ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
1 Alabama over 47 Mississippi 45.5 to 14.0
102 Army over 228 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 14.0
95 Charleston Southern over 254 Mississippi Valley State 52.5 to 10.5
10 James Madison over 149 Delaware 42.0 to 17.5
73 Eastern Washington over 168 Sacramento State 49.0 to 28.0
101 Holy Cross over 225 Lafayette 42.0 to 17.5
55 Kentucky over 153 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 17.5
22 Louisville over 227 Murray State 56.0 to 14.0
126 Mercer over 241 Virginia Military 38.5 to 14.0
21 North Dakota State over 231 Missouri State 52.5 to 3.5
15 Notre Dame over 135 Miami - Ohio 42.0 to 14.0
3 Washington over 199 Oregon State 56.0 to 17.5
7 Penn State over 52 Indiana 42.0 to 21.0
74 Pittsburgh over 230 Rice 42.0 to 14.0
6 Ohio State over 125 Rutgers 38.5 to 10.5
138 Wyoming over 223 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
188 Alcorn State over 251 Texas Southern 35.0 to 21.0
243 Alabama A&M over 252 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 21.0
64 Arkansas over 143 New Mexico State 42.0 to 21.0
190 Bethune - Cookman over 250 Savannah State 38.5 to 14.0
51 South Florida over 166 East Carolina 45.5 to 28.0
111 Furman over 214 East Tennessee State 38.5 to 17.5
76 Illinois State over 158 Indiana State 38.5 to 17.5
26 Kansas State over 75 Baylor 35.0 to 21.0
23 Louisiana State over 108 Troy State 31.5 to 10.5
133 Nevada - Las Vegas over 240 San Jose State 45.5 to 24.5
119 New Hampshire over 187 Bryant 38.5 to 24.5
96 Montana over 221 Portland State 42.0 to 21.0
34 San Diego State over 103 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
17 Stanford over 82 Arizona State 49.0 to 28.0
33 Jacksonville State over 197 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 10.5
8 Oklahoma State over 37 Texas Tech 49.0 to 38.5
62 Villanova over 180 Towson 28.0 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
204 Florida International over 236 North Carolina - Charlot 31.5 to 21.0
65 Colorado State over 136 Hawaii 42.0 to 28.0
79 Louisiana Tech over 163 South Alabama 38.5 to 21.0
28 Oregon over 44 California 45.5 to 38.5
129 Wofford over 238 Presbyterian 28.0 to 14.0
77 Princeton over 198 Columbia 35.0 to 14.0
164 Sacred Heart over 211 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 24.5
70 Southern Methodist over 191 Connecticut 38.5 to 21.0
165 McNeese State over 234 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 24.5
69 Western Michigan over 122 Ball State 38.5 to 24.5
13 Wisconsin over 53 Northwestern 31.5 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
189 North Carolina Central over 222 Florida A&M 21.0 to 17.5
48 Iowa State over 50 Texas 35.0 to 31.5
14 Miami - Florida over 27 Duke 31.5 to 28.0
80 Nebraska over 124 Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
127 Utah State over 175 Brigham Young 24.5 to 21.0
11 Auburn over 16 Mississippi State 28.0 to 21.0
114 Tennessee - Martin over 171 Austin Peay 35.0 to 28.0
106 Boston College over 156 Central Michigan 28.0 to 21.0
172 Akron over 206 Bowling Green 28.0 to 24.5
194 Brown over 192 Rhode Island 28.0 to 21.0
170 Bucknell over 162 Monmouth 24.5 to 24.5
146 California - Davis over 159 North Dakota 24.5 to 21.0
38 California - Los Angeles over 41 Colorado 28.0 to 28.0
232 Campbell over 239 Morehead State 38.5 to 28.0
58 Sam Houston State over 93 Central Arkansas 38.5 to 35.0
56 Central Florida over 57 Memphis 38.5 to 35.0
112 Cincinnati over 142 Marshall 28.0 to 21.0
205 Colgate over 210 Cornell 24.5 to 21.0
226 Marist over 253 Davidson 35.0 to 21.0
100 Albany over 178 Elon 24.5 to 14.0
29 Florida over 61 Vanderbilt 21.0 to 10.5
134 Middle Tennessee State over 150 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 31.5
154 Yale over 182 Fordham 42.0 to 38.5
148 Fresno State over 176 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 24.5
131 Harvard over 213 Georgetown 24.5 to 14.0
31 Georgia Tech over 30 North Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
209 California Poly over 202 Idaho State 38.5 to 31.5
224 Abilene Christian over 248 Incarnate Word 31.5 to 24.5
155 Buffalo over 208 Kent State 21.0 to 17.5
179 Nicholls State over 229 Lamar 35.0 to 28.0
97 Liberty over 132 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 24.5
104 Ohio over 167 Massachusetts 24.5 to 24.5
46 Minnesota over 88 Maryland 31.5 to 21.0
118 Montana State over 110 Weber State 28.0 to 24.5
59 Air Force over 116 New Mexico 31.5 to 24.5
40 North Carolina State over 89 Syracuse 35.0 to 24.5
113 Coastal Carolina over 181 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 28.0
141 Northern Arizona over 177 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 28.0
183 Southeast Louisiana over 220 Northwestern State 31.5 to 28.0
201 Prairie View over 242 Jackson State 31.5 to 21.0
85 North Carolina A&T over 186 South Carolina State 28.0 to 21.0
196 Southeast Missouri State over 195 Eastern Kentucky 24.5 to 17.5
98 Southern Mississippi over 137 North Texas 35.0 to 28.0
36 Houston over 109 Temple 28.0 to 21.0
117 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 145 Western Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
193 Tennessee State over 185 Eastern Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
35 Texas A&M over 83 South Carolina 35.0 to 24.5
78 Tulsa over 60 Navy 42.0 to 38.5
237 Valparaiso over 249 Stetson 35.0 to 28.0
2 Clemson over 9 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 24.5
157 Lehigh over 207 Wagner 38.5 to 35.0
18 Florida State over 39 Wake Forest 31.5 to 24.5
42 Youngstown State over 43 South Dakota State 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
19 Southern California over 25 Washington State 35.0 to 31.5
218 Drake over 244 Butler 28.0 to 24.5
147 San Diego over 200 Dayton 24.5 to 24.5
32 Iowa over 67 Michigan State 24.5 to 21.0
120 Pennsylvania over 123 Dartmouth 28.0 to 21.0
105 The Citadel over 128 Samford 28.0 to 28.0
99 Southern Illinois over 91 Northern Iowa 31.5 to 31.5
20 Georgia over 49 Tennessee 28.0 to 28.0
72 Western Illinois over 45 South Dakota 35.0 to 35.0
115 William & Mary over 94 Stony Brook 21.0 to 21.0
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