11 Nov 2018: Current model rankings (NCAA Div IA & IAA) for the 2018 season

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  5  15  9.6  7.3 Alabama                  129 52   0  6.5  6.0 Wyoming                 
  2  6  13  9.2  7.1 Clemson                  130 41   0  7.4  5.1 Navy                    
  3  7  10  8.5  6.9 Michigan                 131 49   0  8.1  4.3 Idaho State             
  4 11  11  9.0  6.5 Georgia                  132 36   0  7.4  5.1 Montana State           
  5  8  11 10.0  5.4 Oklahoma                 133 27   0  7.2  5.3 Louisiana Tech          
  6 17  10  9.3  6.0 West Virginia            134 69   0  8.1  4.3 Illinois                
  7  8   9  8.1  6.8 North Dakota State       135 48   0  7.0  5.4 Southern Mississippi    
  8  9   9  8.8  6.2 Princeton                136 39   0  8.1  4.2 Liberty                 
  9 44   9  9.5  5.5 Utah State               137 54   0  7.7  4.6 New Mexico              
 10 35   9  9.3  5.6 Missouri                 138 71   0  6.9  5.5 Villanova               
 11 16   8  7.9  7.0 Mississippi State        139 59   0  8.1  4.2 Hawaii                  
 12 27   8  8.9  5.9 Ohio State               140 55   0  7.7  4.6 South Dakota            
 13 56   8  8.0  6.7 Fresno State             141 31   0  7.3  5.0 Holy Cross              
 14 18   7  8.0  6.7 Louisiana State          142 66   0  7.0  5.2 Akron                   
 15 15   8  9.2  5.6 South Dakota State       143 57   0  8.2  4.0 Oregon State            
 16 11   8  8.3  6.3 Utah                     144 46   0  7.3  4.9 Mercer                  
 17 11   8  8.7  5.9 Penn State               145 60   0  6.9  5.3 Nicholls State          
 18 12   7  8.5  6.1 Notre Dame               146 53  -1  7.2  4.9 East Carolina           
 19 22   8  8.9  5.8 Central Florida          147 26  -1  7.3  4.8 The Citadel             
 20 18   7  8.0  6.6 Iowa                     148 59  -1  7.9  4.2 Nevada - Las Vegas      
 21 12   7  8.0  6.6 Washington               149 36  -1  6.9  5.3 Tulsa                   
 22 19   7  8.6  5.9 Washington State         150 53  -1  7.4  4.7 Northeast Louisiana     
 23 36   7  7.8  6.7 Iowa State               151 38  -1  7.0  5.1 East Tennessee State    
 24 33   7  8.5  5.9 Texas                    152 44  -1  7.1  4.9 Coastal Carolina        
 25 17   7  8.3  6.1 Texas A&M                153 33  -1  7.6  4.5 California Poly         
 26 20   7  8.3  6.1 Kennesaw State           154 42  -1  6.2  5.9 Tennessee - Chattanooga 
 27 31   7  9.3  5.1 Texas Tech               155 66  -1  7.9  4.1 Incarnate Word          
 28 55   7  8.4  6.0 Florida                  156 47  -1  8.0  4.0 Old Dominion            
 29 13   6  8.2  6.1 Stanford                 157 41  -1  7.0  5.1 Columbia                
 30 39   6  7.9  6.4 Auburn                   158 99  -1  7.6  4.4 San Diego               
 31 25   6  8.1  6.1 James Madison            159 40  -1  7.6  4.4 Monmouth                
 32 51   6  8.4  5.8 Purdue                   160 47  -1  7.1  4.9 Portland State          
 33 48   6  9.1  5.2 Oklahoma State           161 39  -1  6.4  5.6 William & Mary          
 34 39   6  9.2  5.1 Syracuse                 162 68  -1  7.1  4.9 Alcorn State            
 35 21   6  8.4  5.8 Eastern Washington       163 43  -1  8.0  3.9 Massachusetts           
 36 21   6  8.6  5.6 Boise State              164 56  -1  7.6  4.3 Louisville              
 37 24   6  7.6  6.5 Dartmouth                165 88  -1  7.5  4.4 Dayton                  
 38 37   6  8.6  5.5 Temple                   166 43  -1  7.0  4.9 Florida A&M             
 39 13   6  8.7  5.4 Georgia Tech             167 31  -2  7.2  4.7 Tennessee State         
 40 41   6  8.5  5.7 South Carolina           168 46  -2  6.8  5.0 Southern                
 41 22   5  7.1  7.0 Colgate                  169 71  -2  7.2  4.7 Central Connecticut     
 42 21   6  8.2  5.9 Boston College           170 22  -2  7.0  4.9 Cornell                 
 43 39   5  8.3  5.8 Duke                     171 37  -2  7.2  4.6 Idaho                   
 44 15   5  7.9  6.1 Appalachian State        172 29  -2  7.2  4.6 Murray State            
 45 57   5  7.8  6.2 Army                     173 32  -2  7.1  4.7 Missouri State          
 46 49   5  7.4  6.7 Kentucky                 174 48  -2  7.0  4.8 Ball State              
 47 14   5  8.3  5.8 North Carolina State     175 70  -2  7.5  4.3 Richmond                
 48 24   5  7.7  6.3 Miami - Florida          176 48  -2  6.6  5.3 North Carolina - Charlot
 49 56   5  9.2  4.9 Mississippi              177 83  -2  7.1  4.7 Abilene Christian       
 50 53   5  7.7  6.3 Cincinnati               178 68  -2  7.0  4.8 Sacred Heart            
 51 28   5  8.4  5.6 Pittsburgh               179 62  -2  6.2  5.6 Pennsylvania            
 52 28   5  8.4  5.5 Arizona State            180 34  -2  7.2  4.5 Georgia State           
 53 15   5  7.3  6.7 Michigan State           181 53  -2  7.6  4.0 Howard                  
 54 23   5  7.6  6.3 Stony Brook              182 25  -2  7.7  3.9 Eastern Illinois        
 55 53   5  8.7  5.1 Ohio                     183 40  -2  7.3  4.3 Colorado State          
 56 25   5  7.8  6.0 Wisconsin                184 35  -2  7.0  4.6 Tennessee - Martin      
 57 24   5  8.8  5.0 Towson                   185 43  -2  7.0  4.7 Albany                  
 58 42   4  7.7  6.1 Virginia                 186 86  -2  6.8  4.9 Duquesne                
 59 29   5  8.6  5.2 Oregon                   187 36  -2  7.1  4.6 Austin Peay             
 60 21   5  9.3  4.5 Houston                  188 50  -2  7.2  4.4 San Jose State          
 61 63   4  7.9  5.9 Vanderbilt               189 33  -2  6.3  5.3 Central Michigan        
 62 36   4  9.2  4.5 Memphis                  190 40  -3  6.6  5.0 Rutgers                 
 63 41   4  7.8  5.9 Northwestern             191 49  -3  6.9  4.7 Kent State              
 64 44   4  7.9  5.7 Southern California      192 93  -3  6.9  4.6 Central Arkansas        
 65 50   4  7.5  6.1 Texas Christian          193 32  -3  6.6  5.0 Western Kentucky        
 66 84   4  8.3  5.3 Buffalo                  194 86  -3  7.0  4.5 Sam Houston State       
 67 34   4  7.7  6.0 Illinois State           195 39  -3  7.0  4.5 Northern Arizona        
 68 34   4  8.5  5.1 California - Davis       196 53  -3  6.2  5.3 Charleston Southern     
 69 45   4  8.0  5.6 Air Force                197 39  -3  6.2  5.2 South Carolina State    
 70 37   4  8.6  5.0 Nebraska                 198 23  -3  7.7  3.6 Western Carolina        
 71 66   3  7.7  5.7 Alabama - Birmingham     199 **  -3  6.1  5.3 Drake                   
 72 52   3  7.6  5.9 Tennessee                200 23  -3  7.1  4.2 Northern Colorado       
 73 54   3  8.0  5.5 Maryland                 201 31  -4  7.2  4.0 Bowling Green           
 74 48   3  7.6  5.9 Jacksonville State       202 65  -4  6.9  4.5 Lamar                   
 75 47   3  8.7  4.7 Toledo                   203 32  -4  7.6  3.6 New Mexico State        
 76 37   3  7.3  6.1 Brigham Young            204 32  -4  6.6  4.7 Texas State - San Marcos
 77 48   3  8.1  5.3 Indiana                  205 68  -4  7.0  4.2 Southeast Louisiana     
 78 35   3  8.2  5.2 Arizona                  206 62  -4  6.0  5.3 Campbell                
 79 36   3  7.4  6.0 Kansas State             207 44  -4  6.8  4.4 Prairie View            
 80 53   3  7.2  6.2 Northern Illinois        208 44  -4  6.9  4.2 Bethune - Cookman       
 81 21   3  7.2  6.2 California               209 31  -4  7.0  4.1 Sacramento State        
 82 49   3  7.8  5.6 North Texas              210 74  -4  6.4  4.7 Marist                  
 83 53   3  8.0  5.3 Minnesota                211 74  -4  5.9  5.3 Saint Francis - Pennsylv
 84 55   3  8.2  5.1 Baylor                   212 **  -5  7.2  3.8 North Alabama           
 85 36   2  7.6  5.7 Troy State               213 33  -4  6.5  4.6 Texas - El Paso         
 86 54   2  7.4  5.8 Northern Iowa            214 24  -5  6.8  4.2 South Alabama           
 87 43   2  7.6  5.6 Colorado                 215 69  -4  6.3  4.7 Alabama A&M             
 88 59   2  8.1  5.1 Nevada - Reno            216 82  -4  6.1  5.0 McNeese State           
 89 51   2  7.8  5.3 Florida State            217 50  -5  6.9  4.0 Northwestern State      
 90 70   2  7.7  5.5 Eastern Michigan         218 41  -5  6.3  4.7 Eastern Kentucky        
 91 39   2  8.0  5.2 Samford                  219 60  -5  6.7  4.3 Southern Utah           
 92 39   2  7.6  5.6 Harvard                  220 25  -5  6.8  4.1 Connecticut             
 93 34   2  7.3  5.9 Delaware                 221 72  -5  6.3  4.6 Grambling               
 94 41   2  8.3  4.8 Southeast Missouri State 222 20  -5  6.2  4.7 Texas - San Antonio     
 95 29   2  8.1  5.0 Rhode Island             223 40  -5  6.5  4.4 North Carolina Central  
 96 37   2  7.9  5.1 Yale                     224 26  -5  6.1  4.8 Lafayette               
 97 34   2  8.2  4.8 Indiana State            225 22  -5  6.6  4.2 Rice                    
 98 47   2  7.7  5.3 California - Los Angeles 226 32  -5  5.7  5.2 Georgetown              
 99 77   2  7.6  5.4 Kansas                   227 47  -5  6.2  4.6 Fordham                 
100 41   2  7.9  5.1 Arkansas State           228 20  -5  6.0  4.8 Savannah State          
101 34   2  8.2  4.8 Wake Forest              229 74  -6  6.7  4.0 Stetson                 
102 56   2  7.3  5.7 Tulane                   230 15  -6  5.8  4.9 Norfolk State           
103 57   2  7.8  5.2 Middle Tennessee State   231 63  -6  7.1  3.5 Bryant                  
104 52   1  7.7  5.3 Arkansas                 232 59  -7  7.3  3.1 Davidson                
105 31   1  6.9  6.1 San Diego State          233 14  -6  5.8  4.8 Morgan State            
106 30   1  7.8  5.1 North Carolina           234 24  -7  6.7  3.8 Hampton                 
107 46   1  7.0  6.0 New Hampshire            235 30  -7  7.1  3.4 Wagner                  
108 39   1  7.8  5.1 Florida Atlantic         236 13  -7  7.2  3.2 Virginia Military       
109 51   1  7.7  5.3 Florida International    237 38  -7  6.6  3.8 Lehigh                  
110 58   1  8.4  4.5 Louisiana - Lafayette    238 31  -6  6.1  4.4 Brown                   
111 45   1  7.6  5.4 Western Illinois         239 26  -7  6.1  4.3 Gardner - Webb          
112 72   1  7.7  5.2 Miami - Ohio             240 22  -7  6.8  3.5 Robert Morris           
113 47   1  7.5  5.4 Marshall                 241 65  -7  6.6  3.7 Valparaiso              
114 35   1  7.3  5.6 Elon                     242 40  -7  5.3  5.2 Jackson State           
115 47   1  7.5  5.3 Wofford                  243 33  -7  5.9  4.5 Bucknell                
116 47   1  8.2  4.6 Southern Methodist       244 10  -7  6.5  3.8 Tennessee Tech          
117 54   1  7.8  5.0 Virginia Tech            245 49  -7  5.9  4.3 Stephen F. Austin       
118 24   1  7.5  5.3 Georgia Southern         246 31  -8  6.1  4.1 Texas Southern          
119 33   1  7.0  5.7 Maine                    247 19  -8  6.1  4.1 Delaware State          
120 37   1  7.9  4.8 South Florida            248 62  -8  6.0  4.2 Butler                  
121 59   1  7.2  5.6 Weber State              249 34  -8  5.9  4.2 Alabama State           
122 53   0  7.1  5.6 North Carolina A&T       250 55  -9  6.7  3.1 Jacksonville            
123 64   0  6.9  5.8 Youngstown State         251 33  -9  6.7  3.0 Morehead State          
124 46   0  7.9  4.7 Montana                  252 18  -9  5.3  4.3 Presbyterian            
125 40   0  7.1  5.6 North Dakota             253  7 -11  6.8  2.3 Arkansas - Pine Bluff   
126 33   0  7.8  4.6 Southern Illinois        254  7 -11  6.2  3.0 Mississippi Valley State
127 38   0  7.2  5.3 Furman                   255  7 -12  6.4  2.7 Houston Baptist         
128 30   0  7.8  4.7 Western Michigan        

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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