ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
25 Memphis over 182 Georgia State 45.5 to 17.5
154 Albany over 242 Morgan State 38.5 to 10.5
5 Clemson over 143 Georgia Southern 49.0 to 10.5
6 Georgia over 144 Middle Tennessee State 49.0 to 10.5
29 James Madison over 237 Robert Morris 42.0 to 3.5
75 Kentucky over 226 Murray State 42.0 to 17.5
33 Louisville over 146 Western Kentucky 45.5 to 21.0
16 Michigan over 112 Southern Methodist 52.5 to 21.0
31 Oregon over 220 San Jose State 56.0 to 14.0
4 Penn State over 205 Kent State 56.0 to 7.0
64 Tennessee over 232 Texas - El Paso 45.5 to 7.0
21 Texas A&M over 151 Northeast Louisiana 52.5 to 17.5
11 Virginia Tech over 152 East Carolina 49.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
102 Utah State over 223 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 17.5
56 Florida over 148 Colorado State 38.5 to 17.5
91 Stony Brook over 211 Fordham 35.0 to 21.0
59 Indiana over 198 Ball State 42.0 to 17.5
49 Kansas State over 162 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 10.5
127 Monmouth over 240 Lafayette 38.5 to 21.0
20 Mississippi State over 185 Louisiana - Lafayette 49.0 to 14.0
166 New Mexico over 246 New Mexico State 42.0 to 24.5
39 South Florida over 136 Illinois 38.5 to 24.5
13 North Dakota State over 234 North Alabama 70.0 to 24.5
24 South Dakota State over 249 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 66.5 to 14.0
15 Stanford over 103 California - Davis 38.5 to 21.0
104 Western Michigan over 248 Delaware State 45.5 to 14.0
10 Wisconsin over 130 Brigham Young 35.0 to 7.0
70-80% chance of victory:
50 Appalachian State over 129 Southern Mississippi 38.5 to 21.0
216 Abilene Christian over 255 Houston Baptist 56.0 to 28.0
81 Minnesota over 175 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 10.5
1 Alabama over 45 Mississippi 45.5 to 24.5
165 Austin Peay over 251 Morehead State 42.0 to 24.5
19 Central Florida over 95 North Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
14 Notre Dame over 76 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 14.0
67 Richmond over 186 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 14.0
181 South Alabama over 219 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 17.5
85 Villanova over 158 Towson 24.5 to 10.5
60-70% chance of victory:
98 Maine over 145 Rhode Island 31.5 to 28.0
163 Alcorn State over 244 Texas Southern 42.0 to 21.0
68 Arizona over 126 Southern Utah 42.0 to 31.5
86 Arkansas over 105 North Texas 42.0 to 35.0
7 Auburn over 17 Louisiana State 28.0 to 17.5
35 Duke over 80 Baylor 31.5 to 28.0
183 Eastern Kentucky over 193 Bowling Green 35.0 to 28.0
189 Bryant over 236 Marist 42.0 to 28.0
73 Princeton over 228 Butler 49.0 to 24.5
62 California over 194 Idaho State 49.0 to 24.5
147 Cincinnati over 235 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 17.5
150 Coastal Carolina over 215 Campbell 35.0 to 28.0
58 Colorado over 132 New Hampshire 28.0 to 17.5
145 Rhode Island over 202 Connecticut 35.0 to 24.5
121 Dartmouth over 233 Georgetown 31.5 to 10.5
111 Delaware over 191 Cornell 31.5 to 17.5
196 Dayton over 245 Duquesne 28.0 to 21.0
206 Eastern Illinois over 210 Indiana State 35.0 to 28.0
212 Florida A&M over 241 Jackson State 28.0 to 21.0
83 Florida Atlantic over 190 Bethune - Cookman 35.0 to 24.5
153 Florida International over 180 Massachusetts 38.5 to 31.5
120 Colgate over 139 Furman 28.0 to 21.0
138 Western Carolina over 217 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 28.0
159 Tennessee State over 214 Hampton 31.5 to 24.5
69 Yale over 176 Holy Cross 38.5 to 24.5
209 Howard over 238 Savannah State 38.5 to 28.0
229 Stephen F. Austin over 250 Incarnate Word 38.5 to 31.5
23 Iowa over 53 Northern Iowa 28.0 to 21.0
3 Oklahoma over 28 Iowa State 42.0 to 28.0
119 Rutgers over 168 Kansas 28.0 to 24.5
87 Kennesaw State over 227 Alabama State 38.5 to 14.0
204 Northwestern State over 243 Lamar 35.0 to 24.5
141 Liberty over 221 Norfolk State 38.5 to 17.5
94 Maryland over 92 Temple 31.5 to 28.0
164 McNeese State over 199 Nicholls State 31.5 to 17.5
113 Northern Arizona over 179 Missouri State 35.0 to 28.0
135 Montana State over 197 Wagner 31.5 to 24.5
61 Navy over 171 Lehigh 45.5 to 31.5
114 Prairie View over 131 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 35.0
137 Nevada - Reno over 169 Oregon State 38.5 to 31.5
203 Old Dominion over 224 North Carolina - Charlot 28.0 to 24.5
27 North Carolina State over 30 West Virginia 31.5 to 28.0
122 Sacramento State over 174 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 35.0
108 Northern Illinois over 149 Central Michigan 31.5 to 21.0
46 Northwestern over 155 Akron 35.0 to 17.5
2 Ohio State over 12 Texas Christian 35.0 to 24.5
8 Oklahoma State over 22 Boise State 45.5 to 35.0
118 Pennsylvania over 222 Bucknell 35.0 to 14.0
32 Georgia Tech over 77 Pittsburgh 35.0 to 28.0
41 Missouri over 66 Purdue 35.0 to 31.5
110 Samford over 124 Mercer 28.0 to 24.5
100 Sam Houston State over 173 North Dakota 45.5 to 28.0
54 South Carolina over 116 Marshall 35.0 to 17.5
192 North Carolina Central over 218 South Carolina State 21.0 to 17.5
117 Central Arkansas over 172 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 21.0
106 Southern Illinois over 161 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 24.5
184 Tennessee - Martin over 188 Tennessee - Chattanooga 21.0 to 21.0
48 Texas Tech over 52 Houston 35.0 to 31.5
18 Miami - Florida over 65 Toledo 38.5 to 31.5
99 Tulsa over 107 Arkansas State 38.5 to 31.5
9 Washington over 40 Utah 28.0 to 21.0
208 East Tennessee State over 252 Virginia Military 35.0 to 17.5
37 Washington State over 82 Eastern Washington 38.5 to 31.5
60 South Dakota over 96 Weber State 28.0 to 28.0
79 Western Illinois over 88 Montana 31.5 to 31.5
123 Wofford over 187 Wyoming 24.5 to 17.5
125 Youngstown State over 225 Valparaiso 38.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
34 Wake Forest over 36 Boston College 31.5 to 28.0
128 Tulane over 157 Alabama - Birmingham 28.0 to 28.0
74 Army over 47 Hawaii 38.5 to 38.5
115 Buffalo over 109 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
72 California - Los Angeles over 63 Fresno State 28.0 to 28.0
201 California Poly over 213 Brown 28.0 to 24.5
140 Columbia over 160 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 31.5
134 Harvard over 101 San Diego 28.0 to 28.0
90 Nebraska over 84 Troy State 35.0 to 31.5
231 Presbyterian over 247 Stetson 28.0 to 21.0
55 Arizona State over 70 San Diego State 28.0 to 28.0
57 Syracuse over 43 Florida State 35.0 to 31.5
38 Texas over 26 Southern California 24.5 to 24.5
156 Charleston Southern over 170 The Citadel 28.0 to 28.0
71 Ohio over 93 Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
167 William & Mary over 133 Elon 21.0 to 17.5
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