ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
61 Toledo over 210 Ball State 42.0 to 24.5
15 Stanford over 179 Oregon State 49.0 to 21.0
111 Albany over 167 Rhode Island 28.0 to 14.0
166 Coastal Carolina over 239 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 21.0
141 Grambling over 250 Texas Southern 38.5 to 7.0
13 Wisconsin over 155 Illinois 38.5 to 10.5
16 James Madison over 130 New Hampshire 49.0 to 21.0
43 Kansas State over 201 Kansas 42.0 to 17.5
77 Marshall over 193 Florida International 35.0 to 14.0
23 Michigan over 109 Rutgers 31.5 to 10.5
182 Southern over 248 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 45.5 to 21.0
199 North Carolina Central over 241 Delaware State 31.5 to 14.0
12 Oklahoma over 31 Texas Tech 49.0 to 35.0
58 Princeton over 200 Cornell 45.5 to 17.5
112 Louisiana Tech over 227 Rice 38.5 to 17.5
121 San Diego over 247 Stetson 38.5 to 10.5
151 The Citadel over 251 Virginia Military 38.5 to 7.0
9 Virginia Tech over 62 Duke 35.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
52 Memphis over 137 Tulane 38.5 to 28.0
173 Brigham Young over 223 San Jose State 31.5 to 14.0
189 Campbell over 237 Jacksonville 38.5 to 24.5
4 Clemson over 21 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 21.0
225 Drake over 253 Davidson 35.0 to 14.0
40 Fresno State over 147 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 21.0
70 San Diego State over 165 Hawaii 35.0 to 21.0
160 Holy Cross over 234 Georgetown 31.5 to 17.5
207 Northwestern State over 254 Houston Baptist 31.5 to 10.5
169 Nicholls State over 249 Incarnate Word 42.0 to 21.0
68 Jacksonville State over 162 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 14.0
79 Maine over 152 William & Mary 28.0 to 14.0
215 Norfolk State over 245 Savannah State 31.5 to 17.5
18 Miami - Florida over 100 North Carolina 35.0 to 17.5
14 North Dakota State over 56 Northern Iowa 35.0 to 17.5
78 Northern Arizona over 140 Sacramento State 42.0 to 28.0
6 Notre Dame over 24 North Carolina State 38.5 to 24.5
195 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 235 Robert Morris 21.0 to 7.0
116 Samford over 196 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 17.5
22 South Dakota over 80 Southern Illinois 42.0 to 28.0
113 Texas - San Antonio over 226 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 14.0
102 Troy State over 185 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 17.5
228 Valparaiso over 252 Morehead State 45.5 to 28.0
45 Villanova over 132 Elon 31.5 to 10.5
10 Washington over 42 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
57 Southern Methodist over 118 Tulsa 49.0 to 38.5
172 Bethune - Cookman over 212 Hampton 28.0 to 14.0
125 California - Davis over 175 California Poly 31.5 to 24.5
154 Colgate over 191 Bucknell 24.5 to 14.0
136 Wofford over 209 East Tennessee State 28.0 to 17.5
149 Montana State over 168 Idaho State 38.5 to 28.0
73 Arkansas State over 131 New Mexico State 38.5 to 28.0
8 Georgia over 46 Florida 28.0 to 17.5
139 Kennesaw State over 224 Presbyterian 31.5 to 17.5
190 South Carolina State over 204 Howard 31.5 to 21.0
119 Southern Mississippi over 180 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 24.5
29 South Florida over 88 Houston 35.0 to 21.0
64 Yale over 128 Columbia 35.0 to 21.0
36 Youngstown State over 97 Illinois State 28.0 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
161 Georgia State over 163 South Alabama 24.5 to 21.0
82 Northern Illinois over 127 Eastern Michigan 28.0 to 17.5
27 Florida State over 55 Boston College 24.5 to 21.0
25 Washington State over 32 Arizona 35.0 to 35.0
35 Southern California over 54 Arizona State 31.5 to 28.0
28 Texas over 104 Baylor 35.0 to 28.0
146 Pennsylvania over 231 Brown 31.5 to 21.0
122 Central Arkansas over 153 McNeese State 28.0 to 21.0
103 Monmouth over 143 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 31.5
48 California over 94 Colorado 28.0 to 24.5
53 Colorado State over 75 Air Force 42.0 to 31.5
93 Missouri over 183 Connecticut 35.0 to 28.0
202 Dayton over 213 Butler 28.0 to 17.5
170 Lehigh over 211 Fordham 45.5 to 42.0
164 Liberty over 219 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 21.0
142 Harvard over 129 Dartmouth 24.5 to 21.0
159 Northeast Louisiana over 214 Idaho 38.5 to 35.0
38 Iowa over 66 Minnesota 24.5 to 14.0
11 Texas Christian over 20 Iowa State 31.5 to 24.5
84 Kentucky over 86 Tennessee 28.0 to 24.5
51 Indiana over 96 Maryland 35.0 to 28.0
107 Appalachian State over 138 Massachusetts 28.0 to 24.5
69 Mississippi over 71 Arkansas 42.0 to 35.0
243 Jackson State over 246 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 24.5
198 Indiana State over 208 Missouri State 31.5 to 28.0
216 Florida A&M over 244 Morgan State 28.0 to 21.0
192 Eastern Kentucky over 222 Murray State 28.0 to 24.5
230 Alabama State over 232 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 21.0
98 Southern Utah over 186 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 28.0
135 North Texas over 184 Old Dominion 38.5 to 31.5
3 Ohio State over 2 Penn State 31.5 to 24.5
60 Oregon over 67 Utah 31.5 to 24.5
76 Pittsburgh over 87 Virginia 31.5 to 28.0
187 North Dakota over 217 Portland State 31.5 to 28.0
37 Purdue over 90 Nebraska 31.5 to 21.0
91 Richmond over 99 Stony Brook 31.5 to 28.0
117 Duquesne over 171 Sacred Heart 35.0 to 28.0
63 South Carolina over 89 Vanderbilt 24.5 to 17.5
95 Sam Houston State over 126 Southeast Louisiana 45.5 to 42.0
177 Tennessee - Martin over 197 Eastern Illinois 24.5 to 17.5
174 Tennessee State over 218 Tennessee Tech 24.5 to 21.0
105 Delaware over 206 Towson 24.5 to 14.0
65 Boise State over 108 Utah State 35.0 to 28.0
205 Wagner over 220 Bryant 31.5 to 24.5
34 Wake Forest over 39 Louisville 31.5 to 28.0
101 Montana over 115 Weber State 28.0 to 28.0
44 Western Illinois over 47 South Dakota State 35.0 to 31.5
5 Oklahoma State over 26 West Virginia 38.5 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
156 Akron over 120 Buffalo 24.5 to 24.5
238 Stephen F. Austin over 242 Lamar 28.0 to 28.0
50 Northwestern over 41 Michigan State 21.0 to 21.0
30 Texas A&M over 19 Mississippi State 31.5 to 31.5
110 Western Carolina over 85 Furman 42.0 to 42.0
145 Western Kentucky over 74 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 31.5
144 Wyoming over 124 New Mexico 24.5 to 24.5
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