ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
17 Central Florida over 99 Florida Atlantic 49.0 to 24.5
4 Penn State over 137 Illinois 45.5 to 14.0
1 Alabama over 24 Texas A&M 45.5 to 17.5
7 Auburn over 118 Arkansas 45.5 to 14.0
121 Colgate over 240 Lafayette 31.5 to 7.0
49 Jacksonville State over 229 Tennessee Tech 45.5 to 10.5
25 James Madison over 170 William & Mary 38.5 to 7.0
11 Louisiana State over 88 Louisiana Tech 42.0 to 14.0
22 Memphis over 181 South Alabama 52.5 to 21.0
13 Miami - Florida over 125 Florida International 45.5 to 17.5
40 Mississippi over 197 Kent State 49.0 to 21.0
56 North Carolina A&T over 233 Morgan State 45.5 to 10.5
2 Ohio State over 139 Tulane 52.5 to 10.5
3 Oklahoma over 73 Army 49.0 to 17.5
14 Virginia Tech over 209 Old Dominion 45.5 to 10.5
43 South Florida over 154 East Carolina 52.5 to 28.0
37 Syracuse over 201 Connecticut 52.5 to 21.0
79 Villanova over 222 Bucknell 31.5 to 3.5
8 Washington over 50 Arizona State 38.5 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
53 Appalachian State over 226 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 7.0
131 Prairie View over 251 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 49.0 to 21.0
90 Eastern Washington over 180 California Poly 42.0 to 24.5
65 Florida State over 113 Northern Illinois 28.0 to 14.0
48 Houston over 246 Texas Southern 45.5 to 10.5
10 Mississippi State over 68 Kentucky 35.0 to 21.0
117 Mercer over 179 The Citadel 31.5 to 17.5
21 Michigan over 98 Nebraska 38.5 to 17.5
174 Alcorn State over 254 Mississippi Valley State 45.5 to 17.5
9 Oklahoma State over 38 Texas Tech 52.5 to 35.0
115 Montana State over 228 Portland State 42.0 to 24.5
168 Texas - San Antonio over 224 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 17.5
81 Weber State over 178 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
96 California - Davis over 183 Idaho 42.0 to 24.5
29 North Carolina State over 110 Marshall 31.5 to 24.5
85 Montana over 130 Sacramento State 42.0 to 28.0
16 North Dakota State over 106 Delaware 31.5 to 7.0
92 Troy State over 157 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 28.0
57 Northern Iowa over 210 Hampton 38.5 to 10.5
134 Southern Mississippi over 167 Rice 38.5 to 28.0
148 Western Carolina over 250 Virginia Military 45.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
71 Temple over 105 Tulsa 35.0 to 24.5
133 Harvard over 216 Brown 31.5 to 17.5
39 Southern California over 26 Washington State 28.0 to 28.0
84 Arkansas State over 111 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 31.5
146 Western Kentucky over 199 Ball State 28.0 to 21.0
83 Baylor over 116 Kansas 38.5 to 28.0
177 Miami - Ohio over 205 Bowling Green 28.0 to 28.0
100 Brigham Young over 185 McNeese State 24.5 to 14.0
191 Bryant over 241 Robert Morris 38.5 to 21.0
101 Maine over 156 Central Michigan 31.5 to 21.0
80 Illinois State over 171 Colorado State 38.5 to 24.5
76 Yale over 194 Cornell 35.0 to 21.0
202 Dayton over 253 Davidson 45.5 to 17.5
31 Duke over 190 North Carolina Central 38.5 to 14.0
159 Tennessee State over 211 Eastern Illinois 38.5 to 24.5
145 Southeast Missouri State over 192 Eastern Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
126 Furman over 223 East Tennessee State 35.0 to 21.0
221 Florida A&M over 239 Savannah State 35.0 to 21.0
188 Central Connecticut over 217 Fordham 31.5 to 28.0
144 Columbia over 235 Georgetown 28.0 to 10.5
108 Western Michigan over 182 Georgia State 35.0 to 24.5
6 Clemson over 44 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 21.0
184 Grambling over 234 Alabama State 31.5 to 14.0
62 Hawaii over 227 Duquesne 45.5 to 28.0
187 Bethune - Cookman over 208 Howard 35.0 to 28.0
36 Michigan State over 55 Indiana 24.5 to 24.5
28 Iowa State over 147 Akron 35.0 to 14.0
164 Southeast Louisiana over 247 Lamar 38.5 to 21.0
72 North Texas over 149 Liberty 35.0 to 35.0
135 Coastal Carolina over 175 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 31.5
198 Massachusetts over 213 North Carolina - Charlot 35.0 to 31.5
5 Georgia over 34 Missouri 38.5 to 31.5
107 Sam Houston State over 193 Nicholls State 38.5 to 28.0
172 North Dakota over 196 Idaho State 35.0 to 24.5
195 Southern over 245 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 21.0
19 Stanford over 46 Oregon 31.5 to 28.0
82 Arizona over 140 Oregon State 45.5 to 38.5
119 Pennsylvania over 173 Lehigh 45.5 to 31.5
78 Princeton over 150 Monmouth 49.0 to 35.0
32 Boston College over 69 Purdue 28.0 to 24.5
104 Buffalo over 169 Rutgers 31.5 to 24.5
58 San Diego State over 103 Eastern Michigan 28.0 to 17.5
212 South Carolina State over 219 Norfolk State 24.5 to 17.5
59 Navy over 129 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 28.0
220 Abilene Christian over 238 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 24.5
94 Stony Brook over 67 Richmond 28.0 to 28.0
41 Florida over 93 Tennessee 24.5 to 21.0
132 Austin Peay over 189 Tennessee - Martin 31.5 to 28.0
12 Texas Christian over 33 Texas 24.5 to 21.0
231 Texas - El Paso over 243 New Mexico State 35.0 to 24.5
70 Toledo over 136 Nevada - Reno 42.0 to 28.0
74 Utah State over 102 Air Force 38.5 to 31.5
61 Vanderbilt over 52 South Carolina 24.5 to 21.0
176 Sacred Heart over 207 Wagner 31.5 to 24.5
30 West Virginia over 45 Kansas State 35.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
162 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 186 Albany 17.5 to 17.5
158 Charleston Southern over 127 Elon 28.0 to 24.5
89 Ohio over 120 Cincinnati 28.0 to 28.0
124 Dartmouth over 151 Holy Cross 31.5 to 28.0
20 Iowa over 18 Wisconsin 21.0 to 21.0
66 Minnesota over 97 Maryland 28.0 to 24.5
86 Pittsburgh over 91 North Carolina 28.0 to 28.0
143 Southern Utah over 165 Northern Arizona 28.0 to 24.5
248 Stetson over 242 Marist 28.0 to 28.0
161 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 122 Samford 24.5 to 24.5
77 Virginia over 51 Louisville 31.5 to 31.5
27 Notre Dame over 47 Wake Forest 31.5 to 28.0
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