ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
188 South Carolina State over 246 Morgan State 31.5 to 7.0
3 Auburn over 78 Mississippi 42.0 to 14.0
2 Clemson over 35 Wake Forest 35.0 to 10.5
112 Harvard over 214 Cornell 35.0 to 17.5
82 Central Arkansas over 240 Houston Baptist 38.5 to 10.5
19 North Dakota State over 159 Indiana State 42.0 to 14.0
68 Kentucky over 143 Missouri 35.0 to 21.0
10 Michigan over 60 Michigan State 35.0 to 14.0
74 North Carolina A&T over 241 Delaware State 45.5 to 7.0
89 Northern Illinois over 211 Kent State 35.0 to 10.5
53 Sam Houston State over 245 Stephen F. Austin 56.0 to 21.0
4 Ohio State over 61 Maryland 45.5 to 17.5
5 Oklahoma over 59 Iowa State 49.0 to 24.5
91 Princeton over 230 Georgetown 35.0 to 10.5
160 Southeast Louisiana over 251 Incarnate Word 49.0 to 17.5
16 Southern California over 183 Oregon State 52.5 to 17.5
148 Tennessee - Martin over 223 Murray State 35.0 to 14.0
1 Alabama over 42 Texas A&M 42.0 to 17.5
85 Western Kentucky over 224 Texas - El Paso 45.5 to 17.5
106 Samford over 244 Virginia Military 38.5 to 17.5
8 Washington over 62 California 42.0 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
79 Appalachian State over 140 New Mexico State 35.0 to 21.0
51 Jacksonville State over 161 Austin Peay 35.0 to 17.5
13 Virginia Tech over 105 Boston College 31.5 to 14.0
47 Western Michigan over 142 Buffalo 35.0 to 21.0
94 Montana over 200 Idaho State 49.0 to 31.5
37 Iowa over 150 Illinois 28.0 to 10.5
33 Texas Tech over 172 Kansas 52.5 to 35.0
152 Kennesaw State over 250 Texas Southern 38.5 to 14.0
147 Miami - Ohio over 215 Bowling Green 31.5 to 17.5
113 Marshall over 233 North Carolina - Charlot 38.5 to 17.5
134 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 237 Presbyterian 28.0 to 10.5
110 Fresno State over 238 San Jose State 38.5 to 21.0
44 South Dakota State over 109 Southern Illinois 38.5 to 24.5
199 Southern over 239 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 17.5
163 Northeast Louisiana over 231 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 24.5
65 Toledo over 144 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
181 Alcorn State over 232 Alabama State 31.5 to 21.0
81 Memphis over 194 Connecticut 35.0 to 21.0
153 McNeese State over 218 Abilene Christian 31.5 to 17.5
252 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 254 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 24.5
30 Central Florida over 128 Cincinnati 35.0 to 21.0
138 Coastal Carolina over 185 Georgia State 35.0 to 17.5
45 Houston over 63 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 28.0
191 North Carolina Central over 234 Howard 38.5 to 24.5
212 Jacksonville over 253 Davidson 42.0 to 17.5
168 Middle Tennessee State over 203 Florida International 31.5 to 21.0
124 Montana State over 208 Portland State 38.5 to 24.5
12 Wisconsin over 69 Nebraska 31.5 to 21.0
43 San Diego State over 119 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 24.5
155 Nicholls State over 225 Northwestern State 38.5 to 24.5
6 Penn State over 54 Northwestern 35.0 to 21.0
97 Ohio over 167 Central Michigan 38.5 to 24.5
120 Army over 227 Rice 28.0 to 14.0
139 Southern Utah over 198 California Poly 38.5 to 28.0
197 Brown over 249 Stetson 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
24 Louisville over 36 North Carolina State 35.0 to 31.5
58 Boise State over 178 Brigham Young 28.0 to 21.0
93 Louisiana Tech over 151 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 35.0
73 Eastern Washington over 107 California - Davis 38.5 to 31.5
216 Campbell over 235 Valparaiso 35.0 to 24.5
126 Pennsylvania over 207 Central Connecticut 35.0 to 24.5
202 Colgate over 170 Lehigh 31.5 to 31.5
56 Colorado over 67 Arizona 31.5 to 24.5
117 Dartmouth over 115 Yale 28.0 to 24.5
209 Dayton over 219 Drake 28.0 to 21.0
158 Duquesne over 187 Wagner 31.5 to 24.5
125 Temple over 184 East Carolina 35.0 to 24.5
193 Eastern Illinois over 205 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 17.5
196 Eastern Kentucky over 201 Tennessee State 24.5 to 21.0
118 William & Mary over 157 Elon 21.0 to 17.5
28 Florida over 41 Louisiana State 24.5 to 17.5
116 Holy Cross over 133 Monmouth 31.5 to 28.0
154 Idaho over 164 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 35.0
39 Indiana over 102 Charleston Southern 38.5 to 28.0
206 Fordham over 229 Lafayette 31.5 to 31.5
175 Columbia over 222 Marist 28.0 to 21.0
242 Butler over 247 Morehead State 35.0 to 31.5
52 Navy over 70 Air Force 35.0 to 31.5
182 Nevada - Reno over 166 Hawaii 31.5 to 31.5
11 Notre Dame over 57 North Carolina 38.5 to 31.5
165 North Dakota over 192 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 24.5
76 Illinois State over 132 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 21.0
156 Grambling over 189 Prairie View 35.0 to 24.5
149 Old Dominion over 130 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 28.0
21 Oregon over 23 Washington State 42.0 to 38.5
86 Richmond over 108 Albany 24.5 to 21.0
217 Hampton over 248 Savannah State 24.5 to 17.5
87 South Carolina over 66 Arkansas 24.5 to 24.5
26 South Dakota over 34 Youngstown State 31.5 to 28.0
84 Stony Brook over 141 Delaware 21.0 to 10.5
32 Texas over 29 Kansas State 31.5 to 28.0
15 Texas Christian over 25 West Virginia 35.0 to 28.0
95 Texas - San Antonio over 122 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 21.0
88 Tulsa over 127 Tulane 35.0 to 31.5
22 Stanford over 49 Utah 31.5 to 28.0
40 Colorado State over 114 Utah State 38.5 to 28.0
9 Georgia over 64 Vanderbilt 21.0 to 14.0
55 Villanova over 90 Maine 28.0 to 21.0
31 Duke over 83 Virginia 31.5 to 24.5
129 Wofford over 103 Western Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
104 Arkansas State over 136 Georgia Southern 28.0 to 28.0
162 Ball State over 173 Akron 28.0 to 28.0
220 Robert Morris over 213 East Tennessee State 21.0 to 17.5
18 Florida State over 14 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 24.5
228 Norfolk State over 226 Florida A&M 17.5 to 17.5
46 Western Illinois over 92 Northern Iowa 28.0 to 28.0
48 Minnesota over 71 Purdue 28.0 to 24.5
72 Pittsburgh over 96 Syracuse 35.0 to 35.0
101 Furman over 180 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 31.5
111 Mercer over 131 The Citadel 28.0 to 28.0
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