11 Nov 2018: Average model rankings (NCAA Div IA & IAA) for the 2018 season

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

FBS:
rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  5  15  9.4  7.2 Alabama                 
  2  6  13  9.0  7.0 Clemson                 
  3  8  11  9.0  6.6 Georgia                 
  4  8  11 10.0  5.5 Oklahoma                
  5  7  10  8.4  6.8 Michigan                
  6 12  10  9.1  6.0 Ohio State              
  7 10   9  9.0  6.0 Penn State              
  8 17   9  9.1  5.9 West Virginia           
  9 12   8  8.1  6.6 Washington              
 10 16   8  8.0  6.7 Mississippi State       
 11 15   8  8.0  6.7 Louisiana State         
 12 26   8  9.0  5.7 Central Florida         
 13 13   8  8.5  6.1 Notre Dame              
 14 20   7  8.1  6.5 Iowa                    
 15 34   8  9.2  5.4 Missouri                
 16 40   7  8.0  6.5 Auburn                  
 17 46   7  9.2  5.3 Oklahoma State          
 18 11   7  8.2  6.3 Utah                    
 19 20   7  8.2  6.2 Stanford                
 20 42   6  7.8  6.6 Iowa State              
 21 20   7  8.6  5.8 Washington State        
 22 32   7  8.3  6.0 Texas                   
 23 16   7  8.4  5.9 Texas A&M               
 24 37   7  9.0  5.4 Utah State              
 25 51   6  7.8  6.5 Fresno State            
 26 30   6  9.2  5.1 Texas Tech              
 27 15   6  8.0  6.3 Miami - Florida         
 28 27   6  8.0  6.2 Wisconsin               
 29 36   6  8.2  6.0 Florida                 
 30 14   6  8.7  5.5 Georgia Tech            
 31 18   6  8.5  5.7 Boise State             
 32 14   6  8.3  5.8 North Carolina State    
 33 50   6  8.2  5.9 Purdue                  
 34 33   6  8.2  5.9 Duke                    
 35 22   6  8.1  6.0 Boston College          
 36 45   5  7.8  6.3 Texas Christian         
 37 45   5  8.2  5.8 South Carolina          
 38 38   5  8.9  5.1 Syracuse                
 39 20   5  7.9  6.0 Appalachian State       
 40 16   5  7.5  6.5 Michigan State          
 41 36   5  8.3  5.6 Temple                  
 42 58   5  9.0  4.9 Mississippi             
 43 40   5  7.6  6.3 Kentucky                
 44 38   5  9.2  4.7 Memphis                 
 45 56   5  7.8  6.1 Army                    
 46 20   5  8.6  5.2 Oregon                  
 47 42   5  8.1  5.8 Southern California     
 48 26   5  8.4  5.4 Arizona State           
 49 42   4  8.2  5.6 Pittsburgh              
 50 22   5  8.8  4.9 Houston                 
 51 43   4  7.9  5.9 Northwestern            
 52 42   4  7.7  5.9 Virginia                
 53 52   4  8.5  5.1 Ohio                    
 54 57   4  7.8  5.8 Vanderbilt              
 55 47   4  7.6  6.0 Kansas State            
 56 54   4  7.9  5.6 Florida State           
 57 48   3  7.9  5.6 Virginia Tech           
 58 52   3  8.1  5.4 Indiana                 
 59 49   3  7.5  6.0 Cincinnati              
 60 43   3  8.3  5.1 Arizona                 
 61 40   3  7.7  5.7 Colorado                
 62 44   3  8.6  4.8 Toledo                  
 63 41   3  8.0  5.4 Air Force               
 64 44   3  8.4  5.0 Nebraska                
 65 37   3  7.5  5.9 California              
 66 47   3  8.3  5.0 Wake Forest             
 67 50   3  7.8  5.6 Minnesota               
 68 47   3  8.0  5.3 Maryland                
 69 51   3  8.0  5.3 North Texas             
 70 50   3  7.5  5.8 Tennessee               
 71 75   3  8.1  5.2 Buffalo                 
 72 44   3  8.2  5.1 Baylor                  
 73 33   3  7.6  5.6 Troy State              
 74 50   2  7.3  5.9 Northern Illinois       
 75 33   2  7.2  6.0 San Diego State         
 76 48   2  7.9  5.3 California - Los Angeles
 77 40   2  8.2  5.0 South Florida           
 78 32   2  7.1  6.0 Brigham Young           
 79 47   2  8.0  5.0 Florida Atlantic        
 80 60   2  7.6  5.4 Alabama - Birmingham    
 81 66   2  7.6  5.4 Eastern Michigan        
 82 44   2  7.8  5.2 North Carolina          
 83 41   1  7.9  5.1 Arkansas State          
 84 56   1  7.8  5.1 Arkansas                
 85 51   1  7.9  5.0 Nevada - Reno           
 86 51   1  7.5  5.4 Marshall                
 87 56   1  7.3  5.6 Tulane                  
 88 51   1  7.6  5.2 Navy                    
 89 53   1  8.2  4.6 Southern Methodist      
 90 51   1  7.6  5.1 Middle Tennessee State  
 91 50   1  7.6  5.1 Florida International   
 92 61   1  7.5  5.2 Kansas                  
 93 31   0  7.5  5.2 Louisiana Tech          
 94 31   0  8.0  4.7 Western Michigan        
 95 31   0  7.4  5.3 Georgia Southern        
 96 55   0  7.9  4.7 Louisville              
 97 63   0  7.5  5.2 Miami - Ohio            
 98 51   0  8.0  4.4 Louisiana - Lafayette   
 99 64   0  8.2  4.2 Hawaii                  
100 50   0  6.5  6.0 Wyoming                 
101 45   0  7.1  5.3 Southern Mississippi    
102 46   0  7.2  5.2 Tulsa                   
103 62   0  7.7  4.6 Illinois                
104 28   0  7.9  4.4 Liberty                 
105 48   0  7.6  4.7 New Mexico              
106 60   0  7.9  4.3 Nevada - Las Vegas      
107 62   0  7.0  5.2 Akron                   
108 42   0  7.3  4.8 Coastal Carolina        
109 53  -1  8.0  4.1 Oregon State            
110 47  -1  7.4  4.7 East Carolina           
111 51  -1  7.5  4.5 Northeast Louisiana     
112 50  -1  6.8  5.2 Central Michigan        
113 42  -1  8.0  3.8 Massachusetts           
114 41  -1  7.7  4.2 Old Dominion            
115 40  -2  6.9  5.0 Western Kentucky        
116 35  -2  7.0  4.8 Georgia State           
117 47  -2  6.7  5.1 Rutgers                 
118 38  -2  7.3  4.3 Colorado State          
119 38  -2  7.0  4.7 Ball State              
120 35  -3  6.5  5.0 North Carolina - Charlot
121 43  -3  6.7  4.7 Kent State              
122 31  -3  7.3  4.0 Bowling Green           
123 37  -3  7.0  4.3 San Jose State          
124 27  -3  6.4  5.0 Texas - San Antonio     
125 24  -3  6.8  4.5 South Alabama           
126 24  -4  7.4  3.7 New Mexico State        
127 29  -4  6.8  4.3 Connecticut             
128 24  -4  6.6  4.5 Texas State - San Marcos
129 25  -5  6.3  4.6 Texas - El Paso         
130 20  -5  6.7  4.1 Rice                    

FCS:
rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  8   9  8.1  6.8 North Dakota State      
  2 13   8  9.1  5.6 South Dakota State      
  3 15   7  8.2  6.2 James Madison           
  4 25   7  8.7  5.6 Princeton               
  5 30   5  8.1  6.0 Kennesaw State          
  6 28   5  8.4  5.5 Eastern Washington      
  7 35   4  7.0  6.7 Colgate                 
  8 26   4  7.5  6.1 Stony Brook             
  9 45   4  7.4  6.1 Dartmouth               
 10 44   4  7.7  5.8 Jacksonville State      
 11 33   3  7.5  6.0 Illinois State          
 12 42   3  7.6  5.9 Northern Iowa           
 13 38   3  8.4  5.0 California - Davis      
 14 25   3  8.2  5.1 Towson                  
 15 38   2  7.7  5.4 Yale                    
 16 35   2  7.3  5.8 Delaware                
 17 40   2  7.7  5.4 Western Illinois        
 18 40   2  7.8  5.3 Samford                 
 19 43   1  7.2  5.7 Weber State             
 20 57   1  7.1  5.8 Youngstown State        
 21 50   1  7.0  5.9 New Hampshire           
 22 37   1  7.3  5.6 Elon                    
 23 42   1  7.9  4.9 Southeast Missouri State
 24 53   1  7.3  5.6 Harvard                 
 25 47   1  7.5  5.3 Wofford                 
 26 48   1  8.0  4.8 South Dakota            
 27 45   1  7.9  4.8 Montana                 
 28 34   1  7.1  5.6 Maine                   
 29 23   1  7.8  4.9 Rhode Island            
 30 62   0  7.0  5.7 Villanova               
 31 59   0  7.1  5.6 North Carolina A&T      
 32 39   0  7.5  5.1 Furman                  
 33 36   0  7.8  4.8 Southern Illinois       
 34 40   0  7.3  5.2 Montana State           
 35 48   0  7.0  5.4 North Dakota            
 36 88   0  7.6  4.8 San Diego               
 37 48   0  7.4  4.9 Mercer                  
 38 57   0  7.7  4.6 Richmond                
 39 17   0  7.7  4.5 Indiana State           
 40 31  -1  7.2  5.0 Holy Cross              
 41 46  -1  7.9  4.2 Idaho State             
 42 41  -1  6.9  5.3 Columbia                
 43 51  -1  6.7  5.4 Pennsylvania            
 44 67  -1  7.6  4.4 Sam Houston State       
 45 38  -1  7.7  4.4 Monmouth                
 46 78  -1  7.1  4.9 Central Arkansas        
 47 64  -1  6.9  5.1 Nicholls State          
 48 29  -1  7.2  4.9 The Citadel             
 49 69  -1  7.1  4.9 Alcorn State            
 50 47  -1  6.3  5.7 Tennessee - Chattanooga 
 51 29  -1  7.2  4.7 Tennessee State         
 52 43  -1  6.4  5.5 William & Mary          
 53 29  -1  7.2  4.7 Missouri State          
 54 59  -1  7.2  4.7 Central Connecticut     
 55 37  -2  7.3  4.6 Austin Peay             
 56 37  -2  7.3  4.5 California Poly         
 57 39  -2  6.9  5.0 Albany                  
 58 29  -2  6.9  4.9 Tennessee - Martin      
 59 38  -2  7.1  4.7 Idaho                   
 60 49  -2  6.9  4.8 Southern                
 61 60  -2  7.1  4.7 Sacred Heart            
 62 98  -2  7.1  4.6 Dayton                  
 63 25  -2  7.8  3.9 Western Carolina        
 64 48  -2  6.5  5.3 Charleston Southern     
 65 25  -2  6.8  5.0 Cornell                 
 66 37  -2  7.1  4.6 Northern Arizona        
 67 41  -2  6.7  5.0 East Tennessee State    
 68 52  -2  7.1  4.6 Southern Utah           
 69 59  -2  6.8  4.8 Florida A&M             
 70 18  -3  7.5  4.1 Eastern Illinois        
 71 41  -3  7.1  4.5 Portland State          
 72 49  -3  7.5  4.0 Howard                  
 73 32  -3  7.3  4.2 Sacramento State        
 74 27  -3  7.1  4.5 Murray State            
 75 93  -3  6.7  4.8 Duquesne                
 76 24  -3  7.2  4.2 Northern Colorado       
 77 84  -3  6.9  4.6 Abilene Christian       
 78 66  -3  7.1  4.3 Southeast Louisiana     
 79 74  -3  7.5  3.8 Incarnate Word          
 80 43  -3  6.9  4.4 Prairie View            
 81 50  -3  6.9  4.4 Bethune - Cookman       
 82 **  -3  6.2  5.2 Drake                   
 83 72  -3  6.0  5.4 Saint Francis - Pennsylv
 84 68  -3  6.6  4.8 Grambling               
 85 84  -3  6.3  5.1 McNeese State           
 86 35  -3  6.1  5.2 South Carolina State    
 87 42  -4  6.6  4.7 Eastern Kentucky        
 88 69  -4  6.3  5.0 Campbell                
 89 57  -4  7.3  3.8 Bryant                  
 90 50  -4  6.9  4.2 Northwestern State      
 91 26  -4  6.5  4.6 North Carolina Central  
 92 **  -5  7.3  3.7 North Alabama           
 93 49  -5  6.4  4.5 Fordham                 
 94 36  -5  7.1  3.8 Lehigh                  
 95 77  -5  6.4  4.5 Marist                  
 96 65  -5  6.6  4.2 Lamar                   
 97 69  -5  6.3  4.6 Alabama A&M             
 98 27  -5  6.0  4.8 Lafayette               
 99 15  -5  6.0  4.8 Norfolk State           
100 24  -6  6.8  3.9 Wagner                  
101 15  -6  6.2  4.6 Savannah State          
102 23  -6  6.5  4.1 Hampton                 
103 30  -6  6.0  4.6 Brown                   
104 35  -6  5.6  5.1 Georgetown              
105 15  -6  6.1  4.5 Morgan State            
106 66  -6  6.6  3.9 Valparaiso              
107 31  -6  5.9  4.7 Bucknell                
108 13  -7  6.6  3.9 Tennessee Tech          
109 18  -6  6.1  4.5 Gardner - Webb          
110 59  -7  6.1  4.3 Butler                  
111 11  -7  6.8  3.5 Virginia Military       
112 20  -7  6.5  3.9 Robert Morris           
113 49  -7  6.0  4.4 Stephen F. Austin       
114 88  -7  6.2  4.2 Stetson                 
115 29  -7  5.8  4.5 Alabama State           
116 47  -7  5.3  5.1 Jackson State           
117 31  -8  6.0  4.2 Texas Southern          
118 53  -8  6.6  3.4 Jacksonville            
119 67  -8  6.6  3.4 Davidson                
120 18  -8  5.6  4.5 Presbyterian            
121  7  -8  6.1  3.9 Delaware State          
122 31  -9  6.7  3.0 Morehead State          
123  7 -11  6.6  2.8 Arkansas - Pine Bluff   
124  7 -11  6.2  3.1 Mississippi Valley State
125  6 -12  6.3  2.7 Houston Baptist         

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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