ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
1 Alabama over 183 Fresno State 52.5 to 7.0
22 Colorado over 232 Texas State - San Marcos 52.5 to 10.5
11 Florida State over 200 Northeast Louisiana 56.0 to 14.0
15 James Madison over 235 East Tennessee State 59.5 to 7.0
20 Kansas State over 215 North Carolina - Charlot 52.5 to 10.5
122 Southern Illinois over 254 Mississippi Valley State 59.5 to 17.5
10 Wisconsin over 192 Florida Atlantic 52.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
151 Akron over 253 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 52.5 to 21.0
77 Appalachian State over 244 Savannah State 45.5 to 14.0
82 Colorado State over 229 Abilene Christian 45.5 to 14.0
30 Florida over 175 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 14.0
132 Grambling over 237 Northwestern State 45.5 to 17.5
9 Louisiana State over 113 Tennessee - Chattanooga 35.0 to 10.5
4 Michigan over 140 Cincinnati 45.5 to 7.0
68 Northern Iowa over 168 California Poly 35.0 to 17.5
27 Tennessee over 164 Indiana State 49.0 to 24.5
54 Texas over 181 San Jose State 42.0 to 17.5
21 Texas A&M over 208 Nicholls State 52.5 to 17.5
70 Vanderbilt over 242 Alabama A&M 42.0 to 10.5
18 Virginia Tech over 149 Delaware 38.5 to 14.0
5 Washington over 86 Montana 45.5 to 21.0
24 West Virginia over 143 East Carolina 45.5 to 21.0
67 Youngstown State over 234 Robert Morris 35.0 to 7.0
60-70% chance of victory:
76 Sam Houston State over 201 Prairie View 52.5 to 38.5
250 Texas Southern over 246 Houston Baptist 28.0 to 21.0
123 Utah State over 220 Idaho State 42.0 to 28.0
228 Hampton over 251 Delaware State 31.5 to 14.0
99 Ohio over 145 Purdue 35.0 to 28.0
17 Oklahoma State over 141 South Alabama 45.5 to 21.0
32 Houston over 94 Arizona 42.0 to 35.0
29 Texas Christian over 56 Arkansas 35.0 to 28.0
16 Miami - Florida over 87 Arkansas State 35.0 to 21.0
89 Army over 211 Buffalo 38.5 to 14.0
43 Baylor over 120 Texas - San Antonio 42.0 to 24.5
92 South Dakota over 184 Bowling Green 45.5 to 31.5
36 Utah over 159 Brigham Young 21.0 to 10.5
182 Bucknell over 176 Holy Cross 28.0 to 24.5
58 California over 154 Weber State 49.0 to 35.0
105 San Diego over 205 California - Davis 38.5 to 24.5
52 California - Los Angeles over 102 Hawaii 38.5 to 24.5
210 Georgetown over 236 Campbell 28.0 to 24.5
121 Fordham over 217 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 28.0
3 Clemson over 14 Auburn 35.0 to 21.0
93 Colgate over 79 Richmond 28.0 to 24.5
62 South Florida over 186 Connecticut 38.5 to 21.0
172 Dayton over 196 Southeast Missouri State 28.0 to 17.5
31 North Dakota State over 55 Eastern Washington 35.0 to 28.0
179 Alcorn State over 206 Florida International 38.5 to 28.0
139 Furman over 231 Elon 35.0 to 17.5
72 New Hampshire over 109 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 24.5
127 Idaho over 162 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 35.0
28 Western Kentucky over 130 Illinois 38.5 to 24.5
142 Kennesaw State over 185 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 31.5
166 Kent State over 240 Howard 35.0 to 21.0
73 Kentucky over 207 Eastern Kentucky 38.5 to 21.0
170 Sacred Heart over 203 Lafayette 31.5 to 24.5
108 Liberty over 230 Morehead State 52.5 to 28.0
135 Maine over 157 Bryant 35.0 to 28.0
233 Marist over 238 Stetson 28.0 to 24.5
90 Maryland over 158 Towson 35.0 to 24.5
138 Massachusetts over 106 Old Dominion 35.0 to 35.0
101 Wofford over 163 Mercer 28.0 to 24.5
137 Miami - Ohio over 239 Austin Peay 42.0 to 21.0
33 Mississippi over 150 Tennessee - Martin 49.0 to 28.0
74 Missouri over 91 South Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
71 Lehigh over 178 Monmouth 42.0 to 31.5
61 South Dakota State over 187 Montana State 38.5 to 21.0
116 Albany over 243 Morgan State 35.0 to 14.0
118 Central Arkansas over 209 Murray State 38.5 to 31.5
48 Navy over 131 Tulane 38.5 to 24.5
51 Toledo over 160 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 24.5
95 New Mexico over 191 New Mexico State 45.5 to 31.5
134 William & Mary over 227 Norfolk State 31.5 to 17.5
41 North Carolina State over 155 Marshall 38.5 to 17.5
114 North Dakota over 214 Missouri State 38.5 to 21.0
104 Northern Illinois over 171 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
34 Notre Dame over 60 Georgia 35.0 to 24.5
190 Tennessee State over 249 Jackson State 35.0 to 17.5
2 Ohio State over 6 Oklahoma 42.0 to 28.0
50 Oregon over 59 Nebraska 42.0 to 35.0
57 Minnesota over 169 Oregon State 45.5 to 31.5
13 Penn State over 25 Pittsburgh 45.5 to 35.0
167 Stony Brook over 213 Rhode Island 28.0 to 21.0
226 Sacramento State over 247 Incarnate Word 38.5 to 24.5
126 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 199 Wagner 38.5 to 24.5
88 Charleston Southern over 188 South Carolina State 28.0 to 24.5
180 Southeast Louisiana over 197 Bethune - Cookman 31.5 to 28.0
111 Southern Methodist over 156 North Texas 35.0 to 28.0
136 Southern Utah over 219 Stephen F. Austin 42.0 to 31.5
97 Syracuse over 117 Middle Tennessee State 42.0 to 35.0
212 Texas - El Paso over 222 Rice 38.5 to 31.5
107 The Citadel over 241 Presbyterian 38.5 to 10.5
84 Troy State over 223 Alabama State 42.0 to 21.0
45 Tulsa over 147 Louisiana - Lafayette 45.5 to 28.0
148 Duquesne over 245 Valparaiso 42.0 to 24.5
19 Washington State over 40 Boise State 35.0 to 28.0
193 Western Carolina over 252 Davidson 45.5 to 24.5
96 Wyoming over 202 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
44 San Diego State over 80 Arizona State 35.0 to 35.0
144 Ball State over 110 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 35.0
78 Wake Forest over 98 Boston College 21.0 to 17.5
42 Memphis over 75 Central Florida 35.0 to 35.0
35 Northwestern over 63 Duke 28.0 to 28.0
37 Georgia Tech over 39 Jacksonville State 28.0 to 28.0
38 Iowa over 65 Iowa State 28.0 to 24.5
125 Central Michigan over 161 Kansas 28.0 to 28.0
47 Louisiana Tech over 53 Mississippi State 38.5 to 38.5
23 Western Michigan over 64 Michigan State 35.0 to 31.5
12 Louisville over 26 North Carolina 35.0 to 35.0
119 Western Illinois over 146 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 31.5
173 Rutgers over 152 Eastern Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
8 Southern California over 7 Stanford 31.5 to 31.5
115 Southern Mississippi over 153 Southern 38.5 to 35.0
69 Villanova over 49 Temple 24.5 to 21.0
83 Indiana over 100 Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
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