ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
11 North Dakota State over 94 Sam Houston State 49.0 to 21.0
80-90% chance of victory:
55 Florida Atlantic over 157 Akron 38.5 to 21.0
33 Florida State over 135 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 17.5
24 Northwestern over 95 Kentucky 35.0 to 21.0
6 Ohio State over 29 Southern California 38.5 to 28.0
70-80% chance of victory:
89 Arkansas State over 153 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 24.5
71 Ohio over 149 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 28.0
102 Utah State over 163 New Mexico State 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
21 James Madison over 15 South Dakota State 31.5 to 28.0
86 Colorado State over 110 Marshall 31.5 to 28.0
161 Western Kentucky over 192 Georgia State 28.0 to 24.5
108 North Carolina A&T over 141 Grambling 31.5 to 24.5
77 Troy State over 113 North Texas 38.5 to 28.0
73 Southern Methodist over 122 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 35.0
88 Temple over 130 Florida International 35.0 to 24.5
53 Toledo over 83 Appalachian State 35.0 to 28.0
64 San Diego State over 67 Army 24.5 to 21.0
75 Houston over 69 Fresno State 21.0 to 17.5
39 Kansas State over 57 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 31.5
44 Duke over 84 Northern Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
23 Iowa over 30 Boston College 24.5 to 21.0
35 Texas over 36 Missouri 31.5 to 31.5
62 Navy over 87 Virginia 31.5 to 24.5
9 Oklahoma State over 14 Virginia Tech 35.0 to 31.5
37 Washington State over 38 Michigan State 24.5 to 24.5
31 North Carolina State over 54 Arizona State 31.5 to 28.0
20 Memphis over 26 Iowa State 38.5 to 35.0
5 Penn State over 10 Washington 28.0 to 28.0
1 Alabama over 3 Clemson 24.5 to 21.0
13 Notre Dame over 22 Louisiana State 28.0 to 24.5
25 Michigan over 56 South Carolina 24.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
32 Oregon over 41 Boise State 35.0 to 31.5
116 Wyoming over 101 Central Michigan 24.5 to 24.5
51 South Florida over 46 Texas Tech 38.5 to 38.5
42 Utah over 40 West Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
50 Arizona over 47 Purdue 35.0 to 31.5
12 Texas Christian over 17 Stanford 21.0 to 21.0
28 Wake Forest over 43 Texas A&M 35.0 to 35.0
8 Wisconsin over 18 Miami - Florida 24.5 to 21.0
19 Louisville over 27 Mississippi State 35.0 to 31.5
2 Georgia over 4 Oklahoma 31.5 to 31.5
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