2017 Week 7 (11-14 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

   2 Clemson                   over   87 Syracuse                   42.0 to 17.5
   1 Alabama                   over   76 Arkansas                   45.5 to 10.5
 240 Alabama A&M               over  253 Mississippi Valley State   38.5 to 17.5
  86 Central Arkansas          over  242 Stephen F. Austin          45.5 to 10.5
  23 Central Florida           over  202 East Carolina              52.5 to 21.0
  51 Colorado State            over  163 Nevada - Reno              38.5 to 14.0
  63 North Carolina A&T        over  222 Florida A&M                38.5 to 14.0
  85 Furman                    over  248 Virginia Military          49.0 to 14.0
   4 Georgia                   over  145 Missouri                   45.5 to  7.0
 119 Harvard                   over  229 Lafayette                  35.0 to 10.5
  31 Iowa State                over  193 Kansas                     49.0 to 21.0
  57 Jacksonville State        over  207 Eastern Kentucky           38.5 to  7.0
  98 Maine                     over  184 Rhode Island               35.0 to 17.5
  19 Mississippi State         over  174 Brigham Young              38.5 to 14.0
   3 Ohio State                over   72 Nebraska                   38.5 to 17.5
   9 Oklahoma State            over   79 Baylor                     45.5 to 24.5
  73 Sam Houston State         over  221 Northwestern State         49.0 to 21.0
 140 San Diego                 over  252 Morehead State             49.0 to 10.5
  24 South Dakota              over  177 Indiana State              49.0 to 21.0
 109 Southern Mississippi      over  224 Texas - El Paso            38.5 to 14.0
  38 South Florida             over  165 Massachusetts              49.0 to 24.5
  46 Western Illinois          over  223 Missouri State             49.0 to 14.0
 136 Western Kentucky          over  238 North Carolina - Charlot   38.5 to 10.5

80-90% chance of victory:

  95 Troy State                over  176 South Alabama              31.5 to 17.5
 161 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  235 Texas State - San Marcos   42.0 to 21.0
   7 Washington                over   78 Arizona State              42.0 to 21.0
  65 Eastern Washington        over  127 Montana State              42.0 to 28.0
  91 Tulane                    over  212 Florida International      35.0 to 17.5
 172 Hawaii                    over  233 San Jose State             38.5 to 24.5
 160 Southeast Louisiana       over  243 Houston Baptist            35.0 to 21.0
  39 Louisville                over  105 Boston College             35.0 to 17.5
 104 Mercer                    over  195 Tennessee - Chattanooga    35.0 to 17.5
  97 Montana                   over  164 North Dakota               42.0 to 24.5
   8 Oklahoma                  over   33 Texas                      42.0 to 28.0
  60 Colorado                  over  179 Oregon State               38.5 to 21.0
 120 Charleston Southern       over  227 Presbyterian               31.5 to 17.5
  36 South Dakota State        over   92 Northern Iowa              38.5 to 21.0
 117 Temple                    over  201 Connecticut                31.5 to 14.0
 108 Western Carolina          over  204 East Tennessee State       42.0 to 24.5
  55 Western Michigan          over  151 Akron                      42.0 to 24.5
  12 Wisconsin                 over   52 Purdue                     38.5 to 17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  61 Air Force                 over  123 Nevada - Las Vegas         45.5 to 31.5
 111 Ohio                      over  206 Bowling Green              38.5 to 28.0
  89 Princeton                 over  199 Brown                      35.0 to 24.5
  75 Toledo                    over  166 Central Michigan           42.0 to 31.5
  15 James Madison             over   35 Villanova                  35.0 to 24.5
 159 Nicholls State            over  220 Abilene Christian          31.5 to 17.5
 100 Northern Arizona          over  196 Portland State             38.5 to 24.5
 148 Duquesne                  over  226 Robert Morris              28.0 to 17.5
 187 Southeast Missouri State  over  208 Tennessee Tech             28.0 to 17.5
  20 Southern California       over   54 Utah                       31.5 to 21.0
  45 Houston                   over  114 Tulsa                      35.0 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  18 Washington State          over   70 California                 38.5 to 28.0
 158 Alabama - Birmingham      over  157 Middle Tennessee State     35.0 to 28.0
 168 Alcorn State              over  188 Prairie View               35.0 to 28.0
  44 Arizona                   over   49 California - Los Angeles   42.0 to 38.5
  94 Arkansas State            over  154 Coastal Carolina           38.5 to 28.0
 101 Army                      over  134 Eastern Michigan           24.5 to 17.5
 167 Saint Francis - Pennsylv  over  205 Bryant                     28.0 to 24.5
  90 Northern Illinois         over  126 Buffalo                    31.5 to 28.0
 197 Colgate                   over  210 Fordham                    31.5 to 21.0
 185 Bucknell                  over  214 Cornell                    24.5 to 21.0
 211 Dayton                    over  203 Campbell                   24.5 to 21.0
 121 Delaware                  over  122 William & Mary             21.0 to 17.5
 241 Delaware State            over  237 Howard                     28.0 to 28.0
  21 Florida State             over   41 Duke                       28.0 to 24.5
  40 Florida                   over   48 Texas A&M                  31.5 to 28.0
 112 Fresno State              over  118 New Mexico                 31.5 to 28.0
 147 Georgia Southern          over  135 New Mexico State           35.0 to 31.5
  81 Appalachian State         over  180 Idaho                      31.5 to 21.0
 152 Illinois                  over  149 Rutgers                    24.5 to 21.0
 236 Lamar                     over  247 Incarnate Word             35.0 to 28.0
  17 Michigan                  over   43 Indiana                    31.5 to 21.0
  14 Texas Christian           over   42 Kansas State               31.5 to 28.0
 156 Miami - Ohio              over  215 Kent State                 21.0 to 17.5
 181 Lehigh                    over  225 Georgetown                 38.5 to 31.5
 139 Liberty                   over  138 Kennesaw State             35.0 to 28.0
   6 Auburn                    over   53 Louisiana State            24.5 to 17.5
 125 Marshall                  over  171 Old Dominion               35.0 to 21.0
  13 Miami - Florida           over   27 Georgia Tech               35.0 to 21.0
  77 Mississippi               over   69 Vanderbilt                 28.0 to 24.5
 245 Morgan State              over  249 Savannah State             21.0 to 17.5
 200 Eastern Illinois          over  218 Murray State               28.0 to 21.0
  71 North Carolina            over   68 Virginia                   31.5 to 28.0
 183 North Carolina Central    over  209 Gardner - Webb             28.0 to 17.5
 144 Northeast Louisiana       over  162 Georgia State              31.5 to 28.0
  88 Texas - San Antonio       over  129 North Texas                31.5 to 28.0
  37 North Carolina State      over   82 Pittsburgh                 35.0 to 28.0
 170 Sacramento State          over  194 Idaho State                42.0 to 35.0
 113 Dartmouth                 over  173 Sacred Heart               28.0 to 21.0
  34 San Diego State           over   56 Boise State                28.0 to 21.0
  25 Stanford                  over   28 Oregon                     38.5 to 31.5
 246 Stetson                   over  254 Davidson                   31.5 to 17.5
  84 Stony Brook               over  124 New Hampshire              28.0 to 24.5
  67 Tennessee                 over   66 South Carolina             28.0 to 24.5
 186 Tennessee State           over  155 Austin Peay                28.0 to 24.5
 232 Alabama State             over  251 Texas Southern             21.0 to 14.0
 131 The Citadel               over  132 Wofford                    24.5 to 24.5
  83 Richmond                  over  175 Towson                     31.5 to 24.5
 115 Utah State                over  137 Wyoming                    35.0 to 28.0
 231 Marist                    over  239 Valparaiso                 31.5 to 31.5
 213 Wagner                    over  182 Central Connecticut        28.0 to 24.5
 106 Weber State               over  143 Southern Utah              31.5 to 24.5
  29 West Virginia             over   22 Texas Tech                 45.5 to 42.0
  96 Yale                      over  130 Holy Cross                 38.5 to 28.0
  11 North Dakota State        over   26 Youngstown State           28.0 to 17.5

50-60% chance of victory:

 192 Bethune - Cookman         over  178 South Carolina State       21.0 to 21.0
 234 Butler                    over  216 Jacksonville               31.5 to 31.5
 153 Columbia                  over  142 Pennsylvania               28.0 to 28.0
  59 Northwestern              over   80 Maryland                   31.5 to 31.5
  50 Navy                      over   62 Memphis                    38.5 to 38.5
  47 Michigan State            over   64 Minnesota                  17.5 to 17.5
 219 Norfolk State             over  217 Hampton                    21.0 to 21.0
  99 Illinois State            over  128 Southern Illinois          28.0 to 28.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net