ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
35 Boise State over 116 New Mexico 45.5 to 21.0
1 Alabama over 89 Colorado State 38.5 to 7.0
19 Virginia Tech over 142 East Carolina 42.0 to 21.0
14 James Madison over 229 Norfolk State 56.0 to 7.0
42 Northwestern over 216 Bowling Green 49.0 to 14.0
4 Ohio State over 102 Army 42.0 to 7.0
7 Oklahoma over 179 Tulane 56.0 to 10.5
75 Appalachian State over 234 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 10.5
40 Utah over 249 San Jose State 45.5 to 7.0
60 Villanova over 206 Lafayette 38.5 to 7.0
6 Washington over 163 Fresno State 49.0 to 10.5
20 Washington State over 207 Oregon State 56.0 to 24.5
22 West Virginia over 251 Delaware State 56.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
59 Temple over 188 Massachusetts 35.0 to 14.0
88 Arizona over 218 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 21.0
53 Iowa State over 149 Akron 42.0 to 28.0
93 Arkansas State over 254 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 52.5 to 14.0
12 Auburn over 135 Mercer 38.5 to 14.0
92 Colgate over 201 Buffalo 28.0 to 10.5
72 Charleston Southern over 231 Elon 42.0 to 17.5
181 Bethune - Cookman over 217 Florida Atlantic 38.5 to 24.5
152 Grambling over 247 Jackson State 31.5 to 7.0
28 Houston over 197 Rice 42.0 to 10.5
67 Indiana over 208 Florida International 42.0 to 17.5
29 Iowa over 145 North Texas 38.5 to 17.5
77 Liberty over 175 Indiana State 42.0 to 21.0
5 Michigan over 55 Air Force 42.0 to 21.0
52 Minnesota over 118 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 24.5
95 Montana over 242 Savannah State 49.0 to 17.5
56 Nebraska over 106 Northern Illinois 38.5 to 24.5
79 Troy State over 190 New Mexico State 38.5 to 24.5
122 North Carolina A&T over 220 North Carolina - Charlot 42.0 to 21.0
44 North Carolina State over 156 Furman 42.0 to 21.0
31 North Carolina over 110 Old Dominion 38.5 to 24.5
11 Penn State over 157 Georgia State 45.5 to 14.0
81 Richmond over 237 Howard 49.0 to 17.5
173 Rutgers over 248 Morgan State 31.5 to 14.0
3 Stanford over 43 San Diego State 42.0 to 24.5
153 South Alabama over 244 Alabama A&M 38.5 to 21.0
54 South Dakota State over 214 Drake 42.0 to 17.5
8 Southern California over 46 Texas 45.5 to 24.5
32 Texas A&M over 150 Louisiana - Lafayette 45.5 to 21.0
37 Western Michigan over 151 Idaho 45.5 to 24.5
65 Youngstown State over 209 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
16 Wisconsin over 132 Brigham Young 24.5 to 10.5
97 Central Arkansas over 178 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 21.0
23 Colorado over 174 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 21.0
38 Duke over 83 Baylor 38.5 to 24.5
49 Georgia over 104 Samford 35.0 to 24.5
13 Oklahoma State over 30 Pittsburgh 42.0 to 35.0
119 Portland State over 164 California - Davis 42.0 to 28.0
61 South Dakota over 99 North Dakota 42.0 to 28.0
228 Stephen F. Austin over 246 Incarnate Word 42.0 to 31.5
27 Texas Christian over 87 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 24.5
57 Texas Tech over 90 Arizona State 52.5 to 42.0
117 Virginia over 191 Connecticut 28.0 to 17.5
131 William & Mary over 186 Bucknell 24.5 to 14.0
47 Oregon over 98 Wyoming 45.5 to 35.0
60-70% chance of victory:
107 South Florida over 121 Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
226 Abilene Christian over 241 Houston Baptist 31.5 to 24.5
74 Coastal Carolina over 133 Alabama - Birmingham 45.5 to 31.5
138 Kennesaw State over 224 Alabama State 35.0 to 28.0
114 Albany over 155 Monmouth 31.5 to 21.0
177 Alcorn State over 160 McNeese State 31.5 to 28.0
227 Morehead State over 236 Austin Peay 45.5 to 38.5
134 Ball State over 196 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 24.5
33 Notre Dame over 108 Boston College 31.5 to 21.0
34 Georgia Tech over 73 Central Florida 35.0 to 28.0
199 Columbia over 202 Wagner 28.0 to 21.0
180 Dayton over 147 Duquesne 31.5 to 28.0
146 Delaware over 194 Cornell 31.5 to 24.5
96 Illinois State over 176 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
101 The Citadel over 235 East Tennessee State 35.0 to 14.0
24 Florida over 25 Tennessee 31.5 to 28.0
168 Western Carolina over 221 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 24.5
210 Georgetown over 230 Marist 28.0 to 17.5
78 New Hampshire over 170 Holy Cross 31.5 to 24.5
82 Lehigh over 185 Yale 45.5 to 31.5
2 Clemson over 15 Louisville 38.5 to 28.0
158 Marshall over 187 Kent State 31.5 to 24.5
39 Memphis over 50 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 31.5
17 Mississippi State over 9 Louisiana State 28.0 to 24.5
86 Missouri over 127 Purdue 42.0 to 31.5
171 Nevada - Reno over 204 Idaho State 35.0 to 31.5
113 Southern Mississippi over 195 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 28.0
128 Ohio over 172 Kansas 31.5 to 21.0
238 Campbell over 245 Presbyterian 21.0 to 17.5
68 Princeton over 112 San Diego 35.0 to 28.0
120 Harvard over 219 Rhode Island 38.5 to 21.0
233 Robert Morris over 205 Virginia Military 21.0 to 17.5
148 Weber State over 211 Sacramento State 35.0 to 31.5
124 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 182 Towson 31.5 to 17.5
80 South Carolina over 69 Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
105 Southern Illinois over 189 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 24.5
62 Northern Iowa over 130 Southern Utah 35.0 to 24.5
126 Dartmouth over 239 Stetson 35.0 to 17.5
115 Syracuse over 111 Central Michigan 31.5 to 31.5
63 Toledo over 45 Tulsa 45.5 to 45.5
21 Kansas State over 58 Vanderbilt 24.5 to 21.0
66 Wake Forest over 100 Utah State 28.0 to 21.0
41 Western Kentucky over 48 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 35.0
50-60% chance of victory:
193 Brown over 159 Bryant 31.5 to 31.5
51 California over 36 Mississippi 45.5 to 45.5
123 Fordham over 76 Eastern Washington 42.0 to 38.5
137 Cincinnati over 143 Miami - Ohio 21.0 to 21.0
212 Murray State over 222 Missouri State 35.0 to 35.0
192 Tennessee State over 215 Florida A&M 24.5 to 21.0
200 Prairie View over 198 Nicholls State 38.5 to 35.0
232 Northwestern State over 223 Lamar 31.5 to 28.0
169 Stony Brook over 154 Sacred Heart 21.0 to 21.0
140 Tennessee - Martin over 162 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 24.5
139 Texas - San Antonio over 167 Southern 28.0 to 28.0
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