-6.0 6.3-3.7 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 78 15 -2.42 3.0-8.0 5.4-5.6 IAA Colonial Rhode Island 79 15 -2.42 4.0-7.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Patriot Fordham 80 16 -2.54 4.0-7.0 6.5-4.5 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 81 16 -2.56 3.0-7.0 5.6-4.4 IAA NE Wagner 82 17 -2.63 5.0-5.0 7.6-2.4 IAA Pioneer Campbell 83 18 -2.68 5.0-6.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Pioneer Dayton 84 14 -2.68 4.0-6.0 6.7-3.3 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 85 16 -2.83 3.0-7.0 5.8-4.2 IAA Big_South Presbyterian 86 15 -2.83 3.0-7.0 5.8-4.2 IAA Southern East Tennessee State 87 13 -2.90 3.0-8.0 5.9-5.1 IAA Patriot Lafayette 88 19 -2.94 4.0-7.0 6.9-4.1 IAA Southland Northwestern State 89 13 -2.94 4.0-7.0 6.9-4.1 IAA NE Sacred Heart 90 14 -2.95 3.0-8.0 5.9-5.1 IAA Big_Sky North Dakota 91 13 -2.95 3.0-7.0 5.9-4.1 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 92 13 -3.00 2.0-7.0 5.0-4.0 IAA Big_Sky Northern Colorado 93 14 -3.14 3.0-8.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 94 14 -3.23 2.0-8.0 5.2-4.8 IAA Ivy Brown 95 16 -3.50 4.0-7.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 96 9 -3.53 2.0-9.0 5.5-5.5 IAA Colonial William & Mary 97 11 -3.58 4.0-7.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Pioneer Marist 98 9 -3.60 3.0-7.0 6.6-3.4 IAA SWAC Jackson State 99 12 -3.71 3.0-7.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 100 10 -3.83 3.0-8.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 101 10 -3.86 2.0-8.0 5.9-4.1 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 102 8 -4.14 3.0-8.0 7.1-3.9 IAA MEAC Savannah State 103 9 -4.21 2.0-9.0 6.2-4.8 IAA NE Robert Morris 104 7 -4.24 2.0-7.0 6.2-2.8 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 105 6 -4.24 3.0-7.0 7.2-2.8 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 106 7 -4.64 0.0-*** 4.6-6.4 IAA Missouri_V Indiana State 107 7 -4.65 3.0-8.0 7.7-3.3 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 108 7 -4.66 2.0-9.0 6.7-4.3 IAA MEAC Delaware State 109 9 -5.13 2.0-9.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Southland Abilene Christian 110 6 -5.33 2.0-9.0 7.3-3.7 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 111 6 -5.34 1.0-8.0 6.3-2.7 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 112 7 -5.49 1.0-*** 6.5-4.5 IAA Big_Sky California Poly 113 7 -5.50 1.0-*** 6.5-4.5 IAA Patriot Georgetown 114 9 -5.63 2.0-9.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Pioneer Stetson 115 8 -5.64 0.0-*** 5.6-4.4 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 116 7 -5.67 1.0-*** 6.7-4.3 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 117 9 -5.83 1.0-9.0 6.8-3.2 IAA Southland Lamar 118 7 -5.88 2.0-9.0 7.9-3.1 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 119 8 -6.02 0.0-*** 6.0-4.0 IAA Southern Virginia Military 120 8 -6.12 1.0-*** 7.1-3.9 IAA Southland Incarnate Word 121 6 -6.20 0.0-9.0 6.2-2.8 IAA Pioneer Davidson 122 4 -6.48 0.0-*** 6.5-4.5 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 123 4 -6.50 1.0-*** 7.5-3.5 IAA MEAC Morgan State 124 2 -8.07 1.0-*** 9.1-3.9 IAA Southland Houston Baptist
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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