2017 Week 1 (31 Aug - 4 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  38 North Dakota State        over  252 Mississippi Valley State   63.0 to 10.5
   6 Oklahoma                  over  207 Texas - El Paso            66.5 to 21.0

70-80% chance of victory:

 143 Delaware                  over  250 Delaware State             49.0 to 17.5
  44 Memphis                   over  206 Northeast Louisiana        56.0 to 28.0
   5 Washington                over  171 Rutgers                    52.5 to 21.0
   3 Clemson                   over  157 Kent State                 56.0 to 14.0
  54 Louisiana Tech            over  236 Northwestern State         59.5 to 28.0
  16 Miami - Florida           over  194 Bethune - Cookman          52.5 to 21.0
  89 Montana                   over  249 Valparaiso                 56.0 to 24.5
  11 Louisville                over  150 Purdue                     59.5 to 31.5
  15 Penn State                over  133 Akron                      56.0 to 28.0
  33 Texas Christian           over  245 Jackson State              52.5 to 17.5
  28 Western Kentucky          over  210 Eastern Kentucky           56.0 to 28.0

60-70% chance of victory:

  75 Arizona State             over  198 New Mexico State           59.5 to 35.0
  83 Central Florida           over  200 Florida International      45.5 to 24.5
 124 Central Michigan          over  217 Rhode Island               42.0 to 31.5
 135 Cincinnati                over  238 Austin Peay                49.0 to 28.0
 120 Idaho                     over  224 Sacramento State           49.0 to 35.0
   2 Ohio State                over   76 Indiana                    49.0 to 24.5
 173 Mercer                    over  219 Jacksonville               45.5 to 38.5
  50 Minnesota                 over  209 Buffalo                    49.0 to 21.0
  49 Arkansas                  over  222 Florida A&M                45.5 to 21.0
  73 New Hampshire             over  139 Maine                      42.0 to 28.0
 166 McNeese State             over  214 Nicholls State             42.0 to 31.5
  18 Oklahoma State            over   46 Tulsa                      52.5 to 42.0
 114 Samford                   over  148 Kennesaw State             49.0 to 42.0
  65 South Dakota State        over  141 Duquesne                   45.5 to 35.0
  55 Toledo                    over  230 Elon                       52.5 to 24.5
  36 Utah                      over  111 North Dakota               42.0 to 24.5
  85 Wake Forest               over  242 Presbyterian               38.5 to 14.0
 149 Eastern Michigan          over  208 North Carolina - Charlot   45.5 to 35.0
  51 Navy                      over  192 Florida Atlantic           52.5 to 31.5
 107 Syracuse                  over  212 Central Connecticut        45.5 to 35.0
  14 Wisconsin                 over  115 Utah State                 45.5 to 17.5
  71 Air Force                 over  204 Virginia Military          45.5 to 24.5
 105 Alabama - Birmingham      over  240 Alabama A&M                52.5 to 35.0
  98 Arizona                   over  142 Northern Arizona           42.0 to 38.5
  12 Auburn                    over   95 Georgia Southern           45.5 to 21.0
  43 Baylor                    over  119 Liberty                    45.5 to 31.5
  37 Boise State               over   82 Troy State                 45.5 to 31.5
 190 Bucknell                  over  229 Marist                     38.5 to 28.0
  86 Coastal Carolina          over  181 Massachusetts              52.5 to 28.0
 109 South Dakota              over  220 Drake                      42.0 to 35.0
  68 Duke                      over  186 North Carolina Central     38.5 to 24.5
  13 James Madison             over  134 East Carolina              59.5 to 35.0
 195 Fresno State              over  241 Incarnate Word             45.5 to 28.0
 137 North Carolina A&T        over  189 Gardner - Webb             35.0 to 28.0
  59 Georgia                   over   70 Appalachian State          35.0 to 28.0
 147 Hawaii                    over  196 Western Carolina           45.5 to 35.0
 129 Illinois                  over  146 Ball State                 38.5 to 31.5
 106 Illinois State            over  244 Butler                     49.0 to 21.0
  32 Iowa                      over   88 Wyoming                    45.5 to 28.0
  26 Kansas State              over  116 Central Arkansas           45.5 to 24.5
 154 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  188 Southeast Louisiana        35.0 to 31.5
  61 Michigan State            over  177 Bowling Green              49.0 to 28.0
  69 Vanderbilt                over   99 Middle Tennessee State     42.0 to 38.5
  34 Mississippi               over  145 South Alabama              52.5 to 28.0
  60 Mississippi State         over   80 Charleston Southern        42.0 to 38.5
  79 Missouri                  over  216 Missouri State             49.0 to 28.0
 179 Monmouth                  over  197 Lafayette                  42.0 to 35.0
   1 Alabama                   over    8 Florida State              42.0 to 28.0
  58 Nebraska                  over   90 Arkansas State             38.5 to 28.0
 160 Nevada - Las Vegas        over  246 Howard                     52.5 to 35.0
  91 New Mexico                over  228 Abilene Christian          56.0 to 35.0
   4 Michigan                  over   29 Florida                    35.0 to 24.5
   9 Louisiana State           over   87 Brigham Young              28.0 to 14.0
  25 North Carolina            over   62 California                 52.5 to 42.0
 170 North Texas               over  226 Lamar                      38.5 to 31.5
  35 Northwestern              over  159 Nevada - Reno              42.0 to 21.0
  40 Notre Dame                over   42 Temple                     38.5 to 35.0
  41 North Carolina State      over   93 South Carolina             35.0 to 28.0
 117 Ohio                      over  221 Hampton                    38.5 to 24.5
  63 Oregon                    over  125 Southern Utah              52.5 to 42.0
  27 Pittsburgh                over   64 Youngstown State           45.5 to 38.5
 169 Dayton                    over  235 Robert Morris              31.5 to 21.0
 178 Sacred Heart              over  234 Stetson                    42.0 to 28.0
  48 San Diego State           over  203 California - Davis         49.0 to 24.5
 158 California Poly           over  187 San Jose State             28.0 to 21.0
  10 Southern California       over   22 Western Michigan           45.5 to 35.0
 122 Southern Methodist        over  218 Stephen F. Austin          49.0 to 38.5
  72 Kentucky                  over  110 Southern Mississippi       45.5 to 42.0
  47 South Florida             over  168 Stony Brook                42.0 to 24.5
  52 Texas                     over   94 Maryland                   45.5 to 31.5
  31 Houston                   over  123 Texas - San Antonio        42.0 to 28.0
 205 Prairie View              over  251 Texas Southern             38.5 to 24.5
 232 Texas State - San Marcos  over  247 Houston Baptist            38.5 to 31.5
 153 Towson                    over  243 Morgan State               45.5 to 24.5
 118 Grambling                 over  140 Tulane                     38.5 to 31.5
  17 Washington State          over  172 Montana State              52.5 to 24.5
 100 Wofford                   over  144 Furman                     35.0 to 28.0
 155 Southern                  over  183 South Carolina State       38.5 to 31.5

50-60% chance of victory:

 176 Holy Cross                over  185 Connecticut                31.5 to 28.0
 180 Tennessee State           over  167 Georgia State              38.5 to 35.0
 161 Indiana State             over  174 Eastern Illinois           38.5 to 35.0
 127 Western Illinois          over  175 Tennessee Tech             38.5 to 35.0
 102 Fordham                   over  103 Army                       42.0 to 38.5
  19 Colorado State            over   21 Colorado                   38.5 to 38.5
  97 Northern Illinois         over   96 Boston College             35.0 to 31.5
  78 Richmond                  over   84 Sam Houston State          45.5 to 45.5
  66 Northern Iowa             over   67 Iowa State                 35.0 to 31.5
 193 Southeast Missouri State  over  165 Kansas                     31.5 to 31.5
  74 Lehigh                    over   77 Villanova                  38.5 to 35.0
 162 Marshall                  over  138 Miami - Ohio               35.0 to 31.5
 113 Albany                    over  104 Old Dominion               38.5 to 35.0
 152 Oregon State              over  151 Portland State             31.5 to 31.5
  45 Eastern Washington        over   57 Texas Tech                 56.0 to 52.5
 121 William & Mary            over  101 Virginia                   35.0 to 35.0
  23 Texas A&M                 over   56 California - Los Angeles   38.5 to 35.0
  20 Virginia Tech             over   24 West Virginia              35.0 to 35.0
  39 Georgia Tech              over   30 Tennessee                  42.0 to 42.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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